Thunder vs Pacers Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard as the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Gainbridge Fieldhouse, ready to clash with the gritty Indiana Pacers in a first-round playoff matchup that promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July celebration! With the Thunder looking to bolt past the competition and the Pacers aiming to set the pace in a postseason that’s been chock-full of blowouts, tonight’s game is the breath of fresh competition we’ve been craving. As the clock ticks down to an 08:00 PM EST tipoff, fans are buzzing over a game that’s as balanced as a seesaw, with the odds-makers calling it close and everyone wondering if the Pacers can harness their recent momentum to level the playing field. Will the Thunder bring the storm, or can the Pacers keep the calm? Tune in as we find out if Oklahoma can truly OK-see their way past Indiana’s pace!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 26, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-210	+175	226.5	-5.0/5.0
Recent	-170	+145	226.0	-6.0/6.0
Difference	+40	-30	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

32W-21L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

32W-17L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/05/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	27	30	23	00	112	Over
04/05/24	Indiana Pacers IND	31	38	31	26	00	126	Over
03/12/24	Indiana Pacers IND	22	36	36	27	00	121	Over
03/12/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	17	29	41	24	00	111	Over
03/31/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	29	33	23	00	117	Over
03/31/23	Indiana Pacers IND	36	29	25	31	00	121	Over
01/18/23	Indiana Pacers IND	20	24	29	33	00	106	Over
01/18/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	36	22	42	26	00	126	Over
02/25/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	40	23	31	60	129	Over
02/25/22	Indiana Pacers IND	36	25	32	30	20	125	Over
01/28/22	Indiana Pacers IND	29	22	22	27	130	113	Under
01/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	24	26	20	100	110	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/20	vs MIA	104-97W	48	24	14	86
12/19	vs ORL	105-99W	32	23	13	83
12/14	@ HOU	111-96W	43	19	12	80
12/10	@ DAL	118-104W	52	29	13	101
12/07	vs NOP	119-109W	45	27	18	85
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102
12/01	vs HOU	116-119L	46	30	7	94
11/29	vs LAL	101-93W	47	20	9	93
11/25	vs SAC	130-109W	44	28	15	86

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/22	vs SAC	122-95W	50	36	10	86
12/19	vs PHX	120-111W	47	30	9	89
12/15	@ NOP	119-104W	43	33	17	81
12/13	vs PHI	121-107W	41	35	10	91
12/08	@ CHA	109-113L	29	23	17	82
12/06	vs CHI	132-123W	46	33	12	92
12/04	vs BRO	90-99L	39	20	16	75
12/03	vs TOR	111-122L	34	21	20	84
12/01	vs MEM	121-136L	41	28	15	90
11/29	@ DET	106-130L	32	23	16	85

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	22.0	26.4	23.7	100%	24.0
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	53.0	54.1	53.5	100%	53.9
Isaiah Hartenstein C	38.0	37.0	30.5	100%	29.4
Cason Wallace SG	19.0	19.4	17.1	50%	21.1
Jalen Williams PF	41.0	37.6	41.3	100%	41.8

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	40.0	41.8	38.3	100%	38.7
Bennedict Mathurin SF	29.0	23.0	27.5	73%	29.6
Andrew Nembhard SG	25.0	24.1	25.3	100%	25.6
Pascal Siakam PF	38.0	40.4	35.8	100%	36.1
Myles Turner C	32.0	27.4	30.0	100%	30.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.2pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 3.3

Pacers Notable Injuries

Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 5.8pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Johnny Furphy (SG/SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.2 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 1.4
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.6
Enrique Freeman (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Cason Wallace	OKL	Pts	6.5	8.0	+1.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	IND	-0.2	#12
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	14.5	15.9	+1.4	40%	40%	47%	47%	OKL	-4.0	#1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKL	Reb	5.5	5.7	+0.2	60%	60%	47%	47%	IND	-0.4	#11
T.J. McConnell	IND	Reb	2.5	2.7	+0.2	40%	30%	40%	40%	OKL	+0.4	#22
Pascal Siakam	IND	Ast	2.5	3.9	+1.4	80%	50%	53%	53%	OKL	-0.5	#7
Bennedict Mathurin	IND	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	60%	50%	53%	53%	OKL	-0.5	#9
Luguentz Dort	OKL	3Pt	1.5	2.1	+0.6	80%	60%	67%	67%	IND	-0.2	#9
Jalen Williams	OKL	3Pt	1.5	1.7	+0.2	60%	70%	67%	67%	IND	-0.2	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#27	#25	#5	-7.0%
PF	#12	#10	#7	#8	-5.8%
PG	#8	#22	#2	#2	-12.3%
SF	#13	#26	#17	#12	-2.3%
SG	#10	#24	#9	#12	-4.1%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#30	#2	#8	-4.1%
PF	#28	#26	#13	#27	7.6%
PG	#12	#11	#19	#13	0.3%
SF	#26	#19	#30	#27	8.0%
SG	#16	#4	#6	#9	-6.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.9

114.6

Rebounds per Game

42.7

40.4

Assists per Game

26.0

27.8

Steals per Game

12.2

8.5

Blocks per Game

6.0

5.1

Shots per Game

91.7

86.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.4

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

54.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.2

38.9

Turnovers per Game

11.0

14.1

Fouls per Game

21.5

20.4

Recent Trends

Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Ajay Mitchell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 10.6, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.