Knicks vs Raptors Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024

Knicks
43W-28L

March 27, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 212.0 o/u
Raptors
23W-49L


Well, hoop fans, we’ve got a showdown in the Great White North tonight as the red-hot New York Knicks, who’ve been dunking donuts into the win column like it’s their day job, are set to invade the Scotiabank Arena. They’ll be facing the Toronto Raptors, who’ve been clawing their way through the season, but recently got their tails handed to them by Brooklyn. It’s a 07:30PM EST tip-off, and the Knicks are looking to add to their impressive 43-28 record, while the Raptors, sitting at a less-than-stellar 23-49, are hoping to shake off the dust and show they’ve still got some bite. The betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under set at 212.0 and the Knicks favored by a whopping 12.5 points. Last time out, the Knicks blew the Pistons off the court with a 124-99 victory, while the Raptors took a hit from Brooklyn, losing 88-96. So, whether you’re a Knickerbocker looking to keep the streak alive, or a Raptor ready to roar, tonight’s game is going to be a Jurassic Park meets Times Square kind of showdown. Let’s hope the Raptors don’t get ‘knicked’ out too early!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 27, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Vegas Odds
NYK ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -850 | +550 | 208.5 | -12.5/12.5 |
Recent | -290 | +210 | 212.0 | -13.5/13.5 |
Difference | +560 | -340 | +3.5 | – |
Team Performance

74.4% Win Probability

25.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/20/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 26 | 21 | 22 | 100 | Over | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 31 | 28 | 33 | 34 | 126 | ||||
12/11/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 35 | 25 | 37 | 33 | 130 | Over | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 35 | 31 | 32 | 38 | 136 | ||||
12/01/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 34 | 23 | 33 | 29 | 119 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 31 | 20 | 29 | 106 | ||||
01/22/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 22 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 37 | 25 | 24 | 39 | 125 | ||||
01/16/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 29 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 13 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
New York Knicks NYK | 25 | 34 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 121 | |||
01/06/23 | New York Knicks NYK | 30 | 27 | 24 | 31 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 21 | 31 | 30 | 108 | ||||
12/21/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 28 | 35 | 24 | 26 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 106 | ||||
04/10/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 22 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 94 | Under | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 31 | 20 | 22 | 32 | 105 | ||||
01/02/22 | New York Knicks NYK | 27 | 18 | 29 | 31 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 30 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 120 | ||||
12/10/21 | New York Knicks NYK | 14 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 87 | Under | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 90 | ||||
11/01/21 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
New York Knicks NYK | 34 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 104 |
Knicks Vs Over/Under
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Knicks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | @ DET | 124-99W | 52 | 30 | 13 | 89 |
03/23 | @ BRO | 105-93W | 47 | 25 | 9 | 97 |
03/21 | vs DEN | 100-113L | 31 | 28 | 9 | 79 |
03/18 | vs GSW | 119-112W | 44 | 29 | 10 | 91 |
03/16 | vs SAC | 98-91W | 52 | 19 | 14 | 87 |
03/14 | vs POR | 105-93W | 50 | 16 | 12 | 87 |
03/12 | @ PHI | 106-79W | 51 | 32 | 12 | 79 |
03/10 | @ PHI | 73-79L | 50 | 19 | 19 | 80 |
03/08 | @ ORL | 98-74W | 43 | 20 | 15 | 80 |
03/05 | @ ATL | 100-116L | 40 | 27 | 11 | 100 |
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | @ BRO | 88-96L | 30 | 23 | 10 | 85 |
03/23 | vs WAS | 109-112L | 42 | 27 | 12 | 94 |
03/22 | @ OKL | 103-123L | 36 | 34 | 27 | 77 |
03/20 | @ SAC | 89-123L | 31 | 21 | 21 | 80 |
03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
03/13 | vs DET | 104-113L | 37 | 32 | 11 | 94 |
03/11 | vs DEN | 119-125L | 42 | 30 | 11 | 93 |
03/09 | vs POR | 118-128L | 43 | 29 | 20 | 92 |
03/07 | vs PHX | 113-120L | 36 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
Starting Lineups
New York Knicks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
50.8 | 46.6 | 44.8 | 100% | 43.3 | |
39.6 | 38.2 | 34.9 | 100% | 34.6 | |
Josh Hart
PF
|
43.2 | 31.6 | 34.8 | 83% | 37.3 |
35.0 | 38.1 | 28.7 | 100% | 28.6 | |
31.4 | 25.7 | 17.7 | 23% | 32.9 |
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ochai Agbaji
PF
|
23.9 | 26.6 | 12.7 | 40% | 19.2 |
Gradey Dick
SF
|
23.0 | 19.1 | 17.4 | 30% | 20.0 |
22.2 | 14.7 | 10.4 | 17% | 21.8 | |
35.3 | 28.9 | 25.1 | 37% | 32.0 | |
33.5 | 35.5 | 24.4 | 93% | 25.5 |
Knicks Notable Injuries
- OG Anunoby (SF/PF): Avg: 14.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.2ast, 34.0 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 4.9
- Mamadi Diakite (PF/C): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 1.3
Raptors Notable Injuries
- Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 16.6pts, 3.7reb, 4.7ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 6.9
- Jahmi’us Ramsey (SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 2.1
- Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 1.3reb, 0.0ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Miles McBride | NYK | Pts | 14.5 | 17.4 | +2.9 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% | TOR | -0.3 | #16 |
Jalen Brunson | NYK | Pts | 28.5 | 30.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | TOR | -0.3 | #16 |
Isaiah Hartenstein | NYK | Reb | 10.5 | 11.4 | +0.9 | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | TOR | +5.2 | #30 |
Kelly Olynyk | TOR | Reb | 6.5 | 7.1 | +0.6 | 0% | 10% | 13% | 13% | NYK | -0.2 | #15 |
Gary Trent Jr. | TOR | Ast | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | 80% | 60% | 67% | 67% | NYK | -1.1 | #2 |
Josh Hart | NYK | Ast | 5.5 | 5.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | TOR | +1.5 | #28 |
Knicks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #15 | #17 | #5 | -8.6% |
PF | #1 | #11 | #8 | #1 | -18.5% |
PG | #27 | #25 | #4 | #25 | 10.3% |
SF | #26 | #17 | #9 | #23 | 8.6% |
SG | #1 | #10 | #2 | #1 | -14.6% |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #30 | #25 | #30 | 18.7% |
PF | #29 | #30 | #22 | #29 | 10.7% |
PG | #18 | #5 | #8 | #14 | -2.4% |
SF | #28 | #28 | #28 | #28 | 17.7% |
SG | #16 | #20 | #14 | #18 | 1.6% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Donte DiVincenzo (SG/SF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Josh Hart (SF/PF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 11.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 10.0 ast against DET
- Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 16.7, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Javon Freeman-Liberty (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 126.0% to 27.2, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Miles McBride (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 68.9% to 45.1, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 15.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 11-game losing streak.
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