Timberwolves vs Jazz Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024
Timberwolves
45W-21L
March 16, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 222.0 o/u
Jazz
29W-37L
Well, hoopers, grab your whistles and lace up those sneakers because we’ve got a clash of the titans tonight! The Minnesota Timberwolves, coming in hot with a solid 45-21 record, are ready to howl their dominance at the Vivint Smart Home Arena, home of the Utah Jazz, who are currently jamming with a 29-37 scorecard. The clock is ticking down to a 09:30PM EST tipoff and, let’s be honest, it’s not just the time difference that has the T-Wolves 1.5 games behind in the Western conference, while the Jazz are hitting a sour note at 17.5 games behind. The betting lines are buzzing with an over/under set at a whopping 222.0, and while the Timberwolves are prowling at -8.0, the Jazz are trying to keep the rhythm at 8.0. Both teams are riding the wave of recent victories, with the Jazz just squeezing out a 124-125 win against ATL and the Timberwolves tearing through the LAC with a 118-100 score. So, whether you’re rooting for the Timberwolves to keep clawing their way up, or for the Jazz to hit a high note, one thing’s for sure – tonight is gonna be a slam dunk of a showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 16, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Utah
Vegas Odds
MIN ML | UTA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -330 | +265 | 223.5 | -8.0/8.0 |
Recent | -370 | +285 | 222.0 | -8.5/8.5 |
Difference | -40 | +20 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
78.7% Win Probability
21.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/30/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 23 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 90 | Under | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 29 | 35 | 17 | 101 | ||||
11/04/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 27 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 95 | Under | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 26 | 37 | 31 | 123 | ||||
02/08/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 44 | 40 | 26 | 143 | Over | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 31 | 36 | 21 | 30 | 118 | ||||
01/16/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 27 | 25 | 35 | 39 | 126 | Over | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 31 | 37 | 30 | 125 | ||||
12/09/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 33 | 21 | 36 | 118 | Over | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 22 | 33 | 29 | 108 | ||||
10/21/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 26 | 29 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 132 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 41 | 23 | 23 | 33 | 6 | 126 | |||
01/30/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 20 | 28 | 27 | 31 | 106 | Over | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 26 | 40 | 34 | 126 | ||||
12/31/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 22 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 108 | Over | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 29 | 34 | 23 | 34 | 120 | ||||
12/23/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 30 | 26 | 116 | Over | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 35 | 32 | 34 | 27 | 128 | ||||
12/08/21 | Utah Jazz UTA | 34 | 26 | 35 | 41 | 136 | Over | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 104 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Jazz Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
03/07 | vs IND | 113-111W | 48 | 23 | 9 | 98 |
03/04 | @ POR | 119-114W | 40 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
03/03 | @ LAC | 88-89L | 54 | 24 | 15 | 80 |
03/01 | @ SAC | 120-124L | 44 | 29 | 12 | 85 |
02/28 | @ MEM | 110-101W | 39 | 29 | 13 | 80 |
02/27 | @ SAS | 114-105W | 46 | 28 | 14 | 94 |
02/24 | @ BRO | 101-86W | 51 | 22 | 12 | 84 |
Jazz Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/15 | @ ATL | 124-125L | 49 | 24 | 11 | 92 |
03/12 | @ BOS | 107-123L | 38 | 23 | 10 | 86 |
03/09 | vs DEN | 121-142L | 36 | 22 | 15 | 96 |
03/06 | @ CHI | 117-119L | 45 | 28 | 10 | 96 |
03/04 | @ WAS | 127-115W | 51 | 29 | 11 | 101 |
03/02 | vs MIA | 120-128L | 42 | 24 | 10 | 89 |
02/29 | vs ORL | 107-115L | 37 | 25 | 13 | 81 |
02/27 | vs ATL | 97-127L | 43 | 24 | 17 | 94 |
02/25 | @ SAS | 128-104W | 38 | 36 | 17 | 90 |
02/22 | @ CHA | 107-115L | 54 | 26 | 19 | 86 |
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30.2 | 20.6 | 18.2 | 20% | 23.8 | |
Mike Conley
PG
|
30.1 | 27.6 | 25.1 | 100% | 25.6 |
51.8 | 46.4 | 43.6 | 93% | 44.0 | |
45.3 | 41.4 | 38.6 | 100% | 37.9 | |
25.6 | 20.2 | 19.1 | 100% | 18.7 |
Utah Jazz | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
32.5 | 36.2 | 32.2 | 100% | 31.3 | |
30.7 | 34.4 | 25.1 | 40% | 32.0 | |
21.3 | 22.2 | 14.0 | 29% | 21.6 | |
21.1 | 21.1 | 9.6 | 25% | 23.2 | |
36.4 | 38.5 | 35.2 | 100% | 34.5 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Karl-Anthony Towns (PF/C): Avg: 22.1pts, 8.4reb, 3.0ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 6.1
- T.J. Warren (PF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.9
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.8
- Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Jazz Notable Injuries
- Lauri Markkanen (SF/PF): Avg: 22.9pts, 8.3reb, 2.0ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 5.9
- Omer Yurtseven (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 3.5reb, 0.4ast, 8.8 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.1
- Micah Potter (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.2ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.5
- Johnny Juzang (SF): Avg: 4.7pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.6
- Jason Preston (SG): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Pts | 15.5 | 16.6 | +1.1 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | UTA | -0.9 | #11 |
Mike Conley | MIN | Pts | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | UTA | +4.3 | #30 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #10 | #9 | #22 | 3.7% |
PF | #8 | #11 | #6 | #4 | -10.9% |
PG | #2 | #30 | #16 | #13 | -3.2% |
SF | #20 | #13 | #4 | #12 | -3.5% |
SG | #5 | #20 | #13 | #10 | -6.6% |
Jazz Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #15 | #24 | #19 | 2.7% |
PF | #30 | #6 | #30 | #29 | 13.5% |
PG | #8 | #10 | #29 | #9 | -5.6% |
SF | #18 | #20 | #16 | #19 | 2.6% |
SG | #30 | #25 | #28 | #30 | 16.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 30.5, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.7% to 30.6, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Keyonte George (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.0% to 36.0, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Jordan McLaughlin (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.5% to 16.3, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.5% to 12.0, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.5% to 32.2, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Brice Sensabaugh (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 27.7, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
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