Thunder vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble as the undefeated Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Denver to clash with the Nuggets at the electrifying Ball Arena tonight at 10:00 PM EST! It’s a showdown that promises to turn up the heat in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, where the Thunder aim to continue their perfect streak, while the Nuggets look to bounce back and narrow the gap in the Western Conference standings. With the odds-makers setting the stage for a nail-biter, pegging the Thunder as slight favorites in a game with an over/under of 223, fans are on the edge of their seats, especially after Denver’s heartbreaker against Minnesota and OKC’s explosive victory over Portland. As the Thunder and Nuggets prepare to battle it out, keep your eyes peeled, because tonight, it’s all about whether the Thunder can strike gold or if the Nuggets will mine a victory from the depths!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 06, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-175	+150	223.5	-3.5/3.5
Recent	-165	+125	223.0	-7.0/7.0
Difference	+10	-25	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

26W-18L

62.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

33W-10L

37.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
10/24/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	27	27	17	00	102	Under
10/24/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	24	27	17	19	00	87	Under
01/31/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	23	21	28	00	100	Under
01/31/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	19	28	26	32	00	105	Under
12/29/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	21	34	31	00	119	Under
12/29/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	21	20	25	00	93	Under
12/16/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	27	31	33	00	118	Over
12/16/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	25	31	30	00	117	Over
10/29/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	35	28	31	00	128	Push
10/29/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	28	24	20	00	95	Push
01/22/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	25	29	20	00	101	Under
01/22/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	18	29	27	25	00	99	Under
11/23/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	31	15	36	110	131	Over
11/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	42	34	23	60	126	Over
11/03/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	42	29	22	29	00	122	Over
11/03/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	28	38	15	00	110	Over
10/22/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	26	30	32	00	117	Over
10/22/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	27	33	34	00	122	Over
03/26/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	24	27	31	00	107	Under
03/26/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	26	29	26	00	113	Under
03/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	31	31	33	00	119	Over
03/02/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	24	33	22	28	00	107	Over
01/09/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	36	25	19	19	00	99	Under
01/09/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	26	29	17	00	95	Under
12/22/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	18	34	14	28	00	94	Under
12/22/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	32	28	20	00	108	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/01	vs POR	137-114W	45	31	13	95
10/30	@ SAS	105-93W	39	28	10	89
10/27	@ ATL	128-104W	45	26	10	89
10/26	vs CHI	114-95W	54	21	10	107
10/24	vs DEN	102-87W	49	23	12	101
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/01	vs MIN	116-119L	46	30	13	92
10/29	vs BRO	144-139W	43	31	5	89
10/28	vs TOR	127-125W	52	29	16	96
10/26	@ LAC	104-109L	37	20	10	87
10/24	@ OKL	87-102L	57	29	15	99
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97
04/10	@ MIN	116-107W	44	31	13	83
04/09	vs UTA	111-95W	43	30	9	94
04/06	@ ATL	142-110W	47	38	15	88
04/04	vs LAC	100-102L	51	27	13	83

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SG	20.0	22.9	21.7	100%	22.0
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	52.0	52.0	48.6	100%	49.0
Chet Holmgren C	43.0	44.2	34.9	100%	35.2
Aaron Wiggins PF	16.0	19.8	16.9	17%	27.7
Jalen Williams SF	42.0	40.0	37.7	100%	38.1

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	25.0	27.9	17.2	27%	25.3
Nikola Jokic C	66.0	65.3	61.8	100%	62.2
Michael Porter Jr. SF	36.0	32.2	30.0	100%	30.4
Peyton Watson PF	25.0	9.2	11.5	0%	0
Russell Westbrook PG	38.0	22.9	21.0	3%	59.8

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.4pts, 3.7reb, 3.4ast, 28.0 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 3.5
Malevy Leons (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.6
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.7ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Alex Ducas (SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.0

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Jamal Murray (PG/SG): Avg: 20.8pts, 4.0reb, 6.3ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 5.4
Aaron Gordon (PF): Avg: 14.2pts, 6.7reb, 3.7ast, 32.5 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 5.8
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 10/24/24. Impact: 0.5
Vlatko Cancar (PF/C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 10/24/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	16.5	19.3	+2.8	80%	60%	53%	53%	DEN	+1.0	#21
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	19.5	22.0	+2.5	60%	50%	53%	53%	DEN	-1.8	#4
Russell Westbrook	DEN	Reb	5.5	7.0	+1.5	20%	20%	27%	27%	OKL	+1.2	#28
Christian Braun	DEN	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	60%	40%	27%	27%	OKL	+0.2	#22
Peyton Watson	DEN	Ast	1.5	1.7	+0.2	20%	10%	13%	13%	OKL	+0.1	#18

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#20	#23	#15	1.2%
PF	#14	#26	#11	#19	1.6%
PG	#1	#28	#2	#2	-19.4%
SF	#22	#2	#22	#15	-1.3%
SG	#9	#22	#18	#13	-2.1%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#24	#14	#16	1.9%
PF	#10	#9	#13	#9	-3.5%
PG	#2	#11	#18	#1	-22.1%
SF	#27	#29	#29	#30	13.6%
SG	#4	#1	#20	#4	-6.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.9

115.0

Rebounds per Game

43.1

45.2

Assists per Game

26.3

30.2

Steals per Game

9.7

7.9

Blocks per Game

6.8

5.7

Shots per Game

88.6

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

11.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

55.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.3

37.7

Turnovers per Game

11.9

11.8

Fouls per Game

18.2

17.8

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 12 assists in 2 consecutive games.
Christian Braun (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.2% to 38.0, 27.7 min average previous 3 games.
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.6% to 15.4, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Strawther (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.7% to 20.3, 14.0 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.8% to 16.2, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.1% to 19.6, 14.3 min average previous 3 games.