Knicks vs Heat Game Breakdown

Knicks
1W-2L

October 30, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 215.5 o/u
Heat
2W-1L


Get ready to turn up the heat and maybe even strike it rich in the Big Apple tonight as the Miami Heat blaze into the Kaseya Center to take on the New York Knicks in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff matchup. With the Knicks looking to bounce back and even out their early playoff record, and the Heat aiming to keep their lead hot, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in Manhattan. Tipoff is at 7:30 PM EST, and with the betting lines drawing a tightrope across the court, fans are in for a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a cab ride through Times Square. As the over/under hovers around 215.5, will the Heat continue their fiery streak, or will the Knicks cut through the smoke? Tonight, it’s all about whether the Heat can handle the Knicks’ slice of the Big Apple!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: October 30, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
NYK ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -120 | +100 | 214.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -125 | +105 | 215.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Difference | -5 | +5 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance

55.6% Win Probability

44.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02/24 | New York Knicks NYK | 22 | 21 | 30 | 26 | 00 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 34 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 00 | 109 | |||
01/27/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 21 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 27 | 34 | 28 | 36 | 00 | 125 | |||
11/24/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 22 | 37 | 11 | 00 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 25 | 26 | 20 | 29 | 00 | 100 | |||
03/29/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 23 | 30 | 16 | 00 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 19 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 00 | 101 | |||
03/22/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 32 | 29 | 25 | 34 | 00 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 33 | 28 | 35 | 00 | 127 | |||
03/03/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 37 | 34 | 25 | 26 | 00 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 25 | 32 | 32 | 00 | 120 | |||
02/02/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 26 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 28 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 00 | 106 | |||
03/25/22 | New York Knicks NYK | 25 | 24 | 24 | 38 | 00 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 26 | 30 | 15 | 00 | 103 | |||
02/25/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 35 | 25 | 25 | 00 | 115 | Under | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 32 | 23 | 30 | 15 | 00 | 100 | |||
01/26/22 | New York Knicks NYK | 16 | 30 | 21 | 29 | 00 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 00 | 110 |
Knicks Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
Knicks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/28 | @ CLE | 104-110L | 43 | 22 | 16 | 90 |
10/25 | @ IND | 123-98W | 43 | 19 | 11 | 84 |
10/22 | vs BOS | 109-132L | 34 | 20 | 11 | 78 |
04/12 | @ BRO | 111-107W | 31 | 21 | 5 | 83 |
04/11 | vs BOS | 118-109W | 52 | 24 | 12 | 99 |
04/09 | vs CHI | 128-117W | 31 | 31 | 10 | 83 |
04/07 | vs MIL | 122-109W | 41 | 25 | 5 | 92 |
04/05 | vs CHI | 100-108L | 38 | 22 | 17 | 84 |
04/04 | @ SAC | 120-109W | 39 | 34 | 11 | 80 |
04/02 | vs MIA | 99-109L | 30 | 25 | 14 | 76 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/28 | @ DET | 106-98W | 44 | 24 | 9 | 88 |
10/26 | vs CHA | 114-106W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 86 |
10/23 | @ ORL | 97-116L | 41 | 24 | 11 | 82 |
04/12 | @ TOR | 125-103W | 37 | 37 | 4 | 86 |
04/10 | @ DAL | 92-111L | 46 | 22 | 15 | 81 |
04/09 | vs ATL | 117-111W | 46 | 29 | 18 | 88 |
04/07 | vs IND | 115-117L | 39 | 21 | 7 | 84 |
04/05 | vs HOU | 119-96W | 48 | 27 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ PHI | 105-109L | 51 | 24 | 15 | 94 |
04/02 | @ NYK | 109-99W | 39 | 24 | 17 | 74 |
Starting Lineups
New York Knicks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
OG Anunoby
SF
|
24.0 | 22.4 | 27.3 | 100% | 26.7 |
31.0 | 24.1 | 29.3 | 100% | 29.7 | |
48.0 | 34.3 | 48.5 | 100% | 48.9 | |
Josh Hart
PF
|
30.0 | 30.2 | 35.6 | 100% | 36.0 |
48.0 | 33.7 | 35.6 | 100% | 35.9 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
42.0 | 37.3 | 36.5 | 100% | 37.0 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
40.0 | 34.5 | 37.9 | 100% | 38.3 |
Tyler Herro
SG
|
38.0 | 30.6 | 32.6 | 90% | 33.5 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
21.0 | 19.9 | 20.4 | 100% | 20.8 |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
31.0 | 28.4 | 31.6 | 100% | 31.9 |
Knicks Notable Injuries
- Tyler Kolek (PG): Avg: 3.5pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 10/25/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jacob Toppin (SF/PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.3ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 10/25/24. Impact: 0.3
Heat Notable Injuries
- Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.6ast, 13.9 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.6
- Pelle Larsson (SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.7
- Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Karl-Anthony Towns | NYK | Pts | 19.5 | 25.4 | +5.9 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIA | -3.9 | #1 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 15.5 | 19.3 | +3.8 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | NYK | -2.1 | #4 |
Tyler Herro | MIA | Reb | 4.5 | 5.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | NYK | -0.4 | #9 |
Josh Hart | NYK | Ast | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MIA | 0.0 | #15 |
Knicks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #5 | #21 | #14 | -1.0% |
PF | #4 | #2 | #13 | #4 | -10.8% |
PG | #26 | #24 | #6 | #26 | 5.8% |
SF | #15 | #2 | #7 | #7 | -6.2% |
SG | #6 | #9 | #17 | #10 | -3.2% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #1 | #7 | #8 | #1 | -16.4% |
PF | #13 | #25 | #7 | #12 | -1.3% |
PG | #9 | #15 | #8 | #3 | -13.0% |
SF | #27 | #22 | #6 | #25 | 5.8% |
SG | #1 | #16 | #15 | #5 | -6.8% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- OG Anunoby (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.7% to 35.0, 24.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Mikal Bridges (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.1% to 36.1, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Miles McBride (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.5% to 25.2, 38.5 min average previous 3 games.
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