Pelicans vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready for an explosive clash at the Toyota Center tonight as the underdog New Orleans Pelicans swoop into Houston, looking to shake up their rocky season against the soaring Rockets. With the Rockets just a whisper away from the top of the Western conference and the Pelicans struggling to find their rhythm, tonight’s playoff game promises to dial up the intensity. The odds makers have spoken, setting the stage for a showdown that could either rocket Houston further up the leaderboard or give the Pelicans a much-needed lift. As the clock ticks down to a 09:00 PM EST tipoff, fans are buzzing—will the Rockets launch another victory, or can the Pelicans spread their wings for an unexpected ascent?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 19, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+375	-525	218.0	10.5/-10.5
Recent	+300	-400	216.5	9.0/-9.0
Difference	-75	+125	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

29W-27L

25.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

35W-16L

75.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/22/24	Houston Rockets HOU	27	23	29	26	105	Over
02/22/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	32	38	26	127	Over
01/31/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	28	23	26	110	Under
01/31/24	Houston Rockets HOU	25	29	25	20	99	Under
12/23/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	21	32	27	106	Under
12/23/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	27	33	20	104	Under
11/10/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	17	31	22	101	Under
11/10/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	28	16	34	104	Under
03/19/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	38	26	28	25	117	Over
03/19/23	Houston Rockets HOU	28	16	34	29	107	Over
03/17/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	28	36	22	112	Over
03/17/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	18	31	34	114	Over
01/04/23	Houston Rockets HOU	22	30	21	35	108	Over
01/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	45	30	23	21	119	Over
11/12/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	24	37	19	106	Over
11/12/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	29	23	33	119	Over
03/13/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	23	17	33	105	Over
03/13/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	39	30	32	130	Over
02/08/22	Houston Rockets HOU	30	23	23	21	97	Under
02/08/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	29	22	24	110	Under
02/06/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	23	38	33	120	Over
02/06/22	Houston Rockets HOU	21	33	23	30	107	Over
12/05/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	23	36	23	108	Over
12/05/21	Houston Rockets HOU	28	29	37	24	118	Over

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/15	vs IND	104-119L	49	18	18	97
12/12	@ SAC	109-111L	43	22	17	83
12/08	vs SAS	116-121L	43	26	8	99
12/07	@ OKL	109-119L	35	25	18	79
12/05	@ PHX	126-124W	44	23	13	95
12/02	vs ATL	112-124L	41	21	16	100
12/01	vs NYK	85-118L	42	20	14	94
11/29	vs MEM	109-120L	46	16	14	91
11/25	vs IND	110-114L	44	35	15	87
11/22	@ GSW	108-112L	43	28	9	92

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/14	vs OKL	96-111L	49	17	16	96
12/11	@ GSW	91-90W	36	23	16	83
12/08	vs LAC	117-106W	50	23	15	82
12/05	vs GSW	93-99L	45	20	8	93
12/03	vs SAC	111-120L	53	14	15	93
12/01	@ OKL	119-116W	51	20	10	92
11/26	vs MIN	117-111W	44	31	10	99
11/23	@ POR	98-104L	43	17	9	90
11/22	@ POR	116-88W	51	27	17	93
11/20	@ IND	130-113W	47	25	13	102

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Herbert Jones PF	27.0	31.6	23.9	100%	24.2
CJ McCollum SG	36.0	36.1	39.1	100%	39.5
Yves Missi C	34.0	29.1	25.0	75%	25.9
Trey Murphy III SF	35.0	33.2	32.4	93%	33.0
Dejounte Murray PG	45.0	42.8	46.3	100%	46.7

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	25.0	24.5	22.5	100%	22.9
Jalen Green SG	32.0	31.9	31.1	100%	31.5
Alperen Sengun C	46.0	39.0	43.5	100%	43.8
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	26.0	25.6	26.0	100%	26.4
Fred VanVleet PG	36.0	29.6	37.0	100%	37.4

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.8pts, 5.2reb, 5.5ast, 33.2 minutes. Last game: 12/07/24. Impact: 6.2
Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 4.3reb, 0.8ast, 18.4 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 1.3
Daniel Theis (C): Avg: 5.3pts, 3.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.8 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.6
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.9
Antonio Reeves (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 0.6ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 1.6

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 3.9pts, 2.8reb, 0.9ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dejounte Murray	NOP	Pts	19.5	22.5	+3.0	40%	30%	33%	33%	HOU	+0.1	#16
Yves Missi	NOP	Pts	9.5	12.3	+2.8	20%	60%	53%	53%	HOU	-1.6	#6
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	5.5	5.9	+0.4	40%	40%	40%	40%	HOU	+0.6	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#30	#11	#28	7.9%
PF	#15	#22	#24	#16	1.5%
PG	#21	#20	#29	#28	9.3%
SF	#23	#14	#10	#18	2.8%
SG	#14	#22	#11	#16	-0.4%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#14	#1	#10	-4.3%
PF	#3	#14	#2	#4	-10.8%
PG	#16	#26	#12	#23	3.8%
SF	#2	#21	#2	#1	-14.8%
SG	#25	#27	#2	#18	1.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.5

112.4

Rebounds per Game

42.6

46.6

Assists per Game

24.2

22.7

Steals per Game

9.4

8.7

Blocks per Game

4.8

4.9

Shots per Game

88.3

93.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.7

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.6

51.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.9

33.2

Turnovers per Game

13.3

12.0

Fouls per Game

18.2

20.7

Recent Trends

Jamal Cain (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.7% to 11.1, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
Javonte Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.2% to 13.2, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 18.7, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
Amen Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.8% to 32.7, 24.0 min average previous 3 games.