Magic vs Heat Game Breakdown

Magic
24W-23L

January 27, 2025
08:30PM EST
Odds: 207.5 o/u
Heat
22W-22L


Get ready to turn up the heat and sprinkle some magic tonight as the Orlando Magic fly into the Kaseya Center to battle the Miami Heat in what promises to be a sizzling showdown in the Eastern Conference. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings and the playoff atmosphere electrifying the air, tonight’s clash at 08:30 PM EST is the perfect recipe to break the spell of first-round blowouts we’ve seen so far. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn, and with both squads looking to bounce back from tough losses, tonight’s game is all set to redefine the boundaries of excitement. So, as the Magic try to conjure a win and the Heat look to blaze a trail, let’s see whose spell is stronger in this enchanted duel!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 27, 2025 08:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
ORL ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -110 | -110 | 207.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
Recent | -105 | -115 | 207.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Difference | +5 | -5 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

51.2% Win Probability

48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/26/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 19 | 20 | 28 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
Orlando Magic ORL | 31 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 00 | 88 | |||
12/21/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 40 | 36 | 30 | 8 | 00 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 28 | 28 | 28 | 37 | 00 | 121 | |||
10/23/24 | Orlando Magic ORL | 32 | 26 | 39 | 19 | 00 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 22 | 18 | 25 | 00 | 97 | |||
02/06/24 | Orlando Magic ORL | 19 | 30 | 26 | 20 | 00 | 95 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 30 | 40 | 25 | 00 | 121 | |||
01/21/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 19 | 27 | 23 | 18 | 00 | 87 | Under | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 22 | 26 | 33 | 24 | 00 | 105 | |||
01/12/24 | Orlando Magic ORL | 22 | 33 | 18 | 23 | 00 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 26 | 19 | 24 | 00 | 99 | |||
12/20/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 43 | 21 | 26 | 00 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 24 | 26 | 22 | 34 | 00 | 106 | |||
04/09/23 | Orlando Magic ORL | 24 | 26 | 35 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 29 | 32 | 39 | 00 | 123 | |||
03/11/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 24 | 31 | 23 | 30 | 60 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 34 | 24 | 23 | 27 | 180 | 126 | |||
02/11/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 19 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 100 | 107 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 29 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 60 | 103 | |||
01/27/23 | Orlando Magic ORL | 31 | 28 | 20 | 26 | 00 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 24 | 23 | 37 | 00 | 110 | |||
04/10/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 31 | 37 | 33 | 24 | 00 | 125 | |||
12/26/21 | Orlando Magic ORL | 24 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 00 | 83 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 20 | 30 | 21 | 00 | 93 | |||
12/17/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 35 | 27 | 22 | 00 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
Orlando Magic ORL | 22 | 35 | 26 | 22 | 00 | 105 | |||
10/25/21 | Orlando Magic ORL | 15 | 29 | 26 | 20 | 00 | 90 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 30 | 24 | 26 | 00 | 107 |
Magic Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
Magic Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/23 | @ POR | 79-101L | 44 | 17 | 19 | 76 |
01/21 | vs TOR | 93-109L | 48 | 16 | 14 | 85 |
01/19 | @ DEN | 100-113L | 39 | 30 | 7 | 102 |
01/17 | vs BOS | 94-121L | 37 | 15 | 8 | 82 |
01/15 | vs MIL | 93-122L | 32 | 24 | 13 | 95 |
01/12 | @ PHI | 104-99W | 41 | 23 | 16 | 80 |
01/10 | @ MIL | 106-109L | 44 | 20 | 10 | 86 |
01/09 | @ MIN | 89-104L | 47 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
01/06 | vs NYK | 103-94W | 39 | 23 | 9 | 78 |
01/03 | vs TOR | 106-97W | 42 | 32 | 11 | 79 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/23 | vs MIL | 96-125L | 50 | 26 | 10 | 92 |
01/21 | @ POR | 107-116L | 45 | 26 | 8 | 93 |
01/19 | @ SAS | 128-107W | 49 | 35 | 11 | 95 |
01/17 | @ DEN | 113-133L | 41 | 30 | 8 | 91 |
01/15 | vs LAL | 108-117L | 37 | 25 | 19 | 73 |
01/13 | vs LAC | 98-109L | 49 | 22 | 15 | 85 |
01/11 | vs POR | 119-98W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 92 |
01/09 | vs UTA | 97-92W | 49 | 26 | 14 | 91 |
01/07 | vs GSW | 114-98W | 48 | 32 | 9 | 91 |
01/06 | vs SAC | 118-123L | 53 | 25 | 13 | 102 |
Starting Lineups
Orlando Magic | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.0 | 33.6 | 42.7 | 100% | 43.0 | |
21.0 | 17.6 | 19.0 | 100% | 19.4 | |
28.0 | 30.7 | 23.0 | 77% | 25.1 | |
Jalen Suggs
PG
|
26.0 | 29.0 | 30.8 | 100% | 31.2 |
Franz Wagner
SF
|
37.0 | 42.5 | 42.4 | 100% | 42.8 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bam Adebayo
PF
|
38.0 | 29.0 | 37.7 | 100% | 38.2 |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
28.0 | 23.8 | 32.0 | 100% | 32.4 |
Tyler Herro
PG
|
39.0 | 43.2 | 41.3 | 100% | 41.6 |
21.0 | 25.2 | 20.9 | 67% | 22.3 | |
35.0 | 35.2 | 17.9 | 8% | 41.6 |
Magic Notable Injuries
- Caleb Houstan (SF/PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.5
- Cory Joseph (PG): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.1reb, 1.2ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.0
Heat Notable Injuries
- Kevin Love (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 5.6reb, 1.8ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.2
- Alec Burks (PG): Avg: 9.6pts, 2.3reb, 1.2ast, 17.9 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 1.4
- Pelle Larsson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.1
- Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
- Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | Pts | 7.5 | 11.3 | +3.8 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIA | -2.8 | #4 |
Kel’el Ware | MIA | Pts | 13.5 | 16.3 | +2.8 | 60% | 40% | 33% | 33% | ORL | -2.2 | #6 |
Franz Wagner | ORL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 70% | 67% | 67% | MIA | -0.7 | #1 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | Reb | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | MIA | -0.7 | #1 |
Paolo Banchero | ORL | Ast | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | MIA | +0.9 | #30 |
Jalen Suggs | ORL | Ast | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | MIA | +0.7 | #24 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | 3Pt | 0.5 | 0.7 | +0.2 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | ORL | -1.0 | #1 |
Magic Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #4 | #1 | #3 | -12.8% |
PF | #17 | #1 | #1 | #4 | -7.5% |
PG | #15 | #1 | #3 | #1 | -10.4% |
SF | #14 | #6 | #9 | #10 | -3.6% |
SG | #1 | #27 | #8 | #2 | -10.4% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #25 | #3 | #7 | -8.4% |
PF | #9 | #23 | #30 | #19 | 1.6% |
PG | #8 | #20 | #24 | #17 | -0.6% |
SF | #22 | #30 | #25 | #29 | 8.6% |
SG | #17 | #1 | #17 | #12 | -2.8% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.2% to 29.3, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 75.6% to 35.1, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Tristan da Silva (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.9% to 32.5, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 56.6% to 11.4, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jonathan Isaac (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.3% to 11.2, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Trevelin Queen (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 17.7, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Kel’el Ware (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.7% to 35.9, 21.9 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
Pistons vs Bulls Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Knicks vs Pacers Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Raptors vs 76ers Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Kings vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Warriors vs Bucks Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Hornets vs Nets Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Celtics vs Heat Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Spurs vs Wizards Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
Hawks vs Magic Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
76ers vs Bucks Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Raptors vs Rockets Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Hornets vs Pistons Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Jazz vs Clippers Game Breakdown
February 8, 2025 at 9:58 am by thefield