Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024
Pelicans
1W-1L
April 21, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 216.5 o/u
Thunder
0W-0L
Get ready for an electrifying showdown at the Paycom Center tonight as the New Orleans Pelicans swoop in with a balanced 1-1 record to clash with the undefeated Oklahoma City Thunder at 09:30 PM EST. It’s the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, and both teams are itching to set the tone for their postseason campaigns. With the Pelicans flying high after narrowly clipping the Warriors’ wings and the Thunder rolling in thunderous form from their recent triumph over the Bucks, the stakes are sky-high. The sportsbooks are buzzing too, pegging an over/under at 216.5 in a game where every point will count. As the Pelicans try to peck away at the Thunder’s defenses, tonight’s game is set to be nothing short of a high-flying, thunder-striking showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 21, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
NOP ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +280 | -360 | 214.5 | 8.5/-8.5 |
Recent | +260 | -320 | 216.5 | 7.5/-7.5 |
Difference | -20 | +40 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance
27.8% Win Probability
72.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/26/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 40 | 23 | 23 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 00 | 112 | |||
01/26/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 00 | 107 | Under | |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 17 | 23 | 19 | 00 | 83 | |||
11/01/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 14 | 29 | 35 | 32 | 00 | 110 | Under | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 18 | 26 | 29 | 00 | 106 | |||
03/11/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 110 | Under | |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 00 | 96 | |||
02/13/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 27 | 16 | 27 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 00 | 100 | |||
12/23/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 31 | 16 | 32 | 160 | 128 | Over | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 23 | 31 | 35 | 130 | 125 | |||
11/28/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 105 | |||
12/26/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 18 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 25 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 117 | |||
12/15/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 21 | 30 | 38 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 23 | 27 | 32 | 00 | 110 | |||
11/10/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 108 | Under | |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 19 | 23 | 29 | 00 | 100 |
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs GSW | 114-109W | 38 | 24 | 8 | 90 |
04/11 | vs SAC | 135-123W | 40 | 35 | 13 | 86 |
04/09 | vs POR | 110-100W | 45 | 25 | 9 | 87 |
04/07 | vs PHX | 113-105W | 42 | 26 | 12 | 85 |
04/05 | @ SAS | 109-111L | 41 | 28 | 17 | 87 |
04/03 | @ ORL | 108-117L | 35 | 21 | 14 | 76 |
04/01 | @ PHX | 111-124L | 37 | 29 | 9 | 89 |
03/30 | @ BOS | 92-104L | 41 | 22 | 9 | 86 |
03/28 | @ MIL | 107-100W | 48 | 22 | 6 | 91 |
03/26 | @ OKL | 112-119L | 37 | 26 | 9 | 86 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
42.4 | 32.4 | 37.4 | 100% | 37.7 | |
22.1 | 22.6 | 24.6 | 100% | 25.0 | |
CJ McCollum
PG
|
39.8 | 48.3 | 36.1 | 100% | 36.5 |
34.3 | 39.1 | 32.4 | 60% | 35.0 | |
27.9 | 26.0 | 22.5 | 100% | 22.9 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.4 | 24.9 | 20.8 | 100% | 21.3 | |
Josh Giddey
PG
|
34.5 | 37.9 | 31.0 | 100% | 31.4 |
51.8 | 43.0 | 49.2 | 100% | 49.5 | |
38.7 | 36.3 | 34.1 | 100% | 34.4 | |
36.8 | 35.0 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.5 |
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Zion Williamson (PF): Avg: 22.9pts, 5.7reb, 5.0ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 7.3
- Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): Avg: 7.7pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.7
- Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.7ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.5
- Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 5.1reb, 1.3ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.8
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.6reb, 1.1ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.1
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.3reb, 0.7ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.6
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.0
- Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 2.0ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Brandon Ingram | NOP | Pts | 20.5 | 22.4 | +1.9 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | OKL | +6.0 | #26 |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 15.5 | 17.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | NOP | +1.4 | #22 |
Josh Giddey | OKL | Reb | 6.5 | 7.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | NOP | -0.7 | #6 |
Aaron Wiggins | OKL | Reb | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 67% | NOP | +0.9 | #20 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Ast | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | NOP | -0.7 | #5 |
CJ McCollum | NOP | Ast | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | OKL | +0.5 | #23 |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #25 | #16 | #20 | 4.9% |
PF | #10 | #14 | #26 | #9 | -4.7% |
PG | #28 | #11 | #26 | #27 | 27.9% |
SF | #5 | #20 | #20 | #11 | -10.4% |
SG | #9 | #6 | #5 | #2 | -10.3% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #2 | #27 | #15 | 2.0% |
PF | #22 | #27 | #16 | #23 | 5.8% |
PG | #12 | #22 | #12 | #11 | -9.6% |
SF | #26 | #28 | #9 | #26 | 18.9% |
SG | #7 | #13 | #23 | #15 | -2.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.7% to 15.5, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Larry Nance Jr. (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.9% to 23.8, 17.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jonas Valanciunas (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.3% to 23.5, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 53.4% to 12.0, 25.8 min average previous 3 games. The Pelicans have a 4-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak. The Thunder have a 3-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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