Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Moda Center tonight as the undefeated New Orleans Pelicans swoop in, looking to feather their nest with another win against the Portland Trail Blazers in this first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. With the Blazers trailing in the series and desperate to claw their way back from the brink at 06:00 PM EST, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Pelicans, flying high with confidence from their last nail-biter, aim to continue their dominant streak, while the Blazers are fired up to turn the heat on and avoid a sweep. With the over/under perched at 218.5, the odds are set, and the court is ready for an epic showdown. So, get ready as the Pelicans try to peck their way to victory, and the Blazers look to extinguish their fiery competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 27, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	NOP ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-235	+195	218.5	-6.0/6.0
Recent	-250	+210	218.5	-6.5/6.5
Difference	-15	+15	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

29W-14L

71.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

10W-32L

28.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
10/25/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	15	22	38	30	105	Under
10/25/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	20	37	19	103	Under
04/09/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	24	35	23	110	Under
04/09/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	28	23	22	100	Under
03/16/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	33	35	24	15	107	Over
03/16/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	36	37	29	24	126	Over
02/10/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	18	17	29	93	Under
02/10/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	24	16	23	21	84	Under
03/27/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	31	35	124	Under
03/27/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	14	21	20	35	90	Under
03/12/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	29	19	37	110	Over
03/12/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	42	32	35	18	127	Over
03/01/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	24	37	31	121	Over
03/01/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	25	35	19	110	Over
11/10/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	24	27	28	106	Under
11/10/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	30	17	21	95	Under
04/07/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	28	24	24	18	94	Over
04/07/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	32	36	26	127	Over
03/30/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	19	34	32	117	Over
03/30/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	36	18	28	25	107	Over
12/21/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	21	28	29	19	97	Under
12/21/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	27	30	30	111	Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/25	vs POR	105-103W	44	25	14	86
10/23	@ CHI	123-111W	42	29	11	97
04/12	vs GSW	114-109W	38	24	8	90
04/11	vs SAC	135-123W	40	35	13	86
04/09	vs POR	110-100W	45	25	9	87
04/07	vs PHX	113-105W	42	26	12	85
04/05	@ SAS	109-111L	41	28	17	87
04/03	@ ORL	108-117L	35	21	14	76
04/01	@ PHX	111-124L	37	29	9	89
03/30	@ BOS	92-104L	41	22	9	86

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/25	@ NOP	103-105L	48	26	19	90
10/23	@ GSW	104-139L	42	21	17	92
04/12	@ HOU	107-116L	48	20	7	95
04/11	@ GSW	92-100L	49	22	12	97
04/09	@ NOP	100-110L	47	28	21	85
04/07	vs BOS	107-124L	53	26	14	102
04/05	vs WAS	108-102W	55	29	12	95
04/03	vs CHA	89-86W	55	19	15	93
04/01	vs ORL	103-104L	44	28	9	90
03/29	vs MIA	82-145L	43	20	23	89

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	41.0	36.6	37.2	100%	37.6
Herbert Jones SG	26.0	21.6	23.1	100%	23.4
CJ McCollum PG	39.0	35.7	36.6	100%	36.9
Daniel Theis C	21.0	15.4	14.3	13%	20.8
Zion Williamson PF	42.0	49.4	43.0	100%	43.5

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija SF	33.0	39.6	35.7	100%	36.0
Deandre Ayton C	40.0	34.5	40.2	100%	40.6
Toumani Camara SG	22.0	27.3	19.7	73%	22.0
Jerami Grant PF	35.0	28.9	31.0	100%	31.5
Anfernee Simons PG	36.0	28.9	36.3	100%	36.7

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Dejounte Murray (PG): Avg: 22.2pts, 5.4reb, 6.5ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 7.6
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.0 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.5
Antonio Reeves (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.0 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: -0.1

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Deandre Ayton	POR	Pts	14.5	18.1	+3.6	40%	70%	73%	73%	NOP	+0.8	#18
Javonte Green	NOP	Pts	5.5	8.7	+3.2	80%	70%	53%	53%	POR	+2.6	#28
Scoot Henderson	POR	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	80%	70%	67%	67%	NOP	-0.6	#3
Deni Avdija	POR	Reb	6.5	7.3	+0.8	60%	70%	73%	73%	NOP	-0.6	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#29	#7	#21	4.7%
PF	#6	#6	#22	#6	-5.8%
PG	#2	#18	#24	#5	-7.6%
SF	#4	#9	#26	#12	-4.3%
SG	#16	#3	#6	#7	-5.0%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#24	#28	#29	11.0%
PF	#22	#4	#14	#19	2.3%
PG	#6	#9	#16	#9	-4.1%
SF	#7	#22	#10	#8	-5.5%
SG	#15	#1	#11	#19	0.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.2

104.4

Rebounds per Game

43.6

44.0

Assists per Game

27.1

23.9

Steals per Game

8.9

7.4

Blocks per Game

4.8

4.1

Shots per Game

87.6

89.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

10.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.1

49.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.4

33.7

Turnovers per Game

11.9

14.9

Fouls per Game

17.5

20.1

Recent Trends

Justin Minaya (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.9% to 26.4, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
Kris Murray (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.2% to 22.5, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.
Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jabari Walker (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 60.9% to 12.9, 33.0 min average previous 3 games.