Magic vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying NBA Playoff showdown as the Orlando Magic, fresh off a dominant win, jet-set to the Mile High City to clash with the Denver Nuggets at the bustling Ball Arena tonight at 10:00 PM EST. Both teams are coming in hot, with the Nuggets having recently scorched the nets against NOP and the Magic casting a spell over SAC. With the stakes sky-high and the playoff atmosphere buzzing, tonight’s matchup promises to be anything but a typical first-round game. The betting lines are buzzing, and fans are on the edge of their seats, wondering if the Magic can pull a rabbit out of their hats or if the Nuggets will strike gold once again in their home fortress.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 06, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	ORL ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+260	-320	222.0	8.0/-8.0
Recent	+230	-280	219.5	7.0/-7.0
Difference	-30	+40	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

27W-40L

30.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

46W-16L

69.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/19/25	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	26	39	20	113	Under
01/19/25	Orlando Magic ORL	29	23	25	23	100	Under
01/05/24	Orlando Magic ORL	28	26	41	27	122	Over
01/05/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	37	30	31	22	120	Over
11/22/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	34	26	31	119	Over
11/22/23	Orlando Magic ORL	28	28	26	42	124	Over
02/09/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	29	29	20	104	Under
02/09/23	Orlando Magic ORL	29	36	24	26	115	Under
01/15/23	Orlando Magic ORL	25	29	34	28	116	Over
01/15/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	38	25	25	119	Over
02/14/22	Orlando Magic ORL	14	26	30	41	111	Over
02/14/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	24	32	36	121	Over
12/01/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	34	20	20	103	Under
12/01/21	Orlando Magic ORL	15	32	32	29	108	Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	vs SAC	130-111W	35	30	8	88
02/03	vs GSW	99-104L	52	23	11	99
02/01	vs UTA	99-113L	43	19	8	91
01/30	vs POR	90-119L	33	14	13	81
01/27	vs MIA	119-125L	47	32	14	98
01/23	@ POR	79-101L	44	17	19	76
01/21	vs TOR	93-109L	48	16	14	85
01/19	@ DEN	100-113L	39	30	7	102
01/17	vs BOS	94-121L	37	15	8	82
01/15	vs MIL	93-122L	32	24	13	95

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	@ NOP	144-119W	51	40	7	100
02/03	@ NOP	125-113W	46	28	5	92
02/01	vs CHA	107-104W	43	29	11	88
01/31	vs PHI	137-134W	35	39	19	82
01/29	vs NYK	112-122L	47	21	14	84
01/27	vs CHI	121-129L	42	36	14	100
01/23	@ SAC	132-123W	56	30	10	101
01/21	@ PHI	144-109W	51	39	13	85
01/19	vs ORL	113-100W	57	24	20	77
01/17	vs MIA	133-113W	41	35	5	92

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Cole Anthony PG	28.0	30.2	22.2	27%	32.8
Paolo Banchero PF	44.0	33.0	42.2	100%	42.6
Goga Bitadze C	29.0	23.4	28.2	100%	27.8
K. Caldwell-Pope SF	17.0	12.3	18.5	100%	18.9
Franz Wagner SG	47.0	41.2	42.7	100%	43.0

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	30.0	33.2	26.0	93%	26.5
Nikola Jokic C	62.0	62.8	66.0	100%	66.4
Jamal Murray PG	41.0	40.5	38.4	100%	38.8
Zeke Nnaji PF	18.0	12.1	3.4	3%	20.8
Michael Porter Jr. SF	35.0	41.1	32.5	100%	32.9

Magic Notable Injuries

Jett Howard (SF/PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.3
Cory Joseph (PG): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.0reb, 1.1ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.8

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (PF/C): Avg: 13.5pts, 6.2reb, 3.6ast, 31.3 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 3.4
Russell Westbrook (PG): Avg: 11.6pts, 5.0reb, 5.0ast, 24.1 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 5.1
Peyton Watson (SF): Avg: 6.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.2ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 2.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Pts	7.5	10.5	+3.0	60%	70%	60%	60%	DEN	+0.5	#17
Goga Bitadze	ORL	Pts	7.5	9.5	+2.0	40%	40%	60%	60%	DEN	+0.5	#17
Franz Wagner	ORL	Reb	5.5	6.8	+1.3	40%	40%	53%	53%	DEN	-1.0	#2
Jamal Murray	DEN	Reb	3.5	4.2	+0.7	60%	70%	53%	53%	ORL	-0.7	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#2	#4	#3	-13.3%
PF	#6	#3	#4	#5	-8.3%
PG	#25	#2	#4	#4	-5.3%
SF	#15	#16	#8	#14	-2.0%
SG	#2	#16	#3	#1	-9.8%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#12	#27	#20	3.7%
PF	#20	#5	#22	#18	1.1%
PG	#4	#10	#28	#19	1.3%
SF	#12	#2	#18	#10	-3.3%
SG	#29	#2	#20	#24	3.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

100.4

124.1

Rebounds per Game

41.0

46.3

Assists per Game

22.1

31.4

Steals per Game

8.8

8.1

Blocks per Game

5.4

5.0

Shots per Game

86.5

89.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

10.0

11.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.9

60.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

29.1

37.7

Turnovers per Game

12.9

13.2

Fouls per Game

21.8

17.0

Recent Trends

Michael Porter Jr. (SF/PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Anthony Black (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 21.3, 30.8 min average previous 3 games.
Tristan da Silva (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.3% to 18.0, 27.8 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Gordon (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 30.8, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.
Michael Porter Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.8% to 39.0, 28.9 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Strawther (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.8% to 23.9, 17.7 min average previous 3 games.