Thunder vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 26th 2024

Thunder
49W-21L

March 26, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 222.5 o/u
Pelicans
44W-27L


As the sun dips below the horizon, the lights of the Smoothie King Center will be blazing, ready to host the clash between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New Orleans Pelicans. It’s a Western conference showdown, folks! The Thunder, just a hair’s breadth behind in the conference rankings, are looking to shake off the dust from that unfortunate tumble against the Bucks. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are riding high on the wave of their recent victory over the Pistons, ready to defend their nest. The betting world is buzzing with an over/under of 222.5. The Thunder are favored by a whisker with a line of -1.5, while the Pelicans are perched at 1.5. It’s a game that’s got everyone’s feathers ruffled and the air crackling with anticipation. So, get ready for a night where the Thunder will try to break through the Pelicans’ defense, in a game that promises to be nothing short of an electrifying ‘fly or fry’ situation.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 26, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Vegas Odds
OKL ML | NOP ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -125 | +105 | 225.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -110 | -110 | 222.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
Difference | +15 | -215 | -2.5 | – |
Team Performance

52.4% Win Probability

47.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/26/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 17 | 23 | 19 | 83 | ||||
11/01/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 14 | 29 | 35 | 32 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 18 | 26 | 29 | 106 | ||||
03/11/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 96 | ||||
02/13/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 27 | 16 | 27 | 103 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 100 | ||||
12/23/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 31 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 23 | 31 | 35 | 13 | 125 | |||
11/28/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 105 | ||||
12/26/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 18 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 25 | 32 | 28 | 117 | ||||
12/15/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 21 | 30 | 38 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 23 | 27 | 32 | 110 | ||||
11/10/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 19 | 23 | 29 | 100 |
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/24 | vs MIL | 93-118L | 37 | 20 | 12 | 89 |
03/22 | vs TOR | 123-105W | 46 | 27 | 15 | 96 |
03/20 | @ UTA | 119-107W | 45 | 29 | 10 | 88 |
03/16 | vs MEM | 118-112W | 45 | 25 | 11 | 87 |
03/14 | @ DAL | 126-119W | 34 | 28 | 13 | 86 |
03/12 | @ IND | 99-121L | 47 | 22 | 12 | 96 |
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
03/06 | vs POR | 128-120W | 39 | 23 | 18 | 75 |
03/04 | vs LAL | 104-116L | 38 | 22 | 10 | 94 |
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/24 | vs DET | 114-101W | 41 | 27 | 10 | 81 |
03/22 | vs MIA | 111-88W | 56 | 25 | 12 | 82 |
03/21 | vs ORL | 106-121L | 33 | 24 | 18 | 78 |
03/19 | vs BRO | 104-91W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 83 |
03/16 | @ POR | 126-109W | 39 | 36 | 9 | 99 |
03/15 | @ LAC | 112-104W | 40 | 28 | 8 | 88 |
03/13 | @ CLE | 95-116L | 43 | 22 | 11 | 80 |
03/10 | vs ATL | 116-103W | 43 | 32 | 12 | 75 |
03/08 | vs PHI | 103-95W | 48 | 22 | 12 | 83 |
03/05 | vs TOR | 139-98W | 62 | 38 | 11 | 106 |
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19.4 | 17.4 | 19.0 | 100% | 19.5 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
27.3 | 30.9 | 27.0 | 100% | 27.4 |
51.9 | 43.1 | 51.0 | 100% | 51.4 | |
40.8 | 37.5 | 36.8 | 100% | 37.1 | |
36.3 | 37.5 | 35.5 | 100% | 35.8 |
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25.0 | 23.6 | 23.2 | 100% | 23.6 | |
CJ McCollum
PG
|
40.3 | 38.6 | 31.5 | 100% | 31.9 |
33.1 | 30.1 | 26.9 | 37% | 28.7 | |
24.1 | 18.6 | 24.6 | 100% | 24.9 | |
48.5 | 38.9 | 40.3 | 100% | 40.8 |
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.4reb, 1.5ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 1.7
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.5reb, 0.8ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.6
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.8
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.9pts, 5.1reb, 5.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 5.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 15.5 | 18.3 | +2.8 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | NOP | +0.6 | #17 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Pts | 17.5 | 19.9 | +2.4 | 100% | 70% | 73% | 73% | NOP | -4.0 | #3 |
CJ McCollum | NOP | Reb | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 27% | OKL | -0.4 | #9 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Ast | 5.5 | 6.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | NOP | -0.5 | #8 |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #19 | #6 | #28 | #20 | 1.5% |
PF | #23 | #30 | #26 | #27 | 9.1% |
PG | #4 | #28 | #2 | #6 | -11.4% |
SF | #12 | #2 | #20 | #9 | -10.3% |
SG | #17 | #9 | #21 | #14 | -2.0% |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #17 | #28 | #1 | #19 | 0.4% |
PF | #7 | #7 | #24 | #11 | -4.8% |
PG | #7 | #20 | #16 | #12 | -4.6% |
SF | #3 | #30 | #23 | #25 | 11.2% |
SG | #10 | #1 | #8 | #6 | -9.5% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 13.2, 19.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.9% to 16.2, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Kenrich Williams (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 66.7% to 18.4, 11.0 min average previous 3 games. The Pelicans have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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