Knicks vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024

Knicks
39W-27L

March 16, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 217.5 o/u
Kings
38W-27L


Alright, sports fans, get ready to rumble in the jungle of hoops tonight! Our beloved New York Knicks, who’ve been playing a game of catch-up in the Eastern conference like a cabbie in rush hour, are jetting over to the Golden 1 Center. They’re squaring off against the Sacramento Kings, who’ve been making some serious noise in the West, sitting just a few royal thrones away from the top spot. With the Knicks and Kings both coming off fresh victories, it’s like watching two heavyweight boxers stepping into the ring after KO’ing their last opponents. The betting lines are buzzing louder than a New York subway car, with the over/under set at a whopping 217.5. So, if you’re a betting man or woman, you might want to start crunching those numbers. As the clock ticks closer to the 10:00PM EST tipoff, the anticipation is as palpable as the last slice of pizza at a Knicks watch party. So, whether you’re a King in your castle or a Knick in the Big Apple, get ready for a game that promises to be a royal rumble in the concrete jungle!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 16, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
NYK ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +130 | -150 | 220.0 | 3.0/-3.0 |
Recent | +125 | -145 | 217.5 | 4.0/-4.0 |
Difference | -5 | +5 | -2.5 | – |
Team Performance

44.4% Win Probability

55.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/09/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 23 | 30 | 31 | 33 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 30 | 39 | 22 | 31 | 122 | ||||
12/11/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 22 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 36 | 30 | 29 | 17 | 112 | ||||
03/07/22 | New York Knicks NYK | 17 | 31 | 44 | 39 | 131 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 33 | 30 | 24 | 28 | 115 | ||||
01/31/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 18 | 25 | 30 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 31 | 23 | 30 | 32 | 116 |
Knicks Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Knicks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/14 | vs POR | 105-93W | 50 | 16 | 12 | 87 |
03/12 | @ PHI | 106-79W | 51 | 32 | 12 | 79 |
03/10 | @ PHI | 73-79L | 50 | 19 | 19 | 80 |
03/08 | @ ORL | 98-74W | 43 | 20 | 15 | 80 |
03/05 | @ ATL | 100-116L | 40 | 27 | 11 | 100 |
03/03 | vs CLE | 107-98W | 47 | 32 | 9 | 86 |
02/29 | @ GSW | 99-113L | 56 | 23 | 12 | 96 |
02/27 | @ NOP | 92-115L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 84 |
02/26 | @ DET | 113-111W | 44 | 31 | 14 | 92 |
02/24 | @ BOS | 102-116L | 39 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13 | @ LAL | 120-107W | 44 | 30 | 12 | 88 |
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
03/10 | @ HOU | 104-112L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 89 |
03/07 | @ SAS | 131-129W | 46 | 31 | 13 | 103 |
03/06 | vs LAL | 130-122W | 46 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/04 | @ CHI | 109-113L | 51 | 29 | 17 | 94 |
03/01 | vs MIN | 124-120W | 45 | 29 | 7 | 100 |
02/28 | vs DEN | 96-119L | 43 | 28 | 14 | 96 |
02/26 | @ MIA | 110-121L | 41 | 30 | 15 | 85 |
02/25 | vs LAC | 123-107W | 41 | 29 | 10 | 91 |
Starting Lineups
New York Knicks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
OG Anunoby
PF
|
31.3 | 31.1 | 27.3 | 100% | 26.7 |
51.5 | 33.0 | 44.7 | 100% | 43.2 | |
37.8 | 32.6 | 33.3 | 100% | 33.0 | |
Josh Hart
SF
|
41.5 | 39.6 | 32.3 | 67% | 38.8 |
24.7 | 20.8 | 27.9 | 100% | 27.9 |
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.5 | 20.5 | 20.2 | 93% | 20.4 | |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
45.3 | 47.6 | 42.0 | 93% | 42.3 |
19.5 | 17.2 | 22.3 | 87% | 21.7 | |
26.7 | 25.4 | 26.6 | 93% | 28.1 | |
57.1 | 60.3 | 54.4 | 93% | 54.3 |
Knicks Notable Injuries
- Shake Milton (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.6reb, 1.3ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.5
- Jacob Toppin (SF/PF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.5
- Charlie Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.3
Kings Notable Injuries
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.1
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.2
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.8
- Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jalen Brunson | NYK | Pts | 27.5 | 31.1 | +3.6 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | SAC | -1.7 | #8 |
Donte DiVincenzo | NYK | Pts | 16.5 | 19.6 | +3.1 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | SAC | -1.7 | #8 |
Josh Hart | NYK | Reb | 9.5 | 12.1 | +2.6 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | SAC | -1.5 | #6 |
OG Anunoby | NYK | Ast | 1.5 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | SAC | -1.1 | #3 |
Knicks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #5 | #9 | #6 | #3 | -16.5% |
PF | #1 | #14 | #8 | #1 | -18.6% |
PG | #28 | #26 | #7 | #22 | 7.3% |
SF | #21 | #15 | #1 | #14 | -1.8% |
SG | #1 | #4 | #4 | #1 | -16.5% |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #12 | #5 | #18 | #12 | -4.0% |
PF | #28 | #19 | #27 | #26 | 8.6% |
PG | #20 | #1 | #26 | #14 | -2.5% |
SF | #23 | #6 | #3 | #11 | -6.3% |
SG | #8 | #1 | #23 | #4 | -9.7% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 17.0 pts, 19.0 reb, 10.0 ast against LAL
- Jalen Brunson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 32.5, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Chris Duarte (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.9% to 10.6, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Keon Ellis (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.6% to 24.3, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Miles McBride (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.1% to 20.2, 37.4 min average previous 3 games. The Kings have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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