Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s NBA Playoff face-off is nothing short of a David vs. Goliath scenario as the underdog New Orleans Pelicans swoop into the Paycom Center with hopes of clipping the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder’s wings. With the Thunder booming through the season at a stellar 9-2 and the Pelicans struggling to keep pace, this first-round game, tipping off at 8:30 PM EST, promises to spice up what’s been a series of playoff blowouts. While the Thunder look to continue their electric performance following a sizzling win over LAC, the Pelicans are hungry to bounce back from a nail-biter against BRO. With the stakes sky-high and the odds stacked, tonight’s showdown is set to ignite the court. So, will the Thunder roll, or can the Pelicans take flight in an upset that could ruffle some feathers in the Western conference?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 13, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+700	-1200	223.5	14.5/-14.5
Recent	+330	-440	223.0	14.5/-14.5
Difference	-370	+760	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

29W-18L

23.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

35W-8L

76.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	40	23	23	00	119	Over
03/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	32	22	00	112	Over
01/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	27	30	00	107	Under
01/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	17	23	19	00	83	Under
11/01/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	14	29	35	32	00	110	Under
11/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	18	26	29	00	106	Under
03/11/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	24	23	00	110	Under
03/11/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	22	28	24	00	96	Under
02/13/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	27	16	27	00	103	Under
02/13/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	26	22	27	00	100	Under
12/23/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	31	16	32	160	128	Over
12/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	23	31	35	130	125	Over
11/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	24	24	27	00	101	Under
11/28/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	22	25	24	00	105	Under
12/26/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	18	31	32	31	00	112	Over
12/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	25	32	28	00	117	Over
12/15/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	21	30	38	00	113	Push
12/15/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	23	27	32	00	110	Push
11/10/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	28	29	23	00	108	Under
11/10/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	19	23	29	00	100	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/11	@ BRO	105-107L	45	31	10	94
11/08	vs ORL	88-115L	31	18	15	84
11/06	@ CLE	122-131L	33	21	9	88
11/03	@ ATL	111-126L	43	22	18	90
11/01	@ IND	125-118W	46	28	6	101
10/30	vs GSW	89-104L	49	24	14	90
10/29	vs GSW	106-124L	44	23	23	74
10/27	vs POR	103-125L	39	24	15	88
10/25	vs POR	105-103W	44	25	14	86
10/23	@ CHI	123-111W	42	29	11	97

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/11	@ LAC	134-128W	29	31	11	91
11/10	@ GSW	116-127L	41	25	11	94
11/08	@ HOU	126-107W	41	24	10	90
11/06	vs DEN	122-124L	47	29	14	100
11/01	vs POR	137-114W	45	31	13	95
10/30	@ SAS	105-93W	39	28	10	89
10/27	@ ATL	128-104W	45	26	10	89
10/26	vs CHI	114-95W	54	21	10	107
10/24	vs DEN	102-87W	49	23	12	101
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Boston Jr. PG	34.0	31.4	11.9	10%	35.6
Javonte Green PF	22.0	15.2	15.5	20%	26.0
Brandon Ingram SF	48.0	40.4	36.0	100%	36.4
Yves Missi C	26.0	20.3	19.9	50%	20.3
Trey Murphy III SG	31.0	27.2	32.6	70%	33.1

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort PF	22.0	25.9	22.5	100%	22.8
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	55.0	49.3	48.8	100%	49.2
Isaiah Joe SF	24.0	24.9	16.5	23%	21.1
Aaron Wiggins SG	23.0	22.9	18.5	23%	25.6
Jalen Williams C	44.0	43.9	38.7	100%	39.1

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Zion Williamson (PF/C): Avg: 22.9pts, 5.9reb, 5.0ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 7.3
CJ McCollum (PG): Avg: 19.9pts, 4.3reb, 4.6ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 10/29/24. Impact: 6.4
Herbert Jones (SF): Avg: 10.9pts, 3.6reb, 2.6ast, 30.7 minutes. Last game: 10/29/24. Impact: 3.3
Jose Alvarado (PG): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.3reb, 2.5ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 3.9
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SF): Avg: 8.3pts, 2.4reb, 1.0ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 3.3

Thunder Notable Injuries

Chet Holmgren (C): Avg: 16.5pts, 7.7reb, 2.4ast, 29.8 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 5.7
Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 27.5 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 3.2
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.7ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Malevy Leons (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.3
Alex Ducas (SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	20.5	23.0	+2.5	60%	50%	33%	33%	NOP	+0.2	#18
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Pts	13.5	15.9	+2.4	20%	50%	60%	60%	OKL	-0.7	#9
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Reb	5.5	6.4	+0.9	40%	50%	40%	40%	OKL	-0.4	#12

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#29	#4	#17	3.5%
PF	#8	#8	#28	#12	-2.0%
PG	#6	#23	#29	#23	4.4%
SF	#3	#21	#21	#11	-2.9%
SG	#18	#13	#7	#12	-2.8%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#24	#27	#16	1.9%
PF	#14	#24	#9	#15	0.0%
PG	#2	#27	#3	#2	-14.6%
SF	#25	#12	#23	#20	2.7%
SG	#9	#23	#20	#13	-1.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.1

118.3

Rebounds per Game

43.1

43.3

Assists per Game

26.1

26.4

Steals per Game

8.5

10.1

Blocks per Game

4.8

6.7

Shots per Game

87.6

89.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.7

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.0

56.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.6

37.1

Turnovers per Game

12.2

12.0

Fouls per Game

17.2

18.6

Recent Trends

Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 77.2% to 37.3, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.8% to 25.6, 18.7 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.0% to 25.8, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.