Timberwolves vs Suns Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to howl and feel the heat as the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves dash into the Footprint Center to clash with the Phoenix Suns tonight at 09:30 PM EST! This first-round playoff game promises to ramp up the intensity after a series of blowouts in the opening matchups. The Timberwolves are looking to maintain their pristine record, while the Suns, fresh off a nail-biting victory, aim to catch some much-needed fire on their home court. With just a razor-thin line favoring the Timberwolves and an over/under that suggests a tightly contested battle, tonight’s game could very well hinge on every last dribble and dunk. As the Timberwolves try to keep their streak alive and the Suns seek to rise from the ashes, expect a showdown that’s less about chasing tails and more about blazing trails!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	PHX ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	210.0	-1.0/1.0
Recent	-105	-115	212.5	-1.0/1.0
Difference	+5	-5	+2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-15L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

24W-16L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/26/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	25	36	31	126	Over
04/26/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	21	20	36	109	Over
04/23/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	21	30	20	22	93	Under
04/23/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	26	28	27	105	Under
04/20/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	23	21	23	95	Over
04/20/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	34	31	28	120	Over
04/14/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	44	22	23	36	125	Over
04/14/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	31	25	28	106	Over
04/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	21	20	26	87	Under
04/05/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	25	20	20	97	Under
11/15/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	28	33	115	Over
11/15/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	35	41	34	23	133	Over
03/29/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	27	23	26	100	Under
03/29/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	23	33	26	107	Under
01/13/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	24	26	41	116	Over
01/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	29	28	29	121	Over
11/09/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	39	30	35	25	129	Over
11/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	25	26	31	35	117	Over
11/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	27	26	34	107	Over
11/01/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	30	30	32	116	Over
03/23/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	26	32	42	125	Over
03/23/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	34	24	28	116	Over
01/28/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	34	27	31	124	Over
01/28/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	40	34	26	34	134	Over
11/15/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	18	22	26	33	99	Under
11/15/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	18	23	34	96	Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96
04/02	@ HOU	113-106W	39	29	17	77
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs SAC	108-107W	41	25	18	76
04/10	vs LAC	124-108W	48	29	13	95
04/09	@ LAC	92-105L	38	17	8	89
04/07	@ NOP	105-113L	38	30	15	87
04/05	@ MIN	97-87W	49	29	18	76
04/03	@ CLE	122-101W	43	32	15	87
04/01	vs NOP	124-111W	49	29	12	87
03/29	vs OKL	103-128L	39	26	14	87
03/27	vs DEN	104-97W	51	29	16	83
03/25	vs SAS	102-104L	47	28	14	83

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	31.4	30.6	26.9	100%	27.3
Anthony Edwards SG	49.0	43.0	45.1	100%	44.6
Rudy Gobert C	44.1	43.4	38.9	100%	39.3
Jaden McDaniels SF	22.8	22.6	21.3	100%	21.7
Karl-Anthony Towns PF	33.3	30.4	38.7	100%	37.9

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Grayson Allen SF	23.4	17.9	26.0	100%	25.9
Bradley Beal SG	37.8	36.3	35.0	100%	35.4
Devin Booker PG	48.7	38.0	41.4	100%	41.9
Kevin Durant PF	45.7	39.1	42.4	100%	42.8
Jusuf Nurkic C	31.8	30.0	33.1	100%	33.5

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.0
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.6
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.2

Suns Notable Injuries

David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 6.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.2ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.4
Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 04/20/24. Impact: 1.4
Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.4
Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.0reb, 0.3ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 04/20/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Devin Booker	PHX	Pts	24.5	28.2	+3.7	20%	40%	47%	47%	MIN	-1.0	#12
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	13.5	16.3	+2.8	80%	60%	60%	60%	PHX	-1.6	#10
Naz Reid	MIN	Reb	2.5	3.9	+1.4	40%	60%	73%	73%	PHX	+1.3	#22
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	40%	50%	47%	47%	PHX	+1.2	#20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	MIN	Ast	2.5	3.1	+0.6	40%	50%	33%	33%	PHX	0.0	#20