Thunder vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying clash as the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder roll into the Capital One Arena, ready to rumble with the Washington Wizards in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff game. With most of the early playoff games turning into blowouts, fans are on the edge of their seats hoping today’s matchup tightens up the competition. The Thunder, boasting an impressive 31-6 record, look to continue their dominance, while the Wizards, at 6-30, aim to conjure up some magic and pull off a major upset. The stakes are high, the crowd’s buzzing, and with the tipoff set for 07:00 PM EST and a whopping 230.5 points hanging in the balance, you won’t want to miss a second of this action. As the Thunder aims to strike with precision and the Wizards look to cast an unforgettable spell, tonight’s game is set to be a showdown where only the stormiest of talents will prevail!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 12, 2025 07:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	OKL ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-1800	+850	229.0	-16.0/16.0
Recent	-1600	+800	230.5	-16.5/16.5
Difference	+200	-50	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

35W-22L

94.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

12W-45L

5.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/23/24	Washington Wizards WAS	32	31	24	18	105	Under
12/23/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	38	24	32	123	Under
02/23/24	Washington Wizards WAS	28	29	24	25	106	Over
02/23/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	41	39	37	30	147	Over
01/08/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	36	31	35	34	136	Over
01/08/24	Washington Wizards WAS	30	31	36	31	128	Over
01/06/23	Washington Wizards WAS	17	25	38	30	110	Over
01/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	35	33	35	24	127	Over
11/16/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	25	35	32	121	Over
11/16/22	Washington Wizards WAS	37	30	20	33	120	Over
01/11/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	30	32	25	118	Over
01/11/22	Washington Wizards WAS	30	28	36	28	122	Over
11/26/21	Washington Wizards WAS	25	31	20	25	101	Under
11/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	27	14	31	99	Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/10	vs NYK	126-101W	46	20	15	89
01/08	vs CLE	122-129L	38	35	13	90
01/03	@ NYK	117-107W	41	27	13	84
01/02	@ LAC	116-98W	35	29	9	86
12/31	@ MIN	113-105W	37	25	9	89
12/29	@ MEM	130-106W	45	35	10	103
12/28	vs CHA	106-94W	49	29	15	88
12/26	vs IND	120-114W	45	20	3	95
12/20	vs MIA	104-97W	48	24	14	86
12/19	vs ORL	105-99W	32	23	13	83

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/10	vs CHI	105-138L	45	26	15	98
01/08	vs PHI	103-109L	51	26	17	94
01/07	@ HOU	112-135L	43	21	18	89
01/03	vs NOP	120-132L	48	28	21	84
01/01	@ CHI	125-107W	42	36	15	99
12/30	@ NYK	106-126L	46	25	13	92
12/28	@ NYK	132-136L	44	32	15	99
12/26	@ CHA	113-110W	43	25	11	91
12/21	vs MIL	101-112L	46	20	19	80
12/19	@ CHA	123-114W	52	33	18	83

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	22.0	20.6	23.0	100%	23.3
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	49.0	51.8	52.6	100%	52.9
Isaiah Hartenstein C	36.0	36.8	32.0	100%	31.0
Cason Wallace SG	23.0	20.1	18.9	70%	20.3
Jalen Williams PF	38.0	40.0	41.6	100%	42.0

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	19.0	20.8	21.4	73%	23.5
Bilal Coulibaly SF	28.0	16.9	28.4	100%	28.8
Kyle Kuzma PF	32.0	21.8	30.6	93%	31.8
Jordan Poole PG	37.0	39.6	37.8	100%	38.1
Alexandre Sarr C	30.0	27.1	26.7	100%	27.1

Thunder Notable Injuries

Ajay Mitchell (PG): Avg: 6.5pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 2.2
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.4reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 2.3
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.9ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 1.0
Dillon Jones (PF): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.9reb, 0.7ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 0.9
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 0.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.5

Wizards Notable Injuries

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG): Avg: 15.2pts, 3.8reb, 4.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 4.8
Tristan Vukcevic (C): Avg: 7.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 2.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyle Kuzma	WAS	Pts	13.5	17.6	+4.1	40%	40%	53%	53%	OKL	+0.2	#20
Alexandre Sarr	WAS	Pts	10.5	12.2	+1.7	80%	90%	80%	80%	OKL	-3.2	#1
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	20%	60%	67%	67%	OKL	-0.1	#13
Isaiah Hartenstein	OKL	Reb	10.5	11.2	+0.7	40%	60%	60%	60%	WAS	+1.5	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#27	#13	#8	-7.1%
PF	#20	#16	#2	#6	-4.9%
PG	#10	#7	#2	#1	-12.1%
SF	#1	#13	#15	#2	-14.5%
SG	#2	#25	#2	#3	-10.4%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#22	#19	#30	13.6%
PF	#25	#29	#27	#26	8.1%
PG	#26	#22	#26	#30	10.8%
SF	#9	#11	#24	#16	0.4%
SG	#26	#29	#26	#29	10.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.3

110.1

Rebounds per Game

43.0

45.4

Assists per Game

26.0

25.2

Steals per Game

11.2

7.1

Blocks per Game

5.3

5.0

Shots per Game

91.0

91.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

52.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.5

34.8

Turnovers per Game

10.8

16.0

Fouls per Game

20.1

20.7

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Justin Champagnie (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 16.2, 25.2 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.5% to 23.3, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.