Pelicans vs Nets Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 19th 2024

Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up! We’ve got the New Orleans Pelicans, who’ve been swooping in for wins left and right this season (41-26, if you’re counting), flying into the Barclays Center to ruffle the feathers of the Brooklyn Nets, who’ve been struggling to find the bottom of the net this season with a 26-42 record. The Pelicans are breathing down the necks of the Western conference leaders, while the Nets are staring up a 28-game mountain in the East. Tonight’s game, tipping off at a cool 7:30PM EST, is set to be a nail-biter with the over/under hovering at 215.5. The Pelicans are favored by a touchdown, while the Nets are hoping to weave a comeback tale. The Nets are still smarting from their 115-122 tumble against the Spurs, while the Pelicans are strutting around after their 126-109 victory over the Trail Blazers. So, as the Pelicans look to net another victory, the Nets will be hoping not to get caught in a beak situation tonight. Let’s see if they can turn the tide or if they’ll just end up winging it!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 19, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	BRO ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-290	+240	216.5	-7.0/7.0
Recent	-225	+185	215.5	-7.5/7.5
Difference	+65	-55	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

21W-13L

69.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

15W-18L

30.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/02/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	18	16	24	27	85	Under
01/02/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	27	26	27	112	Under
01/06/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	26	35	20	108	Under
01/06/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	36	21	17	102	Under
10/19/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	26	40	32	130	Over
10/19/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	14	36	28	30	108	Over
01/15/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	19	36	28	105	Over
01/15/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	32	37	26	25	120	Over
11/12/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	33	33	29	25	120	Over
11/12/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	34	24	29	112	Over

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Nets Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/16	@ POR	126-109W	39	36	9	99
03/15	@ LAC	112-104W	40	28	8	88
03/13	@ CLE	95-116L	43	22	11	80
03/10	vs ATL	116-103W	43	32	12	75
03/08	vs PHI	103-95W	48	22	12	83
03/05	vs TOR	139-98W	62	38	11	106
03/01	@ IND	129-102W	47	25	17	87
02/28	vs IND	114-123L	40	26	10	90
02/27	vs NYK	115-92W	44	23	14	78
02/25	@ CHI	106-114L	49	25	19	88

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/17	vs SAS	115-122L	48	29	12	102
03/16	vs IND	100-121L	45	18	20	78
03/13	vs ORL	106-114L	32	21	13	81
03/10	vs CLE	120-101W	40	33	12	80
03/09	vs CHA	99-110L	41	22	15	91
03/07	vs DET	112-118L	28	24	14	84
03/05	@ PHI	112-107W	44	25	12	84
03/04	@ MEM	102-106L	33	27	13	82
03/02	@ ATL	114-102W	45	28	10	89
02/29	@ ATL	124-97W	43	30	9	91

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	39.6	35.9	37.5	100%	37.9
Herbert Jones SG	21.3	22.1	23.1	100%	23.6
CJ McCollum PG	34.6	27.8	31.9	100%	32.3
Jonas Valanciunas C	21.9	17.4	26.3	100%	26.7
Zion Williamson PF	46.3	49.9	39.7	100%	40.1

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mikal Bridges SF	34.8	31.4	34.0	100%	34.4
Nic Claxton C	34.3	32.1	32.1	100%	32.4
Dorian Finney-Smith PF	20.1	21.8	19.0	100%	19.4
Dennis Schroder PG	29.4	29.2	25.6	50%	31.2
Cam Thomas SG	35.3	41.0	31.4	60%	36.3

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 7.4pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 17.7 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.5
Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.8reb, 1.0ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1

Nets Notable Injuries

Keita Bates-Diop (SF/PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Noah Clowney (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Cam Thomas	BRO	Pts	20.5	23.3	+2.8	100%	60%	53%	53%	NOP	+0.2	#19
CJ McCollum	NOP	Pts	15.5	18.1	+2.6	40%	40%	47%	47%	BRO	-2.1	#3
Nic Claxton	BRO	Reb	9.5	10.3	+0.8	80%	70%	53%	53%	NOP	+0.7	#24
Dennis Schroder	BRO	Reb	2.5	2.7	+0.2	40%	30%	27%	27%	NOP	-0.6	#2
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	100%	80%	73%	73%	BRO	-0.5	#7
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Ast	5.5	5.8	+0.3	40%	50%	67%	67%	BRO	-0.6	#11
Jose Alvarado	NOP	3Pt	0.5	1.1	+0.6	100%	90%	87%	87%	BRO	+0.6	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#24	#1	#15	-2.1%
PF	#11	#14	#11	#10	-3.6%
PG	#5	#20	#17	#7	-9.0%
SF	#4	#27	#20	#16	-0.3%
SG	#19	#2	#15	#14	-1.0%

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#11	#5	#16	0.9%
PF	#15	#11	#8	#8	-4.2%
PG	#24	#19	#9	#23	6.9%
SF	#11	#17	#11	#11	-6.1%
SG	#3	#19	#7	#3	-10.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.8

105.4

Rebounds per Game

46.0

41.1

Assists per Game

27.7

24.7

Steals per Game

7.4

7.6

Blocks per Game

5.7

4.0

Shots per Game

89.6

86.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.5

12.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.5

50.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.9

36.0

Turnovers per Game

12.2

13.4

Fouls per Game

16.8

18.9

Recent Trends

Jacob Gilyard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.3% to 18.8, 30.9 min average previous 3 games.
Keon Johnson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.9% to 10.0, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
Lonnie Walker IV (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 55.8% to 10.7, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.