Thunder vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the Target Center tonight as the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder, boasting an impressive 44-9 record, roll into Minneapolis to clash with the gritty Minnesota Timberwolves, who are sitting at a respectable 30-25. With the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs mostly serving up one-sided affairs, tonight’s showdown promises to bring the heat and hopefully, a much tighter contest. Kicking off at 9:30 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high with the Thunder looking to thunder past the competition, while the Timberwolves aim to howl their way to a victory. With the betting lines drawing a clear favorite in the Thunder at -7 and an over/under tantalizingly set at 222, expect sparks to fly as these two Western conference contenders go head-to-head. So, as the Thunder aims to strike and the Wolves look to bite back, let’s see who truly rules the basketball wilderness tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 13, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-275	+225	222.0	-7.0/7.0
Recent	-180	+135	222.0	-8.0/8.0
Difference	+95	-90	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

39W-24L

64.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

42W-22L

35.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/31/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	28	23	30	105	Under
12/31/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	25	43	24	113	Under
01/29/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	20	24	34	107	Under
01/29/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	19	30	24	101	Under
01/20/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	27	17	28	102	Under
01/20/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	30	29	14	97	Under
12/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	25	31	15	106	Over
12/26/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	40	26	36	27	129	Over
11/28/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	32	17	25	103	Under
11/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	19	34	23	30	106	Under
12/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	33	25	24	112	Push
12/16/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	22	41	19	110	Push
12/03/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	34	38	135	Over
12/03/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	28	44	27	128	Over
10/23/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	22	29	34	116	Push
10/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	18	26	30	32	106	Push
10/19/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	30	35	21	108	Over
10/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	30	22	28	115	Over
03/09/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	26	32	23	102	Over
03/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	42	27	31	132	Over
03/04/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	45	31	30	138	Over
03/04/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	26	27	14	101	Over
01/07/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	41	30	32	135	Over
01/07/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	29	23	25	105	Over
01/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	10	26	27	27	90	Under
01/05/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	19	20	29	98	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	@ MIA	115-101W	41	22	13	88
02/10	@ NOP	137-101W	45	29	10	95
02/08	vs MEM	125-112W	55	29	8	105
02/07	@ TOR	121-109W	44	26	12	84
02/05	@ PHX	140-109W	46	24	5	102
02/03	@ MIL	125-96W	55	28	17	99
02/01	@ SAC	144-110W	70	37	11	107
01/29	vs GSW	109-116L	50	21	11	99
01/26	vs POR	118-108W	43	24	7	89
01/23	@ DAL	115-121L	33	26	12	88

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	@ MIL	101-103L	59	27	13	103
02/10	vs CLE	107-128L	41	17	16	90
02/08	@ POR	114-98W	43	23	14	82
02/06	@ HOU	127-114W	47	23	13	94
02/05	@ CHI	127-108W	59	27	11	98
02/03	@ SAC	114-116L	36	28	8	94
02/01	@ WAS	103-105L	47	29	14	93
01/30	vs UTA	138-113W	39	38	12	82
01/29	vs PHX	121-113W	34	26	14	75
01/27	@ ATL	100-92W	51	18	16	86

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SG	19.0	24.0	21.2	100%	21.5
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	50.0	53.3	53.5	100%	53.9
Isaiah Hartenstein C	29.0	27.1	34.7	100%	33.6
Chet Holmgren PF	28.0	26.6	32.8	100%	33.0
Jalen Williams SF	37.0	35.0	38.3	100%	38.6

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	23.0	25.3	20.3	80%	21.6
Anthony Edwards SG	53.0	54.9	46.9	100%	47.3
Rudy Gobert C	37.0	34.6	30.1	100%	30.5
Jaden McDaniels SF	34.0	31.6	28.9	100%	29.2
Naz Reid PF	37.0	40.9	29.0	23%	37.7

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 8.8pts, 3.5reb, 3.2ast, 25.7 minutes. Last game: 02/12/25. Impact: 3.0
Cason Wallace (PG/SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 22.6 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 3.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 4.0reb, 1.8ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 02/12/25. Impact: 3.7
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.9reb, 1.0ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.8
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 1.2
Alex Ducas (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.1ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.8
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.3reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.4

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Julius Randle (PF/C): Avg: 21.4pts, 8.2reb, 4.8ast, 34.1 minutes. Last game: 01/30/25. Impact: 5.5
Josh Minott (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.6
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.7
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	12.5	16.5	+4.0	20%	40%	47%	47%	OKL	-0.7	#11
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	11.5	13.5	+2.0	80%	80%	67%	67%	OKL	-1.9	#5
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Reb	5.5	6.5	+1.0	100%	70%	67%	67%	OKL	+0.3	#23

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#10	#2	#3	-14.0%
PF	#11	#1	#10	#3	-9.8%
PG	#23	#6	#6	#5	-5.1%
SF	#3	#18	#8	#3	-8.0%
SG	#2	#23	#16	#3	-7.8%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#21	#9	#13	-1.0%
PF	#13	#8	#9	#8	-4.4%
PG	#13	#2	#9	#8	-3.3%
SF	#8	#6	#3	#7	-5.5%
SG	#10	#20	#11	#11	-1.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.9

112.2

Rebounds per Game

44.6

45.5

Assists per Game

26.8

25.0

Steals per Game

9.8

6.9

Blocks per Game

4.7

5.3

Shots per Game

92.4

87.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.2

14.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.3

51.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.1

38.6

Turnovers per Game

11.2

13.5

Fouls per Game

20.5

18.1

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Alex Caruso (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.1% to 19.2, 12.6 min average previous 3 games.
Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.8% to 19.7, 14.4 min average previous 3 games.
Chet Holmgren (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.3% to 17.4, 27.7 min average previous 3 games.