Magic vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown

Get ready to ditch the brooms, folks, because today’s NBA Playoff face-off at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse isn’t expected to be another first-round sweep! The Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers, both sitting with a symmetrical 3W-3L record, are about to add some serious suspense back into the mix. With the tipoff at 1 PM EST, stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing—Vegas setting the over/under at a nail-biting 195.0. The Cavs strut in with a bit of swagger from their recent victory over the Pacers, while the Magic are hungry to rebound from their stumble against the Sixers. So, forget about magic tricks and cavalier attitudes, today’s game is all about who can pull the real rabbit out of the hat!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 05, 2024 01:00PM EST

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland

Vegas Odds

	ORL ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-165	194.5	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+126	-143	195.0	3.5/-3.5
Difference	-14	+22	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

17W-23L

44.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

26W-13L

55.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
05/03/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	24	29	18	96	Over
05/03/24	Orlando Magic ORL	29	24	20	30	103	Over
04/30/24	Orlando Magic ORL	23	24	23	33	103	Over
04/30/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	33	15	27	29	104	Over
04/27/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	23	37	10	19	89	Over
04/27/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	29	37	24	112	Over
04/25/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	21	24	16	22	83	Over
04/25/24	Orlando Magic ORL	31	30	35	25	121	Over
04/22/24	Orlando Magic ORL	18	26	21	21	86	Under
04/22/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	28	22	16	96	Under
04/20/24	Orlando Magic ORL	26	15	17	25	83	Under
04/20/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	33	20	20	24	97	Under
12/06/23	Orlando Magic ORL	20	32	34	25	111	Over
12/06/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	37	28	34	22	121	Over
02/22/24	Orlando Magic ORL	29	25	32	30	116	Over
02/22/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	26	32	27	109	Over
01/22/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	38	34	35	19	126	Over
01/22/24	Orlando Magic ORL	19	28	27	25	99	Over
12/11/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	25	15	25	94	Over
12/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	22	29	30	23	104	Over
04/06/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	33	34	28	23	118	Over
04/06/23	Orlando Magic ORL	42	15	16	21	94	Over
04/04/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	23	35	35	24	117	Over
04/04/23	Orlando Magic ORL	29	30	32	22	113	Over
12/02/22	Orlando Magic ORL	25	22	17	32	96	Over
12/02/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	27	28	25	107	Over
10/26/22	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	19	23	92	Push
10/26/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	24	19	30	103	Push
04/05/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	36	25	25	29	115	Over
04/05/22	Orlando Magic ORL	35	24	32	29	120	Over
03/28/22	Orlando Magic ORL	22	31	27	21	101	Over
03/28/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	33	21	26	107	Over
11/27/21	Orlando Magic ORL	22	27	20	23	92	Over
11/27/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	27	24	27	105	Over

Magic Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs PHI	113-125L	45	25	11	95
04/10	vs MIL	99-117L	34	19	15	78
04/09	vs HOU	106-118L	42	23	14	86
04/07	@ CHI	113-98W	40	24	10	90
04/05	vs CHA	115-127L	37	24	10	95
04/03	vs NOP	117-108W	39	27	13	80
04/01	@ POR	104-103W	43	26	15	76
03/30	@ MEM	118-88W	43	28	15	78
03/29	@ LAC	97-100L	38	20	14	89
03/27	@ GSW	93-101L	39	25	10	85

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ IND	129-120W	41	28	9	95
04/10	@ MEM	110-98W	47	27	13	82
04/07	vs LAC	118-120L	36	27	11	88
04/06	vs LAL	97-116L	40	24	18	90
04/03	vs PHX	101-122L	37	28	15	83
04/02	vs UTA	129-113W	41	38	13	85
03/31	vs DEN	101-130L	28	26	15	82
03/29	@ PHI	117-114W	37	34	13	84
03/27	vs CHA	111-118L	32	33	13	85
03/25	@ CHA	115-92W	47	41	12	86

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	42.3	43.5	40.1	100%	40.5
Wendell Carter Jr. C	23.7	21.2	24.4	93%	25.7
Gary Harris SG	12.3	11.1	13.4	83%	13.9
Jalen Suggs PG	27.1	29.1	26.5	100%	26.9
Franz Wagner SF	34.8	40.0	31.3	100%	31.6

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	32.9	41.7	37.6	100%	38.0
Darius Garland PG	35.7	30.1	34.0	100%	34.4
Donovan Mitchell SG	46.5	41.4	44.3	100%	42.8
Evan Mobley PF	35.2	30.8	34.6	100%	34.9
Max Strus SF	26.9	21.8	24.0	100%	24.4

Magic Notable Injuries

Goga Bitadze (C): Avg: 5.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.2ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 04/27/24. Impact: 0.9
Anthony Black (SG/SF): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 04/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Caleb Houstan (SG/SF): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 04/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 9.1 minutes. Last game: 04/27/24. Impact: 0.4
Jett Howard (SG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 04/27/24. Impact: 0.6

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 04/25/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Max Strus	CLE	Pts	9.5	11.6	+2.1	40%	30%	40%	40%	ORL	-0.1	#17
Gary Harris	ORL	Pts	4.5	5.8	+1.3	20%	30%	47%	47%	CLE	-3.1	#6
Cole Anthony	ORL	Reb	1.5	2.1	+0.6	60%	50%	60%	60%	CLE	+1.6	#23
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	60%	50%	60%	60%	CLE	-1.5	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#8	#17	#12	-4.9%
PF	#6	#10	#3	#3	-13.8%
PG	#1	#27	#2	#1	-212.1%
SF	#17	#3	#15	#8	-25.7%
SG	#19	#10	#14	#13	-2.9%

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#10	#5	#6	-15.0%
PF	#30	#18	#30	#30	15.8%
PG	#12	#23	#6	#13	-22.6%
SF	#6	#21	#28	#14	-9.9%
SG	#6	#8	#1	#4	-14.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.2

113.5

Rebounds per Game

39.6

41.0

Assists per Game

23.0

26.5

Steals per Game

8.6

10.2

Blocks per Game

4.2

Shots per Game

88.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

9.2

12.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.6

53.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

30.1

37.3

Turnovers per Game

12.0

12.8

Fouls per Game

18.4

15.0

Recent Trends

Wendell Carter Jr. (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.3% to 30.8, 19.3 min average previous 3 games.
Markelle Fultz (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.1% to 18.9, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 21.4, 33.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
Dean Wade (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.