Timberwolves vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash that’s set to shake the very foundations of the NBA Playoffs as the Minnesota Timberwolves, hungry for a rebound from their nail-biter loss, storm into the Capital One Arena to face off against the Washington Wizards, who are desperate to conjure up some magic after their recent thrashing. With the Timberwolves prowling 12 games behind in the Western jungle and the Wizards trailing by 15 in the Eastern enchantment, tonight’s game promises a mix of playoff intensity and desperation. As the clock ticks down to an 08:00 PM tipoff, the betting lines are buzzing, and the over/under tantalizes at 223.5. Will the Timberwolves extend their territory, or will the Wizards pull a victory out of the hat? Settle in as we find out if Minnesota can keep their playoff hopes as alive as a wolf pack on the hunt, or if Washington can cast a spell strong enough to stop them in their tracks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 13, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-1000	+625	225.0	-14.0/14.0
Recent	-1000	+625	223.5	-14.0/14.0
Difference	0	0	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

36W-23L

90.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

12W-46L

9.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/09/24	Washington Wizards WAS	44	26	24	27	121	Over
04/09/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	34	39	31	130	Over
01/24/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	27	33	28	118	Over
01/24/24	Washington Wizards WAS	24	35	19	29	107	Over
02/16/23	Washington Wizards WAS	21	30	25	38	114	Under
02/16/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	36	23	28	19	106	Under
11/28/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	25	39	30	127	Over
11/28/22	Washington Wizards WAS	38	39	32	33	142	Over
04/05/22	Washington Wizards WAS	35	32	34	31	132	Over
04/05/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	38	28	27	21	114	Over
12/01/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	33	31	19	107	Under
12/01/21	Washington Wizards WAS	24	29	38	24	115	Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/11	@ MEM	125-127L	41	37	18	83
01/09	vs ORL	104-89W	50	21	8	85
01/07	vs NOP	104-97W	53	26	16	89
01/06	@ LAC	108-106W	55	24	14	92
01/04	vs DET	105-119L	33	20	17	80
01/02	@ BOS	115-118L	41	24	15	74
12/31	vs OKL	105-113L	43	21	23	79
12/29	@ SAS	112-110W	56	23	10	100
12/27	vs HOU	113-112W	39	25	14	83
12/25	vs DAL	105-99W	46	23	10	86

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	@ OKL	95-136L	39	20	16	83
01/10	vs CHI	105-138L	45	26	15	98
01/08	vs PHI	103-109L	51	26	17	94
01/07	@ HOU	112-135L	43	21	18	89
01/03	vs NOP	120-132L	48	28	21	84
01/01	@ CHI	125-107W	42	36	15	99
12/30	@ NYK	106-126L	46	25	13	92
12/28	@ NYK	132-136L	44	32	15	99
12/26	@ CHA	113-110W	43	25	11	91
12/21	vs MIL	101-112L	46	20	19	80

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	20.0	16.6	20.1	87%	20.7
Anthony Edwards SG	46.0	50.0	42.6	100%	43.0
Rudy Gobert C	31.0	29.1	30.2	100%	30.5
Jaden McDaniels SF	24.0	24.2	24.1	100%	24.4
Julius Randle PF	40.0	31.4	35.1	100%	35.4

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	19.0	19.6	21.6	73%	23.8
Bilal Coulibaly SF	29.0	17.1	28.3	100%	28.7
Kyle Kuzma PF	28.0	20.4	29.5	93%	30.6
Jordan Poole PG	35.0	36.1	37.0	100%	37.4
Alexandre Sarr C	31.0	26.6	26.6	100%	27.0

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.5

Wizards Notable Injuries

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG): Avg: 15.2pts, 3.8reb, 4.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 4.8
Tristan Vukcevic (C): Avg: 7.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 2.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Julius Randle	MIN	Pts	18.5	21.0	+2.5	20%	40%	40%	40%	WAS	+1.1	#24
Alexandre Sarr	WAS	Pts	10.5	12.6	+2.1	60%	80%	73%	73%	MIN	-2.2	#4
Jonas Valanciunas	WAS	Reb	6.5	8.1	+1.6	80%	70%	67%	67%	MIN	-0.4	#9
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	4.5	5.6	+1.1	40%	60%	67%	67%	MIN	-0.8	#4
Kyshawn George	WAS	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	80%	60%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.9	#3
Jordan Poole	WAS	3Pt	2.5	2.9	+0.4	80%	70%	67%	67%	MIN	-0.1	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#9	#16	#12	-3.2%
PF	#11	#15	#20	#10	-3.1%
PG	#14	#23	#7	#18	1.7%
SF	#4	#4	#3	#3	-12.9%
SG	#2	#23	#4	#6	-7.2%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#25	#18	#30	10.9%
PF	#24	#30	#26	#26	7.9%
PG	#28	#25	#24	#30	11.2%
SF	#10	#14	#22	#16	1.0%
SG	#28	#29	#25	#30	11.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.5

108.7

Rebounds per Game

45.0

45.3

Assists per Game

24.8

24.9

Steals per Game

7.9

7.2

Blocks per Game

4.7

5.1

Shots per Game

86.2

90.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.1

12.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.3

51.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

33.7

Turnovers per Game

14.4

15.9

Fouls per Game

17.7

20.7

Recent Trends

Justin Champagnie (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.3% to 13.7, 23.8 min average previous 3 games.
Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.