Magic vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and sprinkle some magic tonight as the Orlando Magic fly into the Kaseya Center to battle the Miami Heat in what promises to be a sizzling showdown in the Eastern Conference. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings and the playoff atmosphere electrifying the air, tonight’s clash at 08:30 PM EST is the perfect recipe to break the spell of first-round blowouts we’ve seen so far. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn, and with both squads looking to bounce back from tough losses, tonight’s game is all set to redefine the boundaries of excitement. So, as the Magic try to conjure a win and the Heat look to blaze a trail, let’s see whose spell is stronger in this enchanted duel!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 27, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	ORL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	207.5	-1.0/1.0
Recent	-105	-115	207.5	1.0/-1.0
Difference	+5	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

26W-36L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

31W-27L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/26/24	Miami Heat MIA	22	19	20	28	00	89	Under
12/26/24	Orlando Magic ORL	31	21	19	17	00	88	Under
12/21/24	Miami Heat MIA	40	36	30	8	00	114	Over
12/21/24	Orlando Magic ORL	28	28	28	37	00	121	Over
10/23/24	Orlando Magic ORL	32	26	39	19	00	116	Over
10/23/24	Miami Heat MIA	32	22	18	25	00	97	Over
02/06/24	Orlando Magic ORL	19	30	26	20	00	95	Over
02/06/24	Miami Heat MIA	26	30	40	25	00	121	Over
01/21/24	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	23	18	00	87	Under
01/21/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	26	33	24	00	105	Under
01/12/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	33	18	23	00	96	Under
01/12/24	Miami Heat MIA	30	26	19	24	00	99	Under
12/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	43	21	26	00	115	Over
12/20/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	22	34	00	106	Over
04/09/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	35	25	00	110	Over
04/09/23	Miami Heat MIA	23	29	32	39	00	123	Over
03/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	24	31	23	30	60	114	Over
03/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	34	24	23	27	180	126	Over
02/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	26	25	100	107	Over
02/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	29	25	25	18	60	103	Over
01/27/23	Orlando Magic ORL	31	28	20	26	00	105	Over
01/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	24	23	37	00	110	Over
04/10/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	29	23	00	111	Over
04/10/22	Orlando Magic ORL	31	37	33	24	00	125	Over
12/26/21	Orlando Magic ORL	24	15	21	23	00	83	Under
12/26/21	Miami Heat MIA	22	20	30	21	00	93	Under
12/17/21	Miami Heat MIA	31	35	27	22	00	115	Over
12/17/21	Orlando Magic ORL	22	35	26	22	00	105	Over
10/25/21	Orlando Magic ORL	15	29	26	20	00	90	Under
10/25/21	Miami Heat MIA	27	30	24	26	00	107	Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ POR	79-101L	44	17	19	76
01/21	vs TOR	93-109L	48	16	14	85
01/19	@ DEN	100-113L	39	30	7	102
01/17	vs BOS	94-121L	37	15	8	82
01/15	vs MIL	93-122L	32	24	13	95
01/12	@ PHI	104-99W	41	23	16	80
01/10	@ MIL	106-109L	44	20	10	86
01/09	@ MIN	89-104L	47	21	14	87
01/06	vs NYK	103-94W	39	23	9	78
01/03	vs TOR	106-97W	42	32	11	79

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs MIL	96-125L	50	26	10	92
01/21	@ POR	107-116L	45	26	8	93
01/19	@ SAS	128-107W	49	35	11	95
01/17	@ DEN	113-133L	41	30	8	91
01/15	vs LAL	108-117L	37	25	19	73
01/13	vs LAC	98-109L	49	22	15	85
01/11	vs POR	119-98W	43	31	10	92
01/09	vs UTA	97-92W	49	26	14	91
01/07	vs GSW	114-98W	48	32	9	91
01/06	vs SAC	118-123L	53	25	13	102

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	43.0	33.6	42.7	100%	43.0
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	21.0	17.6	19.0	100%	19.4
Wendell Carter Jr. C	28.0	30.7	23.0	77%	25.1
Jalen Suggs PG	26.0	29.0	30.8	100%	31.2
Franz Wagner SF	37.0	42.5	42.4	100%	42.8

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo PF	38.0	29.0	37.7	100%	38.2
Jimmy Butler SF	28.0	23.8	32.0	100%	32.4
Tyler Herro PG	39.0	43.2	41.3	100%	41.6
Duncan Robinson SG	21.0	25.2	20.9	67%	22.3
Kel’el Ware C	35.0	35.2	17.9	8%	41.6

Magic Notable Injuries

Caleb Houstan (SF/PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.5
Cory Joseph (PG): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.1reb, 1.2ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.0

Heat Notable Injuries

Kevin Love (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 5.6reb, 1.8ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.2
Alec Burks (PG): Avg: 9.6pts, 2.3reb, 1.2ast, 17.9 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 1.4
Pelle Larsson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.1
Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Pts	7.5	11.3	+3.8	80%	60%	53%	53%	MIA	-2.8	#4
Kel’el Ware	MIA	Pts	13.5	16.3	+2.8	60%	40%	33%	33%	ORL	-2.2	#6
Franz Wagner	ORL	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	60%	70%	67%	67%	MIA	-0.7	#1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	ORL	Reb	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	40%	40%	40%	MIA	-0.7	#1
Paolo Banchero	ORL	Ast	4.5	5.2	+0.7	40%	40%	33%	33%	MIA	+0.9	#30
Jalen Suggs	ORL	Ast	2.5	2.8	+0.3	40%	50%	60%	60%	MIA	+0.7	#24
Jimmy Butler	MIA	3Pt	0.5	0.7	+0.2	60%	50%	47%	47%	ORL	-1.0	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#4	#1	#3	-12.8%
PF	#17	#1	#1	#4	-7.5%
PG	#15	#1	#3	#1	-10.4%
SF	#14	#6	#9	#10	-3.6%
SG	#1	#27	#8	#2	-10.4%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#25	#3	#7	-8.4%
PF	#9	#23	#30	#19	1.6%
PG	#8	#20	#24	#17	-0.6%
SF	#22	#30	#25	#29	8.6%
SG	#17	#1	#17	#12	-2.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

100.1

110.5

Rebounds per Game

41.0

43.8

Assists per Game

21.9

26.9

Steals per Game

9.2

7.6

Blocks per Game

6.2

3.8

Shots per Game

84.4

86.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

10.2

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.2

54.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

29.2

35.9

Turnovers per Game

14.2

12.6

Fouls per Game

21.8

15.3

Recent Trends

Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.2% to 29.3, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 75.6% to 35.1, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
Tristan da Silva (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.9% to 32.5, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 56.6% to 11.4, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jonathan Isaac (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.3% to 11.2, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
Trevelin Queen (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 17.7, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Kel’el Ware (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.7% to 35.9, 21.9 min average previous 3 games.