Knicks vs Nuggets Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 21st 2024

Hold onto your basketball caps, sports fans! The city that never sleeps is packing up its 41 victories and taking a little trip to the mile-high city, where the Nuggets are shining bright with their 48 wins. Tonight’s clash at the Ball Arena is more than just a game; it’s a battle of the conferences, with our New York knights standing 13.5 games back in the East, while Denver’s gold nuggets are just half a game shy from the top in the West. The stakes? Well, the bookies have set the over/under at a nail-biting 207.5, and while the Knicks are the underdogs at 8.5, the Nuggets are the favorites at -8.5. Both teams are riding high on their recent victories, Knicks conquering the GSW, and Nuggets mining a win against the Timberwolves. So, prepare for a night where the Knicks will try to strike gold, and the Nuggets aim to keep their court a no-sleep zone!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 21, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	NYK ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+300	-400	209.5	8.5/-8.5
Recent	+220	-270	207.5	9.5/-9.5
Difference	-80	+130	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

19W-14L

31.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

27W-6L

68.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/25/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	21	20	25	18	84	Under
01/25/24	New York Knicks NYK	33	29	36	24	122	Under
03/18/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	39	24	19	110	Over
03/18/23	New York Knicks NYK	36	26	29	25	116	Over
11/16/22	New York Knicks NYK	30	25	25	26	106	Over
11/16/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	27	30	19	103	Over
02/08/22	New York Knicks NYK	36	24	34	21	115	Over
02/08/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	43	28	21	132	Over
12/04/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	30	32	21	113	Over
12/04/21	New York Knicks NYK	25	24	22	28	99	Over

Knicks Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Knicks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/18	vs GSW	119-112W	44	29	10	91
03/16	vs SAC	98-91W	52	19	14	87
03/14	vs POR	105-93W	50	16	12	87
03/12	@ PHI	106-79W	51	32	12	79
03/10	@ PHI	73-79L	50	19	19	80
03/08	@ ORL	98-74W	43	20	15	80
03/05	@ ATL	100-116L	40	27	11	100
03/03	vs CLE	107-98W	47	32	9	86
02/29	@ GSW	99-113L	56	23	12	96
02/27	@ NOP	92-115L	38	27	11	84

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/19	vs MIN	115-112W	49	26	17	81
03/17	vs DAL	105-107L	37	26	7	84
03/15	vs SAS	117-106W	40	37	12	90
03/13	vs MIA	100-88W	41	24	9	82
03/11	@ TOR	125-119W	42	36	9	95
03/09	@ UTA	142-123W	32	40	13	83
03/07	@ BOS	115-109W	45	27	7	92
03/05	@ PHX	107-117L	51	25	14	98
03/02	vs LAL	124-114W	47	34	10	94
02/29	@ MIA	103-100W	41	22	15	86

Starting Lineups

New York Knicks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jalen Brunson PG	47.4	48.6	45.6	100%	44.1
Donte DiVincenzo SG	33.1	29.2	33.5	100%	33.2
Josh Hart PF	39.4	39.5	33.7	73%	38.5
Isaiah Hartenstein C	26.3	27.2	28.8	100%	28.7
Miles McBride SF	24.3	14.9	17.1	20%	35.1

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	20.1	17.7	19.7	100%	20.0
Aaron Gordon PF	30.9	26.7	28.2	100%	28.6
Nikola Jokic C	59.6	55.9	58.6	100%	58.9
Jamal Murray PG	43.2	43.0	40.0	100%	40.5
Michael Porter Jr. SF	32.7	35.2	31.2	100%	31.6

Knicks Notable Injuries

OG Anunoby (SF/PF): Avg: 14.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.2ast, 34.0 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 4.9
Jacob Toppin (SF/PF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.5
Charlie Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.3

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.7
Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jamal Murray	DEN	Pts	20.5	22.5	+2.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	NYK	-3.3	#1
Donte DiVincenzo	NYK	Pts	15.5	17.3	+1.8	40%	60%	60%	60%	DEN	-0.0	#17
Josh Hart	NYK	Reb	10.5	11.5	+1.0	100%	70%	60%	60%	DEN	-0.4	#11
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Reb	6.5	7.4	+0.9	80%	70%	67%	67%	NYK	+0.1	#16
Jalen Brunson	NYK	Ast	5.5	6.7	+1.2	60%	50%	60%	60%	DEN	-0.2	#11
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Ast	8.5	8.9	+0.4	20%	20%	40%	40%	NYK	-0.7	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Knicks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#9	#8	#2	-14.9%
PF	#1	#11	#7	#1	-18.9%
PG	#27	#24	#5	#21	6.5%
SF	#21	#16	#1	#14	-0.8%
SG	#1	#6	#7	#1	-12.5%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#5	#11	#12	-3.7%
PF	#15	#23	#16	#12	-1.8%
PG	#4	#10	#24	#1	-23.0%
SF	#17	#11	#24	#17	-0.1%
SG	#12	#12	#11	#11	-4.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

101.7

117.6

Rebounds per Game

46.1

44.1

Assists per Game

24.6

31.4

Steals per Game

7.3

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.1

6.1

Shots per Game

86.5

89.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

11.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.7

59.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.9

38.4

Turnovers per Game

12.8

11.9

Fouls per Game

16.1

17.1

Recent Trends

Jalen Brunson (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Josh Hart (SF/PF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 10.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 11.0 ast against GSW
Precious Achiuwa (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.2% to 20.8, 33.1 min average previous 3 games.
Miles McBride (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.6% to 26.7, 19.3 min average previous 3 games.
Jericho Sims (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 55.7% to 11.1, 25.0 min average previous 3 games.