Knicks vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and maybe even strike it rich in the Big Apple tonight as the Miami Heat blaze into the Kaseya Center to take on the New York Knicks in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff matchup. With the Knicks looking to bounce back and even out their early playoff record, and the Heat aiming to keep their lead hot, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in Manhattan. Tipoff is at 7:30 PM EST, and with the betting lines drawing a tightrope across the court, fans are in for a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a cab ride through Times Square. As the over/under hovers around 215.5, will the Heat continue their fiery streak, or will the Knicks cut through the smoke? Tonight, it’s all about whether the Heat can handle the Knicks’ slice of the Big Apple!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 30, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	NYK ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	214.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-125	+105	215.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+5	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

23W-19L

55.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

22W-20L

44.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/02/24	New York Knicks NYK	22	21	30	26	99	Under
04/02/24	Miami Heat MIA	34	24	25	26	109	Under
01/27/24	Miami Heat MIA	30	21	35	23	109	Over
01/27/24	New York Knicks NYK	27	34	28	36	125	Over
11/24/23	Miami Heat MIA	28	22	37	11	98	Under
11/24/23	New York Knicks NYK	25	26	20	29	100	Under
03/29/23	Miami Heat MIA	23	23	30	16	92	Under
03/29/23	New York Knicks NYK	19	29	28	25	101	Under
03/22/23	New York Knicks NYK	32	29	25	34	120	Over
03/22/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	33	28	35	127	Over
03/03/23	New York Knicks NYK	37	34	25	26	122	Over
03/03/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	25	32	32	120	Over
02/02/23	Miami Heat MIA	22	26	24	32	104	Under
02/02/23	New York Knicks NYK	28	23	26	29	106	Under
03/25/22	New York Knicks NYK	25	24	24	38	111	Under
03/25/22	Miami Heat MIA	32	26	30	15	103	Under
02/25/22	Miami Heat MIA	30	35	25	25	115	Under
02/25/22	New York Knicks NYK	32	23	30	15	100	Under
01/26/22	New York Knicks NYK	16	30	21	29	96	Under
01/26/22	Miami Heat MIA	30	29	33	18	110	Under

Knicks Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Knicks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/28	@ CLE	104-110L	43	22	16	90
10/25	@ IND	123-98W	43	19	11	84
10/22	vs BOS	109-132L	34	20	11	78
04/12	@ BRO	111-107W	31	21	5	83
04/11	vs BOS	118-109W	52	24	12	99
04/09	vs CHI	128-117W	31	31	10	83
04/07	vs MIL	122-109W	41	25	5	92
04/05	vs CHI	100-108L	38	22	17	84
04/04	@ SAC	120-109W	39	34	11	80
04/02	vs MIA	99-109L	30	25	14	76

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94
04/02	@ NYK	109-99W	39	24	17	74

Starting Lineups

New York Knicks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
OG Anunoby SF	24.0	22.4	27.3	100%	26.7
Mikal Bridges SG	31.0	24.1	29.3	100%	29.7
Jalen Brunson PG	48.0	34.3	48.5	100%	48.9
Josh Hart PF	30.0	30.2	35.6	100%	36.0
Karl-Anthony Towns C	48.0	33.7	35.6	100%	35.9

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	42.0	37.3	36.5	100%	37.0
Jimmy Butler SF	40.0	34.5	37.9	100%	38.3
Tyler Herro SG	38.0	30.6	32.6	90%	33.5
Nikola Jovic PF	21.0	19.9	20.4	100%	20.8
Terry Rozier PG	31.0	28.4	31.6	100%	31.9

Knicks Notable Injuries

Tyler Kolek (PG): Avg: 3.5pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 10/25/24. Impact: 0.5
Jacob Toppin (SF/PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.3ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 10/25/24. Impact: 0.3

Heat Notable Injuries

Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.6ast, 13.9 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.6
Pelle Larsson (SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.7
Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Karl-Anthony Towns	NYK	Pts	19.5	25.4	+5.9	40%	40%	47%	47%	MIA	-3.9	#1
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	15.5	19.3	+3.8	40%	60%	53%	53%	NYK	-2.1	#4
Tyler Herro	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.3	+0.8	40%	40%	60%	60%	NYK	-0.4	#9
Josh Hart	NYK	Ast	3.5	4.0	+0.5	20%	40%	53%	53%	MIA	0.0	#15

View All Player Prop Projections

Knicks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#5	#21	#14	-1.0%
PF	#4	#2	#13	#4	-10.8%
PG	#26	#24	#6	#26	5.8%
SF	#15	#2	#7	#7	-6.2%
SG	#6	#9	#17	#10	-3.2%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#7	#8	#1	-16.4%
PF	#13	#25	#7	#12	-1.3%
PG	#9	#15	#8	#3	-13.0%
SF	#27	#22	#6	#25	5.8%
SG	#1	#16	#15	#5	-6.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.1

Rebounds per Game

42.8

Assists per Game

24.5

25.9

Steals per Game

7.3

8.0

Blocks per Game

4.2

3.7

Shots per Game

88.1

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

12.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.6

53.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.7

36.3

Turnovers per Game

11.7

10.8

Fouls per Game

16.7

16.1

Recent Trends

OG Anunoby (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.7% to 35.0, 24.9 min average previous 3 games.
Mikal Bridges (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.1% to 36.1, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Miles McBride (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.5% to 25.2, 38.5 min average previous 3 games.