Thunder vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble as the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the Big Easy to clash with the New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center tonight at 8 PM EST! It’s the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, and after a series of blowouts, we’re all itching for a nail-biter. The Thunder, sitting pretty at the top of the Western Conference, are looking to bring the storm, while the underdog Pelicans, fresh off a thrilling win, aim to keep their hopes soaring. With the over/under teasing a score fest and the lines drawn tight, tonight’s matchup promises to be more than just a game—it’s a showdown where Thunder roars and Pelicans soar, all in one court!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 07, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-320	+260	223.0	-8.0/8.0
Recent	-340	+270	225.0	-7.5/7.5
Difference	-20	+10	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

29W-21L

77.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

24W-22L

22.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/13/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	22	18	20	00	88	Under
11/13/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	21	28	24	00	106	Under
03/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	40	23	23	00	119	Over
03/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	24	32	22	00	112	Over
01/26/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	27	30	00	107	Under
01/26/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	17	23	19	00	83	Under
11/01/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	14	29	35	32	00	110	Under
11/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	18	26	29	00	106	Under
03/11/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	24	23	00	110	Under
03/11/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	22	28	24	00	96	Under
02/13/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	27	16	27	00	103	Under
02/13/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	26	22	27	00	100	Under
12/23/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	31	16	32	160	128	Over
12/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	23	31	35	130	125	Over
11/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	24	24	27	00	101	Under
11/28/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	22	25	24	00	105	Under
12/26/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	18	31	32	31	00	112	Over
12/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	25	32	28	00	117	Over
12/15/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	21	30	38	00	113	Under
12/15/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	23	27	32	00	110	Under
11/10/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	28	29	23	00	108	Under
11/10/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	19	23	29	00	100	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102
12/01	vs HOU	116-119L	46	30	7	94
11/29	vs LAL	101-93W	47	20	9	93
11/25	vs SAC	130-109W	44	28	15	86
11/20	@ POR	109-99W	46	24	13	91
11/19	vs SAS	104-110L	47	24	13	100
11/17	@ DAL	119-121L	29	29	6	87
11/15	@ PHX	99-83W	53	21	10	91
11/13	@ NOP	106-88W	31	20	5	88

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/05	@ PHX	126-124W	44	23	13	95
12/02	vs ATL	112-124L	41	21	16	100
12/01	vs NYK	85-118L	42	20	14	94
11/29	vs MEM	109-120L	46	16	14	91
11/25	vs IND	110-114L	44	35	15	87
11/22	@ GSW	108-112L	43	28	9	92
11/20	vs CLE	100-128L	40	23	11	92
11/19	vs DAL	91-132L	37	19	21	78
11/16	@ LAL	99-104L	50	24	17	83
11/15	@ DEN	101-94W	56	21	14	87

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	22.0	20.6	23.1	100%	23.4
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	51.0	54.7	51.9	100%	52.3
Isaiah Hartenstein C	37.0	37.0	29.7	100%	28.6
Isaiah Joe SG	18.0	16.4	15.1	33%	20.3
Jalen Williams PF	42.0	39.3	41.6	100%	42.0

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	41.0	43.7	36.7	100%	37.1
Herbert Jones PF	24.0	19.8	22.6	100%	22.9
CJ McCollum SG	37.0	36.0	38.5	100%	38.8
Yves Missi C	30.0	34.0	24.1	70%	24.7
Dejounte Murray PG	40.0	36.5	46.6	100%	47.0

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 3.2
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.9
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.4

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 4.5reb, 0.9ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.7
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): Avg: 8.2pts, 2.4reb, 1.0ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 3.1
Daniel Theis (C): Avg: 5.4pts, 3.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 1.5
Antonio Reeves (PG/SG): Avg: 6.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.5ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 2.0
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 2.1
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Pts	14.5	18.7	+4.2	60%	60%	53%	53%	OKL	-1.5	#4
Dejounte Murray	NOP	Pts	17.5	20.2	+2.7	20%	30%	47%	47%	OKL	-2.8	#2
Yves Missi	NOP	Reb	8.5	9.8	+1.3	80%	70%	60%	60%	OKL	+0.5	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#25	#27	#16	0.3%
PF	#10	#24	#5	#11	-2.1%
PG	#2	#21	#5	#2	-16.5%
SF	#26	#30	#19	#25	6.3%
SG	#4	#25	#18	#8	-3.5%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#28	#8	#20	3.6%
PF	#11	#14	#26	#13	-1.3%
PG	#22	#22	#28	#28	10.2%
SF	#20	#17	#11	#21	3.1%
SG	#17	#17	#14	#16	-0.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.6

107.5

Rebounds per Game

42.9

42.7

Assists per Game

26.4

24.9

Steals per Game

10.8

9.0

Blocks per Game

6.3

4.5

Shots per Game

91.6

87.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

11.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.0

51.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

35.2

Turnovers per Game

11.4

12.9

Fouls per Game

19.5

17.6

Recent Trends

Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 18.7, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 14.0, 10.7 min average previous 3 games.