Pelicans vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at FedEx Forum tonight as the underdog New Orleans Pelicans swoop into Memphis, looking to ruffle some feathers against the high-flying Grizzlies in a crucial first round NBA Playoff game. With the clock set for a 06:00 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high. The Grizzlies, fresh off a dominant victory, are prowling for another win to bolster their strong early playoff position, while the Pelicans, still reeling from a close call loss, are desperate to claw back and upset the odds. With the over/under teetering at a hefty 231.5, expect a barrage of buckets in this Western conference clash where every point counts. As the Pelicans try to peck away at the deficit and the Grizzlies aim to bear down on their prey, tonight’s game promises to be nothing short of a beak-biting, fur-flying frenzy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 29, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+350	-480	225.0	10.0/-10.0
Recent	+450	-650	231.5	12.0/-12.0
Difference	+100	-170	+6.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

29W-22L

18.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

16W-34L

81.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
02/12/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	30	25	10	00	96	Under
02/12/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	21	26	14	00	87	Under
12/26/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	19	24	36	130	116	Under
12/26/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	19	29	32	23	120	115	Under
12/19/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	16	36	38	00	115	Under
12/19/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	21	39	27	26	00	113	Under
10/25/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	32	25	29	00	111	Under
10/25/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	19	23	34	00	104	Under
04/05/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	35	21	34	70	131	Over
04/05/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	20	33	39	140	138	Over
12/31/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	25	29	22	00	101	Under
12/31/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	22	30	33	00	116	Under
11/25/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	23	29	34	00	111	Over
11/25/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	44	24	38	26	00	132	Over
11/15/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	25	27	15	00	102	Under
11/15/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	27	30	24	00	113	Under
04/09/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	18	29	33	34	00	114	Over
04/09/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	34	55	22	00	141	Over
03/08/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	26	27	00	111	Over
03/08/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	44	33	35	20	00	132	Over
02/15/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	28	28	28	00	121	Under
02/15/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	26	30	26	00	109	Under
11/13/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	22	22	28	29	00	101	Under
11/13/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	27	21	29	00	112	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/25	vs IND	110-114L	44	35	15	87
11/22	@ GSW	108-112L	43	28	9	92
11/20	vs CLE	100-128L	40	23	11	92
11/19	vs DAL	91-132L	37	19	21	78
11/16	@ LAL	99-104L	50	24	17	83
11/15	@ DEN	101-94W	56	21	14	87
11/13	vs OKL	88-106L	58	21	23	86
11/11	@ BRO	105-107L	45	31	10	94
11/08	vs ORL	88-115L	31	18	15	84
11/06	@ CLE	122-131L	33	21	9	88

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/25	@ POR	123-98W	60	35	18	87
11/23	vs CHI	142-131W	49	38	11	96
11/20	@ PHI	117-111W	41	29	19	85
11/19	@ DEN	110-122L	55	24	22	103
11/17	@ DEN	105-90W	45	31	12	91
11/15	vs GSW	118-123L	54	22	15	103
11/13	vs LAL	123-128L	41	28	13	89
11/10	vs POR	134-89W	51	32	20	85
11/08	@ WAS	128-104W	50	30	17	97
11/06	@ LAL	131-114W	50	28	18	93

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	40.0	41.1	36.5	100%	36.9
CJ McCollum SG	33.0	35.0	36.8	100%	37.1
Yves Missi C	27.0	25.9	22.0	62%	21.6
Trey Murphy III PF	34.0	33.1	32.4	77%	33.3
Dejounte Murray PG	33.0	40.9	47.5	100%	47.9

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	31.0	30.2	35.4	100%	34.7
Brandon Clarke PF	18.0	21.3	18.0	37%	20.0
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	37.0	38.9	39.4	100%	39.7
Ja Morant PG	36.0	42.3	42.0	90%	42.9
Jaylen Wells SF	17.0	22.2	19.9	69%	22.3

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 5.7pts, 4.6reb, 0.9ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 1.9
Antonio Reeves (SF): Avg: 6.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 2.3
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.2reb, 0.0ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.1

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Vince Williams Jr. (PF): Avg: 10.0pts, 5.5reb, 3.5ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 4.4
Zach Edey (C): Avg: 10.1pts, 6.2reb, 0.8ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 4.1
John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.1pts, 4.3reb, 1.9ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 1.9
Cam Spencer (SG): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 10.4 minutes. Last game: 11/23/24. Impact: 0.7
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.4
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.2reb, 0.8ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	19.5	21.2	+1.7	80%	90%	73%	73%	NOP	-1.1	#8
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Pts	19.5	21.2	+1.7	40%	60%	60%	60%	MEM	+1.0	#23
Dejounte Murray	NOP	Reb	3.5	4.1	+0.6	80%	80%	80%	80%	MEM	+1.4	#29
CJ McCollum	NOP	Reb	3.5	3.8	+0.3	60%	70%	80%	80%	MEM	-0.6	#4

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#28	#8	#22	4.6%
PF	#8	#12	#27	#12	-2.3%
PG	#20	#21	#25	#26	6.4%
SF	#7	#14	#16	#13	-0.8%
SG	#17	#13	#7	#13	-2.7%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#17	#20	#26	6.5%
PF	#20	#28	#17	#28	8.4%
PG	#2	#29	#27	#24	6.0%
SF	#23	#13	#28	#25	8.1%
SG	#12	#4	#4	#9	-3.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.4

112.1

Rebounds per Game

43.3

46.9

Assists per Game

25.9

26.6

Steals per Game

8.5

8.7

Blocks per Game

4.6

6.9

Shots per Game

86.9

90.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.1

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.9

51.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

34.9

Turnovers per Game

12.6

15.3

Fouls per Game

17.2

19.9

Recent Trends

Jamal Cain (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.2% to 23.2, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jordan Hawkins (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 18.7, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jay Huff (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 72.8% to 17.6, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Murphy III (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.2% to 35.7, 27.2 min average previous 3 games.
Elfrid Payton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 129.0% to 26.5, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Antonio Reeves (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.4% to 19.8, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.