Pelicans vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at State Farm Arena tonight as the underdog New Orleans Pelicans swoop into Atlanta, hoping to ruffle some feathers against the Hawks in a thrilling NBA playoff opener. With the majority of the first-round games turning out to be no contest, all eyes are on this 8:30 PM EST tipoff to inject some much-needed drama. The Hawks, fresh off a nail-biter win, are looking to keep their talons sharp, while the Pelicans, still reeling from a recent tumble, aim to soar beyond expectations. It’s a battle of wills in a clash of conferences, and as the points pile up, we might just see if the Hawks can truly rule the roost or if the Pelicans can stage a majestic flight back to the top. So, feather your nests, folks—this one’s shaping up to be a real birds of prey bonanza!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 02, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+315	-420	228.0	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+360	-500	227.5	10.0/-10.0
Difference	+45	-80	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

29W-24L

21.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

25W-23L

78.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/03/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	25	35	33	00	126	Over
11/03/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	30	29	26	26	00	111	Over
03/10/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	27	27	36	00	116	Under
03/10/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	20	22	23	38	00	103	Under
11/04/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	27	26	41	29	00	123	Over
11/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	25	23	22	00	105	Over
02/07/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	35	24	22	26	00	107	Under
02/07/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	29	29	25	00	116	Under
11/05/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	24	33	24	120	121	Over
11/05/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	31	28	21	150	124	Over
03/20/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	25	31	26	00	117	Over
03/20/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	18	32	26	36	00	112	Over
10/27/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	19	34	31	18	00	102	Under
10/27/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	26	18	22	00	99	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/01	vs NYK	85-118L	42	20	14	94
11/29	vs MEM	109-120L	46	16	14	91
11/25	vs IND	110-114L	44	35	15	87
11/22	@ GSW	108-112L	43	28	9	92
11/20	vs CLE	100-128L	40	23	11	92
11/19	vs DAL	91-132L	37	19	21	78
11/16	@ LAL	99-104L	50	24	17	83
11/15	@ DEN	101-94W	56	21	14	87
11/13	vs OKL	88-106L	58	21	23	86
11/11	@ BRO	105-107L	45	31	10	94

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/30	vs CHA	107-104W	49	27	20	78
11/29	@ CLE	117-101W	53	33	18	85
11/25	@ DAL	119-129L	39	32	14	101
11/22	vs CHI	122-136L	42	32	11	107
11/20	vs GSW	97-120L	65	27	17	105
11/18	vs SAC	109-108W	37	34	14	83
11/17	vs POR	110-114L	47	30	25	85
11/15	@ WAS	129-117W	55	28	16	98
11/12	vs BOS	117-116W	45	35	16	100
11/09	@ CHI	113-125L	39	31	13	89

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	40.0	41.1	36.5	100%	36.9
CJ McCollum SG	36.0	32.2	37.1	100%	37.5
Yves Missi C	29.0	30.3	23.2	67%	23.5
Trey Murphy III PF	35.0	34.2	31.9	83%	33.0
Dejounte Murray PG	40.0	41.4	46.6	100%	47.0

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	30.0	32.5	29.3	100%	29.6
Dyson Daniels SG	28.0	26.2	26.4	60%	32.3
Jalen Johnson PF	39.0	47.4	41.3	100%	40.9
Zaccharie Risacher SF	20.0	18.4	21.2	89%	22.9
Trae Young PG	44.0	41.0	43.5	100%	43.8

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 4.5reb, 0.9ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.7
Jordan Hawkins (SG): Avg: 8.2pts, 2.4reb, 1.0ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 3.1
Antonio Reeves (SF): Avg: 6.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.5ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 2.0
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 2.1
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.0

Hawks Notable Injuries

Larry Nance Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 6.0pts, 4.9reb, 1.8ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 2.7
David Roddy (PF): Avg: 6.3pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 17.2 minutes. Last game: 11/29/24. Impact: 1.4
Vit Krejci (SG): Avg: 5.4pts, 1.9reb, 1.8ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 1.3
Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.3reb, 1.8ast, 15.8 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 1.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Clint Capela	ATL	Pts	9.5	11.4	+1.9	60%	70%	67%	67%	NOP	+1.4	#23
De’Andre Hunter	ATL	Pts	14.5	15.3	+0.8	40%	60%	60%	60%	NOP	+0.1	#14
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	Reb	6.5	6.7	+0.2	80%	70%	47%	47%	NOP	+1.7	#28
Bogdan Bogdanovic	ATL	Ast	1.5	2.4	+0.9	40%	70%	80%	80%	NOP	-0.1	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#28	#8	#25	5.3%
PF	#8	#12	#24	#12	-2.2%
PG	#23	#17	#26	#28	8.8%
SF	#14	#20	#15	#21	3.0%
SG	#17	#14	#14	#14	-1.8%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#10	#7	#11	-4.5%
PF	#13	#17	#26	#18	2.2%
PG	#29	#25	#20	#27	8.5%
SF	#30	#19	#20	#30	12.6%
SG	#26	#17	#18	#24	4.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.0

114.3

Rebounds per Game

42.8

44.5

Assists per Game

25.1

28.9

Steals per Game

8.7

9.0

Blocks per Game

4.7

4.9

Shots per Game

86.7

91.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.4

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.5

53.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

36.5

Turnovers per Game

12.7

14.4

Fouls per Game

17.2

19.3

Recent Trends

Jordan Hawkins (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 18.7, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.0% to 18.2, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Keaton Wallace (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.4% to 21.2, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.