Thunder vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown in the NBA Playoffs as the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the American Airlines Center, ready to clash with the Dallas Mavericks this afternoon! Both teams are packing impressive records, with the Thunder just a whisper behind in the Western conference standings, making every play count in their pursuit to thunder past the competition. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, despite a recent stumble, are looking to regain their stride right at home. With the over/under hinting at a high-scoring affair, and tipoff set for a breezy 03:30 PM EST, fans are in for some serious hardwood action. So, as the Thunder aims to strike and the Mavericks saddle up for a showdown, expect nothing less than a full-court frenzy that promises to make the net swish and hearts race!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 03:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-150	220.0	3.0/-3.0
Recent	+115	-135	217.0	2.5/-2.5
Difference	-15	+15	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

23W-18L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

24W-16L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
05/09/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	31	20	00	119	Over
05/09/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	30	27	21	00	110	Over
05/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	30	26	16	00	95	Under
05/07/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	39	27	28	00	117	Under
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Over
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Over
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Over
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Over
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Over
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Over
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82
03/29	@ PHX	128-103W	38	33	10	87
03/27	@ HOU	126-132L	49	26	19	96

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	21.5	23.1	20.8	100%	21.2
Josh Giddey PG	18.5	22.6	30.7	100%	31.1
S. Gilgeous-Alexander SG	54.5	54.0	48.2	100%	48.6
Chet Holmgren C	36.9	33.5	33.1	100%	33.4
Jalen Williams PF	40.1	39.6	36.9	100%	37.2

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	68.9	56.1	61.9	100%	62.2
Daniel Gafford C	29.8	23.9	25.0	90%	26.2
Kyrie Irving PG	49.1	41.9	42.3	100%	42.7
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	19.8	20.8	15.3	90%	15.9
PJ Washington PF	29.8	28.1	27.2	100%	27.6

Thunder Notable Injuries

Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 2.5
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	22.5	27.9	+5.4	40%	50%	67%	67%	OKL	-2.4	#9
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	30.5	35.2	+4.7	20%	40%	40%	40%	OKL	-2.4	#9
Josh Giddey	OKL	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	60%	70%	80%	80%	DAL	+1.0	#23

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#29	#8	#17	1.4%
PF	#5	#20	#16	#8	-10.2%
PG	#2	#7	#11	#6	-35.7%
SF	#20	#20	#13	#20	38.6%
SG	#9	#16	#9	#8	-9.1%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#15	#7	#9	-16.3%
PF	#13	#14	#21	#15	-3.0%
PG	#16	#2	#14	#16	51.7%
SF	#19	#11	#17	#16	23.9%
SG	#12	#23	#4	#9	-8.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

125.0

89.0

Rebounds per Game

38.0

49.0

Assists per Game

29.0

20.0

Steals per Game

13.0

5.0

Blocks per Game

5.0

Shots per Game

89.0

83.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

8.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

66.7

51.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.2

27.6

Turnovers per Game

10.0

20.0

Fouls per Game

13.0

10.0

Recent Trends

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 19.8, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.