Thunder vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown tonight as the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the Toyota Center, ready to clash with the Houston Rockets in a battle that’s set to light up the scoreboard. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the Western conference, making this first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs one you won’t want to miss. With a razor-thin betting line and an over/under of 221, expect every dribble, pass, and shot to matter in a game where recent performances suggest nothing short of a nail-biter. The Rockets are fresh off a victory against Minnesota, while the Thunder just thundered past the Lakers. As tipoff approaches at 8 PM EST, fans are buzzing—will the Rockets launch past the competition, or will the Thunder strike a victorious note?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 01, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	221.0	-1.0/1.0
Recent	-120	+100	221.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+205	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

28W-20L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

33W-16L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/08/24	Houston Rockets HOU	31	20	25	31	00	107	Over
11/08/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	44	23	28	00	126	Over
12/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	24	27	00	101	Under
12/06/23	Houston Rockets HOU	32	23	25	30	00	110	Under
03/27/24	Houston Rockets HOU	28	21	31	32	200	132	Over
03/27/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	17	33	35	27	140	126	Over
02/27/24	Houston Rockets HOU	29	21	24	21	00	95	Under
02/27/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	32	24	28	00	112	Under
02/25/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	26	30	36	00	123	Over
02/25/24	Houston Rockets HOU	34	28	21	27	00	110	Over
02/15/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	33	24	18	00	96	Over
02/15/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	38	40	17	00	133	Over
02/04/23	Houston Rockets HOU	19	34	28	40	00	121	Over
02/04/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	41	44	30	00	153	Over
02/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	33	28	20	00	106	Under
02/01/23	Houston Rockets HOU	34	33	17	28	00	112	Under
11/26/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	22	29	32	00	105	Over
11/26/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	42	30	23	00	118	Over
12/01/21	Houston Rockets HOU	24	29	20	41	00	114	Over
12/01/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	34	21	29	00	110	Over
11/29/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	14	23	29	00	89	Under
11/29/21	Houston Rockets HOU	28	18	26	30	00	102	Under
11/17/21	Houston Rockets HOU	19	22	23	25	00	89	Under
11/17/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	31	27	21	00	101	Under
10/22/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	26	26	18	00	91	Under
10/22/21	Houston Rockets HOU	34	35	31	24	00	124	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/29	vs LAL	101-93W	47	20	9	93
11/25	vs SAC	130-109W	44	28	15	86
11/20	@ POR	109-99W	46	24	13	91
11/19	vs SAS	104-110L	47	24	13	100
11/17	@ DAL	119-121L	29	29	6	87
11/15	@ PHX	99-83W	53	21	10	91
11/13	@ NOP	106-88W	31	20	5	88
11/11	@ LAC	134-128W	29	31	11	91
11/10	@ GSW	116-127L	41	25	11	94
11/08	@ HOU	126-107W	41	24	10	90

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/26	vs MIN	117-111W	44	31	10	99
11/23	@ POR	98-104L	43	17	9	90
11/22	@ POR	116-88W	51	27	17	93
11/20	@ IND	130-113W	47	25	13	102
11/18	vs MIL	100-101L	53	19	12	100
11/17	vs CHI	143-107W	66	34	10	105
11/15	@ LAC	125-104W	48	31	12	95
11/13	@ LAC	111-103W	59	28	13	97
11/11	@ WAS	107-92W	58	13	19	87
11/10	vs DET	101-99W	53	19	11	93

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	24.0	23.3	23.7	100%	24.0
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	51.0	55.8	51.1	100%	51.5
Isaiah Hartenstein C	41.0	32.4	30.0	100%	28.9
Cason Wallace SG	20.0	16.6	14.7	33%	20.8
Jalen Williams PF	48.0	47.9	41.4	100%	41.8

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	21.0	23.4	21.6	100%	21.9
Jalen Green SG	29.0	25.9	35.2	100%	35.5
Alperen Sengun C	45.0	43.4	42.1	100%	42.4
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	25.0	24.9	25.7	100%	26.1
Fred VanVleet PG	37.0	36.8	38.9	100%	39.2

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 27.3 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 3.2
Ousmane Dieng (C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.4
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.5 minutes. Last game: 11/29/24. Impact: 0.4
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.5reb, 0.4ast, 4.0 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 0.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): Avg: 11.3pts, 3.5reb, 0.6ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 2.1
Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.3pts, 2.2reb, 0.9ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 1.4
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.6
Jack McVeigh (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	20.5	25.1	+4.6	80%	60%	60%	60%	HOU	+1.7	#26
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Pts	9.5	11.8	+2.3	40%	60%	60%	60%	HOU	+1.7	#26
Isaiah Hartenstein	OKL	Reb	11.5	12.8	+1.3	40%	40%	27%	27%	HOU	+0.2	#20
Tari Eason	HOU	Reb	5.5	6.4	+0.9	60%	80%	60%	60%	OKL	+0.3	#23
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Ast	6.5	7.3	+0.8	40%	50%	53%	53%	OKL	-0.7	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#14	#25	#12	-3.2%
PF	#13	#23	#7	#13	-1.2%
PG	#1	#24	#9	#2	-13.7%
SF	#27	#29	#18	#25	7.0%
SG	#6	#27	#16	#10	-3.1%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#20	#1	#15	-1.1%
PF	#3	#20	#1	#5	-9.5%
PG	#17	#17	#26	#21	3.5%
SF	#3	#26	#4	#5	-10.3%
SG	#26	#22	#1	#18	-0.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.0

116.6

Rebounds per Game

42.7

45.9

Assists per Game

26.4

24.3

Steals per Game

10.4

8.9

Blocks per Game

6.4

4.9

Shots per Game

90.5

93.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.2

52.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

35.4

Turnovers per Game

11.9

11.4

Fouls per Game

19.1

20.4

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Alperen Sengun (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 22.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 11.0 ast against MIN
Dillon Brooks (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.4% to 32.2, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
Amen Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 32.2, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.0% to 10.7, 15.9 min average previous 3 games.