Knicks vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 29th 2024

Alright hoop heads, buckle up for a showdown in the Lone Star State as the towering New York Knicks, sporting a not-too-shabby 44-28 record, are set to bring the heat to the AT&T Center against the scrappy San Antonio Spurs, who, despite their 17-56 record, aren’t going down without a fight. The Knicks are hot on the heels of the Eastern conference, while the Spurs are trying to find their footing in the wild, wild West. With the over/under hanging at a tantalizing 212.0, the Knicks are sitting pretty at -10.0, while the Spurs are hoping to turn that 10.0 line into a silver lining. The Spurs are riding the high of a 118-111 victory over UTA, while the Knicks are still buzzing from a 145-101 thrashing of TOR. So, as the clock ticks towards that 08:00PM EST tip-off, we’re all set for a game that promises to be as unpredictable as a knick-knack in a Spurs shop!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 29, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	NYK ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-525	+375	215.0	-10.0/10.0
Recent	-410	+305	212.0	-9.0/9.0
Difference	+115	-70	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

20W-15L

80.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

9W-26L

19.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/08/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	16	35	21	33	105	Over
11/08/23	New York Knicks NYK	33	32	34	27	126	Over
01/04/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	26	34	25	114	Over
01/04/23	New York Knicks NYK	39	23	32	23	117	Over
12/29/22	New York Knicks NYK	29	24	26	36	115	Over
12/29/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	38	26	28	30	122	Over
01/10/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	23	26	21	96	Under
01/10/22	New York Knicks NYK	23	28	31	29	111	Under
12/07/21	New York Knicks NYK	28	34	33	26	121	Over
12/07/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	28	25	28	109	Over

Knicks Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Knicks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	vs TOR	145-101W	42	37	11	94
03/25	@ DET	124-99W	52	30	13	89
03/23	@ BRO	105-93W	47	25	9	97
03/21	vs DEN	100-113L	31	28	9	79
03/18	vs GSW	119-112W	44	29	10	91
03/16	vs SAC	98-91W	52	19	14	87
03/14	vs POR	105-93W	50	16	12	87
03/12	@ PHI	106-79W	51	32	12	79
03/10	@ PHI	73-79L	50	19	19	80
03/08	@ ORL	98-74W	43	20	15	80

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	vs UTA	118-111W	41	40	21	86
03/25	@ PHX	104-102W	40	23	7	91
03/23	@ PHX	106-131L	34	27	15	85
03/22	@ MEM	97-99L	56	24	16	97
03/19	@ DAL	107-113L	48	31	15	89
03/17	@ BRO	122-115W	50	30	17	99
03/15	@ DEN	106-117L	44	23	16	82
03/12	@ HOU	101-103L	42	30	13	84
03/11	@ GSW	102-112L	50	27	15	93
03/09	vs GSW	126-115W	49	34	12	86

Starting Lineups

New York Knicks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jalen Brunson PG	51.8	43.2	45.3	100%	43.8
Donte DiVincenzo SF	39.3	40.6	35.6	100%	35.3
Josh Hart PF	38.2	31.4	34.9	87%	37.1
Isaiah Hartenstein C	29.0	35.5	28.0	100%	27.9
Miles McBride SG	30.9	35.3	19.0	27%	34.9

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Julian Champagnie SG	12.6	14.9	14.1	100%	14.2
Tre Jones PG	26.9	25.8	26.8	100%	26.1
Jeremy Sochan PF	30.7	35.9	27.6	100%	27.3
Devin Vassell SF	35.4	36.2	36.7	100%	35.7
Victor Wembanyama C	48.5	50.8	49.4	100%	48.0

Knicks Notable Injuries

OG Anunoby (SF/PF): Avg: 14.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.2ast, 34.0 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 4.9
Shake Milton (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.6reb, 1.3ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.5
Jericho Sims (C): Avg: 2.1pts, 3.3reb, 0.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.4
Mamadi Diakite (PF/C): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.4ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.3
DaQuan Jeffries (SG/SF): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.3

Spurs Notable Injuries

Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.5reb, 1.1ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.7
Devonte’ Graham (PG/SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.1reb, 1.5ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 1.3
Sandro Mamukelashvili (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.7ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jalen Brunson	NYK	Pts	28.5	31.3	+2.8	20%	30%	33%	33%	SAS	+0.9	#22
Josh Hart	NYK	Pts	10.5	12.3	+1.8	20%	30%	53%	53%	SAS	-11.1	#1
Isaiah Hartenstein	NYK	Reb	8.5	9.4	+0.9	60%	60%	40%	40%	SAS	-0.5	#10
Jeremy Sochan	SAS	Reb	6.5	7.1	+0.6	80%	60%	67%	67%	NYK	+1.7	#25
Donte DiVincenzo	NYK	Ast	2.5	3.6	+1.1	40%	60%	60%	60%	SAS	-0.5	#12

View All Player Prop Projections

Knicks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#9	#21	#5	-7.6%
PF	#1	#5	#7	#1	-20.5%
PG	#22	#24	#6	#24	9.0%
SF	#26	#25	#4	#25	15.6%
SG	#1	#9	#3	#1	-14.8%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#10	#28	#29	11.1%
PF	#4	#9	#1	#2	-14.1%
PG	#24	#20	#12	#26	14.5%
SF	#1	#11	#12	#2	-36.4%
SG	#22	#22	#17	#22	4.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

106.1

112.0

Rebounds per Game

46.5

45.1

Assists per Game

25.9

30.3

Steals per Game

7.5

6.9

Blocks per Game

5.5

6.9

Shots per Game

88.1

89.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.0

53.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

36.0

Turnovers per Game

12.0

14.4

Fouls per Game

16.4

17.0

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 16.7, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.2% to 25.3, 17.3 min average previous 3 games.
Zach Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 21.4, 15.4 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
Mitchell Robinson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.0% to 19.4, 31.9 min average previous 3 games.
Blake Wesley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.4% to 18.3, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.