Pelicans vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and shoot some hoops as the New Orleans Pelicans swoop into the Chase Center to clash with the Golden State Warriors in a nail-biting first-round NBA Playoff game tonight at 10:00 PM EST. Both teams are neck-and-neck with the Pelicans just a breath away from the Warriors in the Western conference standings. After a series of playoff blowouts, the stakes are as high as the over/under at 217.0, promising a showdown that could tip the scales at any moment. With both squads looking to bounce back from recent losses, tonight’s matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for redemption and a chance to soar past the competition or warrior their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 29, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	219.5	1.0/-1.0
Recent	-125	+105	217.0	-2.0/2.0
Difference	-20	+220	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

29W-15L

55.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

19W-21L

44.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/12/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	45	26	26	114	Over
04/12/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	22	27	34	109	Over
01/10/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	46	27	32	36	141	Over
01/10/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	33	23	22	105	Over
10/30/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	30	39	32	130	Over
10/30/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	30	21	24	102	Over
03/28/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	36	27	26	20	109	Over
03/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	21	39	35	120	Over
03/03/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	22	21	21	99	Under
03/03/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	33	28	26	108	Under
11/21/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	16	25	24	18	83	Under
11/21/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	30	32	31	128	Under
11/04/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	25	26	105	Over
11/04/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	35	27	26	114	Over
04/10/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	41	21	39	128	Over
04/10/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	22	28	31	107	Over
01/06/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	24	26	24	96	Under
01/06/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	16	31	28	26	101	Under
11/05/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	19	16	19	85	Under
11/05/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	16	34	38	126	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/27	vs POR	103-125L	39	24	15	88
10/25	vs POR	105-103W	44	25	14	86
10/23	@ CHI	123-111W	42	29	11	97
04/12	vs GSW	114-109W	38	24	8	90
04/11	vs SAC	135-123W	40	35	13	86
04/09	vs POR	110-100W	45	25	9	87
04/07	vs PHX	113-105W	42	26	12	85
04/05	@ SAS	109-111L	41	28	17	87
04/03	@ ORL	108-117L	35	21	14	76
04/01	@ PHX	111-124L	37	29	9	89

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/27	@ LAC	104-112L	47	19	21	88
10/25	vs UTA	127-86W	60	35	13	106
10/23	vs POR	139-104W	57	38	17	93
04/12	@ NOP	109-114L	53	27	16	86
04/11	vs POR	100-92W	46	24	16	77
04/09	vs LAL	134-120W	42	37	15	80
04/07	@ UTA	118-110W	47	32	13	92
04/05	vs DAL	106-108L	44	27	15	93
04/04	vs HOU	133-110W	43	29	18	80
04/02	@ DAL	104-100W	52	29	17	90

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	42.0	37.0	37.2	100%	37.5
Herbert Jones SG	26.0	20.9	22.8	100%	23.1
CJ McCollum PG	42.0	38.6	36.5	100%	36.9
Daniel Theis C	16.0	17.1	14.3	17%	19.1
Zion Williamson PF	45.0	41.8	42.4	100%	42.8

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Draymond Green PF	32.0	25.4	28.5	100%	28.9
Buddy Hield SG	36.0	26.1	19.5	20%	25.8
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	27.0	24.4	24.2	50%	26.6
Jonathan Kuminga SF	34.0	20.0	28.8	93%	29.1
Brandin Podziemski PG	30.0	18.8	21.8	50%	22.3

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Dejounte Murray (PG): Avg: 22.2pts, 5.4reb, 6.5ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 7.6
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 10/27/24. Impact: 0.7
Antonio Reeves (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 10/27/24. Impact: 0.1

Warriors Notable Injuries

Stephen Curry (PG): Avg: 26.2pts, 4.5reb, 5.2ast, 32.6 minutes. Last game: 10/27/24. Impact: 7.2
Andrew Wiggins (SG): Avg: 13.4pts, 4.6reb, 1.7ast, 27.1 minutes. Last game: 10/27/24. Impact: 5.1
De’Anthony Melton (PG): Avg: 10.2pts, 3.4reb, 2.9ast, 25.3 minutes. Last game: 10/27/24. Impact: 2.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Pts	18.5	22.1	+3.6	60%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	-3.3	#3
Zion Williamson	NOP	Pts	22.5	24.9	+2.4	40%	60%	60%	60%	GSW	-3.3	#3
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.9	+1.4	60%	70%	53%	53%	NOP	+0.1	#18
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.5	+1.0	20%	40%	53%	53%	NOP	-0.5	#6
Jordan Hawkins	NOP	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	20%	10%	13%	13%	GSW	+0.4	#25
CJ McCollum	NOP	Ast	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	GSW	+0.3	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#29	#3	#24	5.7%
PF	#9	#6	#22	#7	-4.3%
PG	#3	#17	#27	#6	-6.2%
SF	#4	#18	#28	#13	-2.2%
SG	#14	#5	#8	#6	-5.3%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#27	#25	#20	4.4%
PF	#27	#21	#5	#23	4.5%
PG	#14	#10	#17	#14	-1.7%
SF	#3	#19	#14	#11	-4.8%
SG	#4	#12	#26	#7	-4.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.0

117.2

Rebounds per Game

43.1

48.4

Assists per Game

27.2

30.2

Steals per Game

9.1

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.9

5.5

Shots per Game

87.7

93.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

14.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.8

55.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

38.5

Turnovers per Game

11.8

13.8

Fouls per Game

17.5

18.8

Recent Trends

Kyle Anderson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.0% to 12.5, 20.8 min average previous 3 games.
Javonte Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 20.0, 28.9 min average previous 3 games.
Buddy Hield (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.4% to 20.8, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Theis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.4% to 17.8, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.