Thunder vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
Thunder
5W-1L
May 11, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 217.0 o/u
Mavericks
5W-3L
Get ready for an electrifying showdown in the NBA Playoffs as the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the American Airlines Center, ready to clash with the Dallas Mavericks this afternoon! Both teams are packing impressive records, with the Thunder just a whisper behind in the Western conference standings, making every play count in their pursuit to thunder past the competition. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, despite a recent stumble, are looking to regain their stride right at home. With the over/under hinting at a high-scoring affair, and tipoff set for a breezy 03:30 PM EST, fans are in for some serious hardwood action. So, as the Thunder aims to strike and the Mavericks saddle up for a showdown, expect nothing less than a full-court frenzy that promises to make the net swish and hearts race!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 11, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Odds
| OKL ML | DAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +130 | -150 | 220.0 | 3.0/-3.0 |
| Recent | +115 | -135 | 217.0 | 2.5/-2.5 |
| Difference | -15 | +15 | -3.0 | – |
Team Performance
46.5% Win Probability
53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 32 | 31 | 20 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 30 | 27 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 05/07/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 30 | 26 | 16 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 22 | 19 | 16 | 29 | 00 | 86 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 39 | 43 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 135 | |||
| 03/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 36 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 02/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 47 | 24 | 39 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 12/02/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 01/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 12/12/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 43 | 31 | 24 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/29/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 180 | 117 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 120 | 111 | |||
| 02/02/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 170 | 120 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 110 | 114 | |||
| 01/17/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 24 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 00 | 102 | Under | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 104 | |||
| 01/02/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 00 | 86 | |||
| 12/12/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 00 | 84 |
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Thunder Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
| 04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
| 04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
| 04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
| 04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
| 03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
| 03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Mavericks Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ DET | 89-107L | 49 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
| 04/10 | vs MIA | 111-92W | 39 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
| 04/09 | vs CHA | 130-104W | 55 | 35 | 14 | 93 |
| 04/07 | @ HOU | 147-136W | 47 | 21 | 17 | 85 |
| 04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
| 04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
| 04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
| 03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
| 03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
| 03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.5 | 23.1 | 20.8 | 100% | 21.2 | |
|
Josh Giddey
PG
|
18.5 | 22.6 | 30.7 | 100% | 31.1 |
| 54.5 | 54.0 | 48.2 | 100% | 48.6 | |
| 36.9 | 33.5 | 33.1 | 100% | 33.4 | |
| 40.1 | 39.6 | 36.9 | 100% | 37.2 |
| Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
68.9 | 56.1 | 61.9 | 100% | 62.2 |
| 29.8 | 23.9 | 25.0 | 90% | 26.2 | |
|
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
49.1 | 41.9 | 42.3 | 100% | 42.7 |
| 19.8 | 20.8 | 15.3 | 90% | 15.9 | |
| 29.8 | 28.1 | 27.2 | 100% | 27.6 |
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 2.5
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Kyrie Irving | DAL | Pts | 22.5 | 27.9 | +5.4 | 40% | 50% | 67% | 67% | OKL | -2.4 | #9 |
| Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 30.5 | 35.2 | +4.7 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | OKL | -2.4 | #9 |
| Josh Giddey | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 70% | 80% | 80% | DAL | +1.0 | #23 |
Thunder Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #20 | #29 | #8 | #17 | 1.4% |
| PF | #5 | #20 | #16 | #8 | -10.2% |
| PG | #2 | #7 | #11 | #6 | -35.7% |
| SF | #20 | #20 | #13 | #20 | 38.6% |
| SG | #9 | #16 | #9 | #8 | -9.1% |
Mavericks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #9 | #15 | #7 | #9 | -16.3% |
| PF | #13 | #14 | #21 | #15 | -3.0% |
| PG | #16 | #2 | #14 | #16 | 51.7% |
| SF | #19 | #11 | #17 | #16 | 23.9% |
| SG | #12 | #23 | #4 | #9 | -8.8% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 19.8, 14.7 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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