Thunder vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024
Thunder
2W-0L
April 27, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 210.0 o/u
Pelicans
1W-3L
Get ready for an electric showdown at the Smoothie King Center today as the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into New Orleans, lightning-charged with a pristine 2-0 record, ready to clash with the storm-weary Pelicans, who are perched at 1-3 this season. As the clock ticks down to a 3:30 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high in this Western Conference face-off. With the Thunder just a whisper away from the top and the Pelicans eager to flap closer to redemption, today’s Playoff game promises to be anything but a typical first-round snoozer. Both teams are flying high off recent victories, setting the stage for a showdown where the over/under hints at a tightly contested basket brawl. So, as the Thunder aims to strike and the Pelicans look to soar, brace yourself for a game that’s bound to be more than just a breeze!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 27, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Vegas Odds
| OKL ML | NOP ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +105 | -135 | 208.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Recent | +105 | -135 | 210.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance
48.8% Win Probability
51.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/24/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 28 | 24 | 18 | 00 | 92 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 35 | 28 | 29 | 32 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 04/21/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 17 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 92 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 17 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 00 | 94 | |||
| 03/26/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 40 | 23 | 23 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 01/26/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 00 | 107 | Under | |
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 17 | 23 | 19 | 00 | 83 | |||
| 11/01/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 14 | 29 | 35 | 32 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 18 | 26 | 29 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 03/11/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 110 | Under | |
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 00 | 96 | |||
| 02/13/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 27 | 16 | 27 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 00 | 100 | |||
| 12/23/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 31 | 16 | 32 | 160 | 128 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 23 | 31 | 35 | 130 | 125 | |||
| 11/28/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 12/26/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 18 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 25 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 12/15/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 21 | 30 | 38 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 23 | 27 | 32 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 11/10/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 108 | Under | |
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 19 | 23 | 29 | 00 | 100 |
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Thunder Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
| 04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
| 04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
| 04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
| 04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
| 03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
| 03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Pelicans Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs GSW | 114-109W | 38 | 24 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/11 | vs SAC | 135-123W | 40 | 35 | 13 | 86 |
| 04/09 | vs POR | 110-100W | 45 | 25 | 9 | 87 |
| 04/07 | vs PHX | 113-105W | 42 | 26 | 12 | 85 |
| 04/05 | @ SAS | 109-111L | 41 | 28 | 17 | 87 |
| 04/03 | @ ORL | 108-117L | 35 | 21 | 14 | 76 |
| 04/01 | @ PHX | 111-124L | 37 | 29 | 9 | 89 |
| 03/30 | @ BOS | 92-104L | 41 | 22 | 9 | 86 |
| 03/28 | @ MIL | 107-100W | 48 | 22 | 6 | 91 |
| 03/26 | @ OKL | 112-119L | 37 | 26 | 9 | 86 |
Starting Lineups
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.0 | 22.4 | 21.2 | 100% | 21.6 | |
|
Josh Giddey
PG
|
29.1 | 31.1 | 30.9 | 100% | 31.3 |
| 51.0 | 45.9 | 48.6 | 100% | 49.0 | |
| 36.7 | 38.0 | 34.8 | 100% | 35.1 | |
| 37.7 | 32.4 | 35.6 | 100% | 35.9 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.9 | 29.9 | 37.3 | 100% | 37.6 | |
| 24.7 | 23.1 | 24.7 | 100% | 25.1 | |
|
CJ McCollum
PG
|
41.2 | 43.4 | 35.7 | 100% | 36.0 |
| 34.2 | 38.8 | 32.9 | 63% | 34.2 | |
| 31.0 | 30.4 | 23.0 | 100% | 23.3 |
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/24/24. Impact: 2.5
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.3reb, 0.7ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 04/24/24. Impact: 0.9
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.0
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 04/24/24. Impact: 1.5
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Zion Williamson (PF): Avg: 22.9pts, 5.7reb, 5.0ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 7.3
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 04/24/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Josh Giddey | OKL | Pts | 9.5 | 11.8 | +2.3 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% | NOP | -0.6 | #14 |
| Luguentz Dort | OKL | Pts | 9.5 | 11.2 | +1.7 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% | NOP | -8.9 | #3 |
| Jaylin Williams | OKL | Reb | 2.5 | 3.2 | +0.7 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | NOP | +0.5 | #18 |
| CJ McCollum | NOP | Reb | 4.5 | 4.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | OKL | -0.5 | #10 |
| Brandon Ingram | NOP | Ast | 5.5 | 5.8 | +0.3 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | OKL | -0.6 | #16 |
Thunder Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #28 | #17 | #27 | #26 | 9.3% |
| PF | #16 | #22 | #5 | #15 | -1.7% |
| PG | #8 | #19 | #8 | #6 | -33.3% |
| SF | #28 | #29 | #16 | #28 | 22.2% |
| SG | #4 | #10 | #25 | #11 | -4.3% |
Pelicans Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #22 | #26 | #22 | #24 | 8.6% |
| PF | #12 | #13 | #26 | #13 | -3.3% |
| PG | #23 | #10 | #25 | #25 | 27.7% |
| SF | #3 | #18 | #20 | #10 | -16.8% |
| SG | #14 | #8 | #8 | #3 | -9.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Dyson Daniels (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 55.2% to 12.2, 27.2 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak. The Pelicans have a 4-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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