Thunder vs. Suns: A Desert Showdown for Redemption!

Thunder
41W-18L

March 03, 2024
10:30PM EST
Odds: 233.5 o/u
Suns
35W-25L


Get ready for some late-night hoops action, folks! The 41W-18L Oklahoma City Thunder are saddling up and heading to the desert to take on the 35W-25L Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center. Tipoff is at 10:30PM EST, so make sure you’ve got your popcorn and your favorite beverage handy. The Thunder are hot on the heels of the top spot in the Western conference, just 0.5 games back, while the Suns are trying to claw their way up from a 4.0 game deficit. The over/under is set at a whopping 233.5, with the Thunder line at -2.0 and the Suns line at 2.0. Both teams are coming off a loss, with the Suns getting scorched 109-120 by the Rockets on 03/02/24 and the Thunder getting struck down 118-132 by the Spurs on 02/29/24. It’s a redemption game for both, so expect some fireworks!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 03, 2024 10:30PM EST
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix
Vegas Odds
Opening Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -130, Phoenix Suns +110; Over/Under: 236.5 points
Recent Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -165 -35, Phoenix Suns +125 +15; Over/Under: 233.5 points -3.0
Team Performance

62.3% Win Probability

37.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/12/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 29 | 25 | 26 | 31 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 99 | ||||
04/02/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 27 | 42 | 29 | 30 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 28 | 34 | 29 | 118 | ||||
03/19/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 38 | 27 | 24 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 124 | ||||
03/08/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 21 | 31 | 28 | 21 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 34 | 26 | 44 | 28 | 132 | ||||
02/24/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 36 | 29 | 30 | 124 | ||||
04/03/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 27 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 20 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 117 | ||||
02/24/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 17 | 37 | 39 | 124 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 14 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 104 | ||||
12/29/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 27 | 25 | 30 | 115 | ||||
12/23/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 17 | 31 | 21 | 32 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 16 | 37 | 31 | 113 |
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.0 | 19.9 | 19.6 | 100% | 20.0 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
24.8 | 23.1 | 27.0 | 100% | 27.4 |
56.0 | 53.2 | 51.9 | 100% | 52.3 | |
43.4 | 45.2 | 37.2 | 100% | 37.5 | |
40.3 | 36.9 | 36.9 | 100% | 37.3 |
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.3 | 23.4 | 25.1 | 93% | 25.6 | |
Bradley Beal
PG
|
25.9 | 28.9 | 31.5 | 93% | 31.8 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
49.1 | 44.9 | 46.9 | 93% | 47.9 |
|
35.5 | 37.8 | 32.4 | 93% | 33.1 |
22.3 | 32.5 | 20.1 | 10% | 31.1 |
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Jaylin Williams OUT (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 02/29/24. Impact: 2.2
Suns Notable Injuries
- Devin Booker GTD (PG/SG): Avg: 27.6pts, 4.5reb, 6.8ast, 35.9 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 6.8
- Jusuf Nurkic GTD (C): Avg: 11.9pts, 10.5reb, 3.8ast, 27.3 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 5.9
- Eric Gordon GTD (SG): Avg: 12.5pts, 2.1reb, 2.2ast, 29.8 minutes. Last game: 02/23/24. Impact: 3.5
- Nassir Little GTD (SF/PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 16.5 | 19.4 | +2.9 | 100% | 70% | 60% | 60% | PHX | -4.0 | #3 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Pts | 19.5 | 22.1 | +2.6 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | PHX | +0.1 | #16 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | PHX | -0.2 | #12 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Reb | 5.5 | 5.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | PHX | +2.1 | #30 |
Josh Giddey | OKL | Ast | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | PHX | +0.4 | #22 |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #21 | #21 | #23 | 7.9% |
PF | #29 | #30 | #30 | #29 | 15.5% |
PG | #3 | #15 | #6 | #3 | -16.2% |
SF | #4 | #1 | #26 | #3 | -11.7% |
SG | #23 | #15 | #6 | #17 | 0.2% |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #15 | #17 | #9 | -8.1% |
PF | #9 | #27 | #5 | #20 | 2.9% |
PG | #27 | #30 | #13 | #30 | 14.9% |
SF | #16 | #17 | #2 | #10 | -6.8% |
SG | #16 | #12 | #22 | #19 | 0.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Bradley Beal (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.1% to 19.7, 35.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Bol Bol (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.8% to 20.2, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Devin Booker (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.3% to 38.7, 27.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.4% to 33.9, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games. The Thunder recently lost a game, but have no significant streak. The Suns recently lost a game, but have no significant streak.
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