Thunder vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 24th 2024

Hold onto your jerseys, sports fans! The Fiserv Forum is about to be lit tonight as the Thunder rolls into town, ready to clash with the Bucks in a showdown that’s sure to be more electrifying than a Tesla coil. These two powerhouses are neck-and-neck in their respective conferences, both sitting pretty at 0.0 games back. The Thunder, boasting a 49W-20L record, are fresh off a thunderous victory against the Raptors, while the Bucks, with a 45W-25L record, just bucked the Nets in their latest match. The bookies are having a field day with this one, setting the over/under at a whopping 231.5, and the lines at Thunder +2.5 and Bucks -2.5. So, as the clock ticks down to a 07:00PM EST tipoff, get ready for a game that’s sure to make some noise. Because when the Thunder bucks, you know it’s going to be a slam dunk of a night!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 24, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-135	231.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+100	-130	231.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-15	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

20W-14L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

28W-7L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/09/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	28	29	35	710	136	Over
11/09/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	28	32	32	76	132	Over
11/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	19	25	16		94	Under
11/05/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	33	26	15		108	Under
03/08/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	39	37	29	37		142	Over
03/08/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	31	28	22		115	Over
11/19/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	23	21	21		89	Under
11/19/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	24	22	16		96	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/22	vs TOR	123-105W	46	27	15	96
03/20	@ UTA	119-107W	45	29	10	88
03/16	vs MEM	118-112W	45	25	11	87
03/14	@ DAL	126-119W	34	28	13	86
03/12	@ IND	99-121L	47	22	12	96
03/10	@ MEM	124-93W	46	36	10	94
03/08	@ MIA	107-100W	45	28	9	89
03/06	vs POR	128-120W	39	23	18	75
03/04	vs LAL	104-116L	38	22	10	94
03/03	vs PHX	118-0W	41	21	5	31

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/21	@ BRO	115-108W	40	27	10	91
03/20	vs BOS	119-122L	41	20	14	84
03/17	@ PHX	140-129W	35	35	10	94
03/14	@ PHI	114-105W	37	29	14	72
03/12	vs SAC	94-129L	44	23	13	84
03/10	vs LAC	124-117W	41	28	7	88
03/08	vs LAL	122-123L	43	28	6	94
03/06	vs GSW	90-125L	36	19	15	89
03/04	@ LAC	113-106W	46	20	11	78
03/01	vs CHI	113-97W	49	22	7	86

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	19.7	20.4	19.4	100%	19.9
Josh Giddey SG	26.7	27.4	26.2	100%	26.6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	52.8	46.8	51.2	100%	51.6
Chet Holmgren C	41.8	43.2	37.2	100%	37.5
Jalen Williams PF	37.3	35.2	36.2	100%	36.5

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	59.5	56.5	55.8	93%	56.3
Patrick Beverley SG	11.4	12.3	18.1	20%	26.9
Jae Crowder SF	12.4	14.2	13.9	70%	14.5
Damian Lillard PG	47.3	47.7	43.4	93%	44.0
Brook Lopez C	27.8	25.8	27.5	93%	27.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.4pts, 2.6reb, 0.8ast, 12.4 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.7
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Bucks Notable Injuries

Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.8
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	15.5	18.8	+3.3	60%	40%	60%	60%	MIL	-2.2	#7
Damian Lillard	MIL	Pts	23.5	26.1	+2.6	60%	60%	53%	53%	OKL	+1.1	#22
Josh Giddey	OKL	Reb	5.5	5.7	+0.2	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	+0.8	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#10	#29	#19	0.7%
PF	#21	#27	#15	#24	5.8%
PG	#4	#25	#2	#2	-18.3%
SF	#9	#1	#18	#7	-11.7%
SG	#22	#10	#20	#14	0.1%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#8	#19	#3	-12.3%
PF	#7	#10	#27	#15	-0.3%
PG	#8	#5	#4	#5	-12.4%
SF	#13	#8	#6	#11	-6.8%
SG	#28	#27	#29	#29	10.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

119.0

114.9

Rebounds per Game

44.4

42.9

Assists per Game

25.7

25.5

Steals per Game

9.3

6.5

Blocks per Game

6.6

4.1

Shots per Game

86.3

86.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

15.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.2

54.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.2

39.6

Turnovers per Game

11.4

10.8

Fouls per Game

18.0

16.8

Recent Trends

Jae Crowder (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.4% to 25.6, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
AJ Green (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 12.5, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.0, 34.2 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.9% to 30.9, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.