Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the underdog New Orleans Pelicans swoop into the Paycom Center to challenge the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder in a first-round NBA Playoff clash that promises more fireworks than the early rounds have delivered! With the Thunder booming their way through the season with a stellar 42-9 record and the Pelicans trying to find their rhythm, tonight’s game, tipping off at 9 PM EST, is set to shake up the Western Conference standings. The stakes are sky-high with a 235-point over/under and the Thunder favored heavily. Fresh off a victorious clash against Memphis and the Pelicans nursing the wounds of a narrow defeat to Sacramento, both teams are hungry for a win. So, let’s see if the Pelicans can weather the Thunderstorm or if OKC will continue to roll like thunder across the court!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 10, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+725	-1300	234.5	15.5/-15.5
Recent	+725	-1300	235.0	15.5/-15.5
Difference	0	0	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

31W-35L

12.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

52W-10L

87.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/07/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	35	42	22	20	00	119	Under
12/07/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	23	28	29	29	00	109	Under
11/13/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	22	18	20	00	88	Under
11/13/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	21	28	24	00	106	Under
03/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	40	23	23	00	119	Under
03/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	32	22	00	112	Under
01/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	27	30	00	107	Under
01/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	17	23	19	00	83	Under
11/01/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	14	29	35	32	00	110	Under
11/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	18	26	29	00	106	Under
03/11/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	24	23	00	110	Under
03/11/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	22	28	24	00	96	Under
02/13/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	27	16	27	00	103	Under
02/13/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	26	22	27	00	100	Under
12/23/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	31	16	32	160	128	Over
12/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	23	31	35	130	125	Over
11/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	24	24	27	00	101	Under
11/28/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	22	25	24	00	105	Under
12/26/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	18	31	32	31	00	112	Under
12/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	25	32	28	00	117	Under
12/15/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	21	30	38	00	113	Under
12/15/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	23	27	32	00	110	Under
11/10/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	28	29	23	00	108	Under
11/10/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	19	23	29	00	100	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/08	vs SAC	118-123L	39	27	16	90
02/05	vs DEN	119-144L	38	26	11	93
02/03	vs DEN	113-125L	41	27	10	88
01/31	@ BOS	116-118L	48	16	18	90
01/29	@ DAL	136-137L	36	31	8	96
01/27	vs TOR	104-113L	46	21	12	89
01/24	vs MEM	126-139L	35	30	12	83
01/20	@ UTA	123-119W	45	28	12	92
01/17	@ UTA	136-123W	56	34	13	100
01/15	@ DAL	119-116W	49	24	10	97

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/08	vs MEM	125-112W	55	29	8	105
02/07	@ TOR	121-109W	44	26	12	84
02/05	@ PHX	140-109W	46	24	5	102
02/03	@ MIL	125-96W	55	28	17	99
02/01	@ SAC	144-110W	70	37	11	107
01/29	vs GSW	109-116L	50	21	11	99
01/26	vs POR	118-108W	43	24	7	89
01/23	@ DAL	115-121L	33	26	12	88
01/22	@ UTA	123-114W	39	20	10	95
01/19	@ BRO	127-101W	43	37	11	87

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jose Alvarado PG	27.0	22.1	20.0	23%	30.9
CJ McCollum SG	35.0	37.9	36.4	100%	36.8
Yves Missi C	27.0	22.2	25.5	100%	24.6
Trey Murphy III SF	41.0	50.9	40.0	93%	41.1
Zion Williamson PF	46.0	45.5	43.4	100%	43.8

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SG	19.0	21.4	21.2	100%	21.5
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	48.0	52.6	54.1	100%	54.4
Isaiah Hartenstein C	35.0	32.0	34.4	100%	33.3
Chet Holmgren PF	24.0	24.9	33.0	100%	33.2
Jalen Williams SF	39.0	40.4	39.6	100%	40.0

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Dejounte Murray (PG): Avg: 21.0pts, 5.7reb, 6.7ast, 34.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 6.6
Kelly Olynyk (C): Avg: 9.2pts, 4.9reb, 4.0ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 3.0
Bruce Brown (PG/SF): Avg: 10.4pts, 4.2reb, 2.6ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 3.1
Keion Brooks Jr. (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.0

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 8.9pts, 3.5reb, 3.2ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 3.1
Cason Wallace (PG/SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 22.6 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 3.3
Isaiah Joe (SG): Avg: 8.5pts, 2.4reb, 1.3ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 3.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.9reb, 1.8ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 3.9
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.9reb, 1.0ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.8
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zion Williamson	NOP	Pts	21.5	25.3	+3.8	80%	70%	60%	60%	OKL	-0.8	#12
Jose Alvarado	NOP	Pts	8.5	11.2	+2.7	40%	50%	60%	60%	OKL	+0.5	#19
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	5.5	6.3	+0.8	40%	60%	53%	53%	OKL	+0.3	#22
CJ McCollum	NOP	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	40%	50%	47%	47%	OKL	+0.3	#22

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#28	#27	#28	7.9%
PF	#30	#21	#19	#28	9.6%
PG	#9	#27	#22	#21	1.5%
SF	#27	#13	#23	#26	6.6%
SG	#24	#14	#25	#27	4.2%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#15	#3	#3	-10.6%
PF	#12	#1	#4	#2	-11.8%
PG	#19	#10	#6	#5	-4.8%
SF	#4	#18	#8	#3	-8.1%
SG	#2	#22	#19	#2	-8.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.2

120.1

Rebounds per Game

42.4

44.6

Assists per Game

26.7

26.6

Steals per Game

9.4

9.7

Blocks per Game

5.6

4.6

Shots per Game

91.6

92.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.0

57.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.1

36.3

Turnovers per Game

13.0

11.2

Fouls per Game

19.2

20.7

Recent Trends

Jose Alvarado (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.3% to 28.2, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 108.8% to 21.9, 10.5 min average previous 3 games.
Alex Caruso (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.1% to 21.5, 14.8 min average previous 3 games.
Chet Holmgren (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 18.8, 27.2 min average previous 3 games.
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 101.1% to 24.4, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.5% to 11.9, 18.4 min average previous 3 games.