Timberwolves vs Suns Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024
Timberwolves
3W-0L
April 28, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 212.5 o/u
Suns
0W-3L
Get ready to howl and feel the heat as the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves dash into the Footprint Center to clash with the Phoenix Suns tonight at 09:30 PM EST! This first-round playoff game promises to ramp up the intensity after a series of blowouts in the opening matchups. The Timberwolves are looking to maintain their pristine record, while the Suns, fresh off a nail-biting victory, aim to catch some much-needed fire on their home court. With just a razor-thin line favoring the Timberwolves and an over/under that suggests a tightly contested battle, tonight’s game could very well hinge on every last dribble and dunk. As the Timberwolves try to keep their streak alive and the Suns seek to rise from the ashes, expect a showdown that’s less about chasing tails and more about blazing trails!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 28, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | PHX ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -110 | -110 | 210.0 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Recent | -105 | -115 | 212.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Difference | +5 | -5 | +2.5 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/26/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 25 | 36 | 31 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 32 | 21 | 20 | 36 | 00 | 109 | |||
| 04/23/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 21 | 30 | 20 | 22 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 04/20/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 28 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 00 | 95 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 44 | 22 | 23 | 36 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 22 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 04/05/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 21 | 20 | 26 | 00 | 87 | Under | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 32 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 00 | 97 | |||
| 11/15/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 35 | 41 | 34 | 23 | 00 | 133 | |||
| 03/29/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 00 | 100 | Under | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 23 | 33 | 26 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 01/13/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 24 | 26 | 41 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 35 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 11/09/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 39 | 30 | 35 | 25 | 00 | 129 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 25 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 11/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 27 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/23/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 26 | 32 | 42 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 34 | 24 | 28 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 01/28/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 34 | 27 | 31 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 40 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 134 | |||
| 11/15/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 18 | 22 | 26 | 33 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 18 | 23 | 34 | 00 | 96 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Suns Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
| 04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
| 04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
| 03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
| 03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
| 03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Suns Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAC | 108-107W | 41 | 25 | 18 | 76 |
| 04/10 | vs LAC | 124-108W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 95 |
| 04/09 | @ LAC | 92-105L | 38 | 17 | 8 | 89 |
| 04/07 | @ NOP | 105-113L | 38 | 30 | 15 | 87 |
| 04/05 | @ MIN | 97-87W | 49 | 29 | 18 | 76 |
| 04/03 | @ CLE | 122-101W | 43 | 32 | 15 | 87 |
| 04/01 | vs NOP | 124-111W | 49 | 29 | 12 | 87 |
| 03/29 | vs OKL | 103-128L | 39 | 26 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/27 | vs DEN | 104-97W | 51 | 29 | 16 | 83 |
| 03/25 | vs SAS | 102-104L | 47 | 28 | 14 | 83 |
Starting Lineups
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
31.4 | 30.6 | 26.9 | 100% | 27.3 |
| 49.0 | 43.0 | 45.1 | 100% | 44.6 | |
| 44.1 | 43.4 | 38.9 | 100% | 39.3 | |
| 22.8 | 22.6 | 21.3 | 100% | 21.7 | |
| 33.3 | 30.4 | 38.7 | 100% | 37.9 |
| Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.4 | 17.9 | 26.0 | 100% | 25.9 | |
|
Bradley Beal
SG
|
37.8 | 36.3 | 35.0 | 100% | 35.4 |
|
Devin Booker
PG
|
48.7 | 38.0 | 41.4 | 100% | 41.9 |
|
Kevin Durant
PF
|
45.7 | 39.1 | 42.4 | 100% | 42.8 |
| 31.8 | 30.0 | 33.1 | 100% | 33.5 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.0
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.6
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.2
Suns Notable Injuries
- David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 6.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.2ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 04/20/24. Impact: 1.4
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.4
- Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.0reb, 0.3ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 04/20/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Devin Booker | PHX | Pts | 24.5 | 28.2 | +3.7 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIN | -1.0 | #12 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | Pts | 13.5 | 16.3 | +2.8 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% | PHX | -1.6 | #10 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | Reb | 2.5 | 3.9 | +1.4 | 40% | 60% | 73% | 73% | PHX | +1.3 | #22 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | Ast | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | PHX | +1.2 | #20 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | Ast | 2.5 | 3.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 50% | 33% | 33% | PHX | 0.0 | #20 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #15 | #9 | #12 | #15 | -3.3% |
| PF | #6 | #8 | #14 | #2 | -12.3% |
| PG | #2 | #28 | #14 | #7 | -30.0% |
| SF | #9 | #23 | #3 | #13 | -12.8% |
| SG | #12 | #7 | #19 | #4 | -7.8% |
Suns Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #7 | #17 | #4 | -14.8% |
| PF | #17 | #20 | #18 | #22 | 2.0% |
| PG | #22 | #14 | #2 | #15 | -7.6% |
| SF | #27 | #22 | #20 | #29 | 24.6% |
| SG | #15 | #23 | #20 | #19 | 1.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
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The Suns have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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