Thunder vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble as the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the heart of Texas to clash with the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center tonight at 09:30 PM EST! It’s playoff time, baby, and after a series of first-round blowouts, we’re itching for some real action. Sitting just a whisper away from each other in the Western conference standings, both teams are coming in hot but with something to prove. The Thunder, fresh off a thunderous victory, are looking to strike hard, while the Mavericks, after a recent stumble, are aiming to lasso themselves back into winning form. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 215.5, tonight’s matchup promises to be nothing short of electrifying. So, will it be a Maverick maneuver or will Thunder reign? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 13, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	213.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+100	-120	215.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

23W-18L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

24W-16L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
05/11/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	29	26	23	00	101	Under
05/11/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	31	23	00	105	Under
05/09/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	31	20	00	119	Over
05/09/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	30	27	21	00	110	Over
05/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	30	26	16	00	95	Under
05/07/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	39	27	28	00	117	Under
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Over
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Over
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Over
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Over
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Over
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Over
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82
03/29	@ PHX	128-103W	38	33	10	87
03/27	@ HOU	126-132L	49	26	19	96

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	23.5	22.5	20.5	100%	20.9
Josh Giddey PG	14.5	20.4	30.2	100%	30.6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander SG	57.0	56.8	49.0	100%	49.4
Chet Holmgren C	38.4	32.7	32.8	100%	33.1
Jalen Williams PF	40.5	39.1	36.3	100%	36.6

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	62.8	54.8	61.7	100%	62.0
Daniel Gafford C	25.7	25.3	25.6	93%	26.0
Kyrie Irving PG	43.8	39.0	42.3	100%	42.7
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	19.7	17.4	15.6	93%	15.8
PJ Washington PF	30.8	31.8	27.5	100%	28.0

Thunder Notable Injuries

Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.4reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 05/11/24. Impact: 2.4
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): Avg: 4.1pts, 2.8reb, 1.1ast, 13.8 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 6.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.4ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.0
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	28.5	32.0	+3.5	40%	60%	67%	67%	OKL	-0.8	#10
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	14.5	17.2	+2.7	20%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	-1.1	#10
Josh Green	DAL	Reb	1.5	2.0	+0.5	60%	60%	60%	60%	OKL	-1.2	#6
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	4.5	4.9	+0.4	40%	50%	60%	60%	OKL	0.0	#20
Josh Giddey	OKL	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	70%	80%	80%	DAL	-0.5	#6
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	80%	80%	67%	67%	DAL	+0.4	#21
Aaron Wiggins	OKL	3Pt	0.5	1.0	+0.5	60%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.7	#6

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#10	#23	#15	0.9%
PF	#18	#24	#14	#17	1.5%
PG	#2	#27	#4	#1	-19.6%
SF	#13	#6	#22	#15	-2.1%
SG	#10	#20	#15	#13	-2.0%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#6	#14	#8	-7.4%
PF	#13	#6	#11	#10	-3.3%
PG	#14	#8	#30	#21	4.6%
SF	#10	#24	#21	#19	2.2%
SG	#16	#28	#6	#15	-0.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

118.0

117.3

Rebounds per Game

42.9

44.9

Assists per Game

26.4

26.2

Steals per Game

9.2

7.3

Blocks per Game

6.4

6.1

Shots per Game

87.1

89.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.5

58.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.0

36.8

Turnovers per Game

12.2

12.3

Fouls per Game

17.6

17.1

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 52.4% to 13.7, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.7% to 17.3, 12.6 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.8% to 17.7, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.7% to 21.6, 14.8 min average previous 3 games.