Thunder vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 16, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-370	+285	219.5	-9.0/9.0
Recent	-525	+375	218.5	-10.5/10.5
Difference	-155	+90	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

18W-14L

84.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

8W-26L

16.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/10/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	19	25	25	93	Under
03/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	26	38	22	124	Under
12/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	27	13	31	97	Under
12/18/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	34	26	22	116	Under
04/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	25	24	27	100	Under
04/09/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	20	27	38	30	115	Under
12/17/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	21	22	33	33	109	Over
12/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	39	27	24	115	Over
12/07/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	27	35	15	102	Over
12/07/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	30	37	29	123	Over
11/18/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	31	24	27	110	Over
11/18/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	30	29	29	121	Over
03/13/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	23	34	30	125	Over
03/13/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	28	25	39	118	Over
12/20/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	16	31	27	28	102	Under
12/20/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	22	22	27	99	Under
12/02/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	16	20	26	17	79	Over
12/02/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	41	41	39	152	Over

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/14	@ DAL	126-119W	34	28	13	86
03/12	@ IND	99-121L	47	22	12	96
03/10	@ MEM	124-93W	46	36	10	94
03/08	@ MIA	107-100W	45	28	9	89
03/06	vs POR	128-120W	39	23	18	75
03/04	vs LAL	104-116L	38	22	10	94
03/03	vs PHX	118-0W	41	21	5	31
02/29	vs SAS	118-132L	37	20	10	89
02/27	@ HOU	112-95W	55	19	13	93
02/25	vs HOU	123-110W	48	30	9	98

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/13	@ CHA	98-110L	46	24	21	85
03/12	@ WAS	109-86W	53	27	17	89
03/10	vs OKL	93-124L	39	21	16	79
03/08	@ ATL	92-99L	38	21	13	74
03/06	vs PHI	115-109W	54	21	15	92
03/04	vs BRO	106-102W	50	26	18	82
03/02	@ POR	100-107L	45	21	22	83
03/01	@ POR	92-122L	30	15	21	80
02/28	vs MIN	101-110L	50	23	14	94
02/26	@ BRO	86-111L	40	16	14	75

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	21.3	21.2	19.7	100%	20.2
Josh Giddey SG	28.1	33.1	27.0	100%	27.4
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	53.6	48.5	51.6	100%	51.9
Chet Holmgren C	37.9	30.2	35.5	100%	35.8
Jalen Williams PF	35.9	32.4	36.6	100%	37.0

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Santi Aldama PF	20.7	27.5	23.6	70%	24.8
Desmond Bane SG	29.7	40.6	41.0	93%	40.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	37.6	42.2	39.2	93%	39.8
Luke Kennard PG	21.2	26.4	21.3	57%	24.5
John Konchar SF	19.5	23.7	18.0	57%	22.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.0
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.4
Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.5reb, 0.1ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.1

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Vince Williams Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 10.3pts, 5.6reb, 3.5ast, 27.9 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 5.5
Ziaire Williams (SG): Avg: 8.1pts, 3.6reb, 1.5ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 3.3
Lamar Stevens (PF/C): Avg: 6.1pts, 2.9reb, 0.5ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.3
Yuta Watanabe (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	14.5	16.9	+2.4	40%	60%	53%	53%	MEM	-1.8	#8
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	17.5	19.6	+2.1	40%	60%	67%	67%	MEM	+0.7	#19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKL	Reb	5.5	5.6	+0.1	40%	60%	53%	53%	MEM	0.0	#18
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Reb	3.5	3.6	+0.1	20%	40%	40%	40%	MEM	-0.6	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#20	#21	#16	0.6%
PF	#24	#26	#17	#24	8.3%
PG	#1	#25	#3	#1	-25.5%
SF	#9	#1	#22	#8	-9.0%
SG	#25	#7	#15	#18	1.4%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#8	#5	#7	-8.6%
PF	#14	#9	#12	#17	-1.8%
PG	#3	#20	#24	#11	-4.1%
SF	#19	#10	#29	#21	6.4%
SG	#21	#18	#20	#21	4.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

119.6

100.0

Rebounds per Game

44.2

43.8

Assists per Game

25.2

22.6

Steals per Game

8.8

8.7

Blocks per Game

6.9

6.4

Shots per Game

85.7

83.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.0

11.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

48.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.2

33.8

Turnovers per Game

11.3

16.6

Fouls per Game

17.7

17.4

Recent Trends

Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Wenyen Gabriel (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.4% to 18.0, 12.5 min average previous 3 games.
Gregory Jackson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.7% to 33.8, 25.7 min average previous 3 games.