Pelicans vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 24th 2024
Pelicans
43W-27L
March 24, 2024
03:00PM EST
Odds: 216.5 o/u
Pistons
13W-57L
Alright, sports junkies, it’s time to put all your chips on the table because we have a David and Goliath situation brewing in the Motor City. The high-flying New Orleans Pelicans, who are breathing down the necks of the Western conference leaders, are swooping into the Little Caesars Arena for an afternoon showdown with the underdog Detroit Pistons, who’ve been doing more rebuilding than a construction crew this season. The game’s set to tip off at a bright and early 3PM EST, so you can bet your bottom dollar there’ll be more caffeine than blood in the players’ veins. The bookies are predicting a bird feast, with the over/under at 216.5 and the Pelicans favored by a whopping 12 points. But hey, the Pistons are fresh off a tough loss to Boston and might just be looking to bounce back and crack a few eggs. On the flip side, the Pelicans are riding high after frying the Heat in their last outing. So, will the Pistons be able to rev up and pull off an upset, or will the Pelicans continue their flight towards the top? One thing’s for sure, this isn’t going to be a game of horse, it’s a full-on horsepower versus bird power showdown.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 24, 2024 03:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
NOP ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -750 | +500 | 218.5 | -12.0/12.0 |
Recent | -390 | +295 | 216.5 | -12.0/12.0 |
Difference | +360 | -205 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
79.6% Win Probability
20.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/02/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 20 | 34 | 33 | 116 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 35 | 37 | 22 | 31 | 125 | ||||
01/13/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 32 | 27 | 33 | 24 | 116 | Over | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 28 | 22 | 33 | 27 | 110 | ||||
12/07/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 28 | 15 | 30 | 25 | 98 | Under | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 29 | 23 | 25 | 104 | ||||
02/01/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 31 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 111 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 33 | 32 | 22 | 14 | 101 | ||||
12/10/21 | Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 23 | 12 | 26 | 93 | Under | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 25 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 109 |
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | vs MIA | 111-88W | 56 | 25 | 12 | 82 |
03/21 | vs ORL | 106-121L | 33 | 24 | 18 | 78 |
03/19 | vs BRO | 104-91W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 83 |
03/16 | @ POR | 126-109W | 39 | 36 | 9 | 99 |
03/15 | @ LAC | 112-104W | 40 | 28 | 8 | 88 |
03/13 | @ CLE | 95-116L | 43 | 22 | 11 | 80 |
03/10 | vs ATL | 116-103W | 43 | 32 | 12 | 75 |
03/08 | vs PHI | 103-95W | 48 | 22 | 12 | 83 |
03/05 | vs TOR | 139-98W | 62 | 38 | 11 | 106 |
03/01 | @ IND | 129-102W | 47 | 25 | 17 | 87 |
Pistons Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | @ BOS | 102-129L | 42 | 25 | 18 | 83 |
03/20 | @ IND | 103-122L | 46 | 23 | 15 | 90 |
03/18 | vs BOS | 94-119L | 43 | 21 | 12 | 84 |
03/17 | @ MIA | 101-104L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 83 |
03/15 | @ MIA | 95-110L | 48 | 27 | 17 | 85 |
03/13 | @ TOR | 113-104W | 58 | 27 | 21 | 88 |
03/11 | @ CHA | 114-97W | 51 | 26 | 12 | 87 |
03/09 | @ DAL | 124-142L | 56 | 27 | 19 | 101 |
03/07 | @ BRO | 118-112W | 50 | 24 | 22 | 83 |
03/05 | vs MIA | 110-118L | 42 | 26 | 10 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28.4 | 23.9 | 23.5 | 100% | 23.9 | |
CJ McCollum
PG
|
38.4 | 36.0 | 31.4 | 100% | 31.8 |
34.5 | 29.9 | 26.6 | 33% | 28.5 | |
25.8 | 16.6 | 24.5 | 100% | 24.8 | |
49.9 | 38.8 | 39.3 | 100% | 39.8 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
41.7 | 36.5 | 41.1 | 93% | 41.7 | |
37.4 | 34.5 | 34.0 | 93% | 34.4 | |
20.5 | 11.9 | 10.7 | 20% | 20.8 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
29.6 | 25.9 | 28.5 | 93% | 28.8 |
9.6 | 7.2 | 12.1 | 17% | 18.9 |
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.9pts, 5.1reb, 5.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 5.7
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Isaiah Stewart (C): Avg: 10.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 30.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 3.7
- Ausar Thompson (PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
- Simone Fontecchio (SF/PF): Avg: 10.6pts, 3.8reb, 1.6ast, 25.1 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 4.7
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
- Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
- Taj Gibson (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jalen Duren | DET | Pts | 12.5 | 14.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | NOP | -0.2 | #13 |
Zion Williamson | NOP | Pts | 25.5 | 27.6 | +2.1 | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% | DET | -4.9 | #3 |
Trey Murphy III | NOP | Reb | 5.5 | 5.7 | +0.2 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | DET | -0.4 | #9 |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #24 | #1 | #15 | -1.2% |
PF | #13 | #7 | #21 | #13 | -3.1% |
PG | #5 | #21 | #19 | #7 | -8.2% |
SF | #2 | #28 | #19 | #14 | -1.0% |
SG | #18 | #1 | #10 | #11 | -5.7% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #15 | #18 | #23 | #24 | 7.6% |
PF | #11 | #3 | #9 | #12 | -3.2% |
PG | #11 | #19 | #5 | #8 | -5.8% |
SF | #3 | #10 | #17 | #4 | -18.1% |
SG | #29 | #9 | #25 | #27 | 9.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Evan Fournier (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.6% to 24.0, 17.3 min average previous 3 games.
- James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.6% to 26.8, 16.3 min average previous 3 games. The Pistons have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
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