Pelicans vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 11th 2024
Pelicans
47W-32L
April 11, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 216.5 o/u
Kings
45W-34L
Alright, hoop heads, get ready to dive beak-first into some late-night, high-flying NBA action as the New Orleans Pelicans swoop into the Golden 1 Center, looking to peck away at the Sacramento Kings. With a 47-32 record, the Pelicans are perched just 2.5 games back in the Western conference, while the Kings, sitting at 45-34, are still hoping to crown their season with a playoff spot, despite being 5.5 games back. Tonight’s tipoff is set for 10:00PM EST, so grab your late-night snacks and get comfy. The betting lines are tighter than a drum, with an over/under of 216.5, and the Pelicans and Kings are neck and neck at 1.0 and -1.0 respectively. The Kings will be seeking redemption after a recent tumble against OKL, while the Pelicans, fresh off a win against POR, are hoping to continue their flight to victory. So, whether you’re a King looking to defend your court or a Pelican ready to dive for the win, this game is set to be a royal rumble in the sky!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 11, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
NOP ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -105 | -115 | 218.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Recent | -105 | -125 | 216.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Difference | 0 | -10 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/04/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 35 | 34 | 31 | 27 | 127 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 36 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 117 | ||||
01/07/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 133 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 21 | 26 | 14 | 39 | 100 | ||||
11/22/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 30 | 20 | 29 | 33 | 112 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 32 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 117 | ||||
11/20/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 22 | 16 | 24 | 93 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 37 | 34 | 29 | 129 | ||||
04/04/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 40 | 31 | 25 | 121 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 103 | ||||
03/06/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 32 | 27 | 20 | 29 | 108 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 30 | 38 | 26 | 123 | ||||
02/05/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 26 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 104 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 36 | 34 | 32 | 136 | ||||
04/05/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 33 | 35 | 28 | 123 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 32 | 27 | 25 | 109 | ||||
03/02/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 33 | 28 | 21 | 13 | 95 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 31 | 34 | 31 | 29 | 125 | ||||
11/03/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 26 | 26 | 35 | 12 | 99 | Under | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 112 | ||||
10/29/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 33 | 26 | 18 | 36 | 113 | Over | ||
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 26 | 22 | 24 | 37 | 109 |
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/09 | vs POR | 110-100W | 45 | 25 | 9 | 87 |
04/07 | vs PHX | 113-105W | 42 | 26 | 12 | 85 |
04/05 | @ SAS | 109-111L | 41 | 28 | 17 | 87 |
04/03 | @ ORL | 108-117L | 35 | 21 | 14 | 76 |
04/01 | @ PHX | 111-124L | 37 | 29 | 9 | 89 |
03/30 | @ BOS | 92-104L | 41 | 22 | 9 | 86 |
03/28 | @ MIL | 107-100W | 48 | 22 | 6 | 91 |
03/26 | @ OKL | 112-119L | 37 | 26 | 9 | 86 |
03/24 | vs DET | 114-101W | 41 | 27 | 10 | 81 |
03/22 | vs MIA | 111-88W | 56 | 25 | 12 | 82 |
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/09 | vs OKL | 105-112L | 56 | 23 | 17 | 97 |
04/07 | vs BRO | 107-77W | 54 | 31 | 9 | 94 |
04/05 | vs BOS | 100-101L | 54 | 21 | 7 | 99 |
04/04 | vs NYK | 109-120L | 35 | 26 | 16 | 86 |
04/02 | @ LAC | 109-95W | 56 | 29 | 10 | 92 |
03/31 | @ UTA | 127-106W | 44 | 34 | 15 | 84 |
03/29 | @ DAL | 103-107L | 45 | 24 | 10 | 92 |
03/26 | @ DAL | 96-132L | 42 | 27 | 13 | 90 |
03/25 | @ PHI | 108-96W | 40 | 25 | 7 | 86 |
03/23 | vs ORL | 109-110L | 42 | 26 | 7 | 88 |
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.5 | 19.3 | 24.1 | 100% | 24.5 | |
CJ McCollum
PG
|
42.6 | 46.7 | 35.1 | 100% | 35.4 |
34.2 | 36.0 | 31.0 | 53% | 34.1 | |
24.4 | 24.5 | 22.3 | 100% | 22.7 | |
45.1 | 42.6 | 42.1 | 100% | 42.6 |
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.8 | 10.9 | 18.1 | 100% | 18.4 | |
Keon Ellis
SG
|
24.9 | 22.8 | 14.8 | 50% | 22.5 |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
50.3 | 48.2 | 46.7 | 100% | 47.1 |
32.7 | 32.8 | 27.8 | 100% | 28.2 | |
55.2 | 48.8 | 51.6 | 100% | 52.0 |
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.7ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.5
- Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 2.8reb, 0.9ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Kings Notable Injuries
- Malik Monk (PG): Avg: 15.5pts, 2.9reb, 5.1ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.1
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.8
- Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.2
- Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.9
- Jalen Slawson (SF/PF): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Harrison Barnes | SAC | Pts | 9.5 | 13.1 | +3.6 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | NOP | -9.7 | #1 |
Trey Murphy III | NOP | Pts | 15.5 | 17.7 | +2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% | SAC | +4.0 | #21 |
CJ McCollum | NOP | Reb | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 70% | 53% | 53% | SAC | 0.0 | #18 |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Reb | 14.5 | 14.6 | +0.1 | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% | NOP | +0.7 | #22 |
Keon Ellis | SAC | Ast | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | NOP | -0.2 | #12 |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #22 | #11 | #16 | 1.7% |
PF | #9 | #14 | #23 | #10 | -3.7% |
PG | #27 | #14 | #23 | #27 | 24.8% |
SF | #1 | #21 | #24 | #11 | -7.7% |
SG | #9 | #2 | #12 | #2 | -9.8% |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #1 | #15 | #12 | #3 | -15.4% |
PF | #10 | #18 | #9 | #9 | -4.8% |
PG | #26 | #22 | #7 | #20 | 4.9% |
SF | #21 | #18 | #4 | #12 | -7.7% |
SG | #17 | #18 | #1 | #6 | -5.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Dyson Daniels (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.8% to 31.1, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Larry Nance Jr. (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.9% to 23.8, 17.8 min average previous 3 games. The Pelicans have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Kings have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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