Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024

Get ready to rumble at the Paycom Center tonight as the NBA playoffs heat up with the New Orleans Pelicans swooping in to challenge the Oklahoma City Thunder! Both teams are neck and neck in the Western conference, each just a half-game shy of the top spot, and they’re bringing their A-game to this crucial first-round matchup. With the Pelicans fresh off a nail-biting victory over the Warriors and the Thunder thundering past the Bucks, tonight’s clash at 09:30 PM EST promises high stakes and even higher excitement. The betting lines are buzzing, the crowd’s pumped, and with an over/under of 211.5, we’re in for some serious scoreboard action. So, let’s see if the Pelicans can weather the storm or if the Thunder will strike again in what’s shaping up to be a true clash of the titans!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 24, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	211.5	8.0/-8.0
Recent	+250	-300	211.5	7.5/-7.5
Difference	+65	-75	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

28W-14L

28.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

31W-7L

71.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/21/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	26	25	24	00	92	Under
04/21/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	17	26	31	20	00	94	Under
03/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	40	23	23	00	119	Over
03/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	32	22	00	112	Over
01/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	27	30	00	107	Under
01/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	17	23	19	00	83	Under
11/01/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	14	29	35	32	00	110	Over
11/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	18	26	29	00	106	Over
03/11/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	24	23	00	110	Under
03/11/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	22	28	24	00	96	Under
02/13/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	27	16	27	00	103	Under
02/13/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	26	22	27	00	100	Under
12/23/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	31	16	32	160	128	Over
12/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	23	31	35	130	125	Over
11/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	24	24	27	00	101	Under
11/28/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	22	25	24	00	105	Under
12/26/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	18	31	32	31	00	112	Over
12/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	25	32	28	00	117	Over
12/15/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	21	30	38	00	113	Over
12/15/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	23	27	32	00	110	Over
11/10/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	28	29	23	00	108	Under
11/10/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	19	23	29	00	100	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs GSW	114-109W	38	24	8	90
04/11	vs SAC	135-123W	40	35	13	86
04/09	vs POR	110-100W	45	25	9	87
04/07	vs PHX	113-105W	42	26	12	85
04/05	@ SAS	109-111L	41	28	17	87
04/03	@ ORL	108-117L	35	21	14	76
04/01	@ PHX	111-124L	37	29	9	89
03/30	@ BOS	92-104L	41	22	9	86
03/28	@ MIL	107-100W	48	22	6	91
03/26	@ OKL	112-119L	37	26	9	86

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82
03/29	@ PHX	128-103W	38	33	10	87
03/27	@ HOU	126-132L	49	26	19	96

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SG	39.5	30.4	37.0	100%	37.4
Herbert Jones SF	23.0	21.5	24.6	100%	25.0
CJ McCollum PG	39.8	46.5	36.1	100%	36.4
Trey Murphy III PF	33.3	39.9	33.5	63%	35.2
Jonas Valanciunas C	30.5	25.2	23.0	100%	23.3

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	23.8	23.1	20.7	100%	21.1
Josh Giddey PG	27.4	34.8	30.8	100%	31.2
S. Gilgeous-Alexander SG	52.3	41.6	49.0	100%	49.4
Chet Holmgren C	39.1	38.9	34.5	100%	34.8
Jalen Williams PF	38.0	36.1	35.3	100%	35.6

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Zion Williamson (PF): Avg: 22.9pts, 5.7reb, 5.0ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 7.3
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): Avg: 7.7pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.7
Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.7ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.5
Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 1.0
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6

Thunder Notable Injuries

Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 5.1reb, 1.3ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 04/21/24. Impact: 2.8
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.6reb, 1.1ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.3reb, 0.7ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.6
Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.0
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 2.0ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	15.5	17.5	+2.0	40%	40%	47%	47%	NOP	+1.4	#20
Josh Giddey	OKL	Pts	9.5	11.1	+1.6	60%	80%	80%	80%	NOP	-0.5	#15
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Reb	3.5	4.0	+0.5	20%	40%	40%	40%	NOP	+0.9	#22
Isaiah Joe	OKL	Reb	1.5	2.0	+0.5	80%	90%	73%	73%	NOP	-0.5	#10
Jonas Valanciunas	NOP	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	60%	50%	40%	40%	OKL	+0.3	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#24	#24	#26	7.4%
PF	#10	#14	#25	#12	-3.2%
PG	#26	#8	#27	#27	28.8%
SF	#4	#22	#23	#11	-9.4%
SG	#15	#10	#9	#6	-7.1%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#9	#21	#19	3.6%
PF	#19	#22	#10	#20	1.2%
PG	#11	#23	#14	#9	-11.3%
SF	#27	#29	#12	#28	21.3%
SG	#10	#13	#27	#19	0.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.1

117.1

Rebounds per Game

40.4

42.4

Assists per Game

25.8

27.9

Steals per Game

9.6

9.2

Blocks per Game

3.0

6.2

Shots per Game

86.3

87.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.6

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.4

56.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.7

38.3

Turnovers per Game

10.6

13.3

Fouls per Game

17.1

17.2

Recent Trends

Jose Alvarado (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.1% to 25.6, 19.3 min average previous 3 games.
Dyson Daniels (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.6% to 18.2, 31.1 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.2, 33.6 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.9% to 13.9, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.9% to 11.2, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.
Larry Nance Jr. (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 23.4, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jonas Valanciunas (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.7% to 26.2, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.7% to 12.7, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.