Pelicans vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 22nd 2024

Hold on to your feathers, folks, because tonight the New Orleans Pelicans, sitting pretty at 42W-27L, are swooping into the Kaseya Center, ready to bring the heat against the Miami Heat, who are simmering at a respectable 38W-31L. The clock strikes 08:00PM EST, and it’s game on! With the Pelicans flying high in the Western conference, the Heat are feeling the pressure, trailing 3.5 games in the Eastern conference. The betting gurus have the over/under perched at 210.0, with the Pelicans tipped at 3.5 and the Heat steaming at -3.5. The Heat are bringing some sizzle to the court following their narrow 107-104 victory against CLE, while the Pelicans are looking to bounce back from a 106-121 tumble against ORL. So, buckle up and prepare for a clash of talons and flames as we see if the Pelicans can handle the Heat or if Miami will send New Orleans flying south for the winter.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 22, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

22W-14L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

17W-15L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
02/23/24	Miami Heat MIA	31	27	26	22		106	Under
	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	34	22	15		95
01/22/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	15	25	24		96	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	23	18	28	31		100
01/18/23	Miami Heat MIA	36	34	28	26		124	Over
	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	23	28	25	22		98
02/10/22	Miami Heat MIA	27	29	27	29		112	Under
	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	31	18	24		97
11/17/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	18	18	28		98	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	21	26	34	32		113

Starting Lineups

Pelicans Notable Injuries

• Brandon Ingram (SG/SF): Avg: 20.9pts, 5.1reb, 5.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 5.7

Heat Notable Injuries

• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 13.4pts, 2.5reb, 3.0ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 4.2
• Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.2ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.5% to 32.8, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
• Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.2% to 34.8, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Patty Mills (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 18.9, 14.3 min average previous 3 games.
• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 34.2, 24.6 min average previous 3 games.
The Heat have a 2-game losing streak at home.