Magic vs Heat Game Breakdown

Strap in, folks! The NBA playoffs are heating up as the Orlando Magic take their show on the road, looking to conjure up some of their own magic against the sizzling Miami Heat tonight at the Kaseya Center. With both teams kicking off their postseason with a clean slate, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Set your watches for a 07:30 PM EST tipoff and keep an eye on that tight betting line, hinting at a nail-biter. After Miami’s fiery victory over Toronto and Orlando’s stumble against Philly, tonight’s clash is anyone’s game. So, as the Magic try to disappear with a win, will the Heat’s flames be too much to handle, or will Orlando pull something spectacular out of their hat?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 23, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	ORL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-135	208.0	2.0/-2.0
Recent	+105	-125	208.5	2.0/-2.0
Difference	0	+10	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

17W-23L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

21W-19L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
02/06/24	Orlando Magic ORL	19	30	26	20	00	95	Over
02/06/24	Miami Heat MIA	26	30	40	25	00	121	Over
01/21/24	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	23	18	00	87	Under
01/21/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	26	33	24	00	105	Under
01/12/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	33	18	23	00	96	Under
01/12/24	Miami Heat MIA	30	26	19	24	00	99	Under
12/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	43	21	26	00	115	Over
12/20/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	22	34	00	106	Over
04/09/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	35	25	00	110	Over
04/09/23	Miami Heat MIA	23	29	32	39	00	123	Over
03/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	24	31	23	30	60	114	Over
03/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	34	24	23	27	180	126	Over
02/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	26	25	100	107	Over
02/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	29	25	25	18	60	103	Over
01/27/23	Orlando Magic ORL	31	28	20	26	00	105	Over
01/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	24	23	37	00	110	Over
04/10/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	29	23	00	111	Over
04/10/22	Orlando Magic ORL	31	37	33	24	00	125	Over
12/26/21	Orlando Magic ORL	24	15	21	23	00	83	Under
12/26/21	Miami Heat MIA	22	20	30	21	00	93	Under
12/17/21	Miami Heat MIA	31	35	27	22	00	115	Over
12/17/21	Orlando Magic ORL	22	35	26	22	00	105	Over
10/25/21	Orlando Magic ORL	15	29	26	20	00	90	Under
10/25/21	Miami Heat MIA	27	30	24	26	00	107	Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs PHI	113-125L	45	25	11	95
04/10	vs MIL	99-117L	34	19	15	78
04/09	vs HOU	106-118L	42	23	14	86
04/07	@ CHI	113-98W	40	24	10	90
04/05	vs CHA	115-127L	37	24	10	95
04/03	vs NOP	117-108W	39	27	13	80
04/01	@ POR	104-103W	43	26	15	76
03/30	@ MEM	118-88W	43	28	15	78
03/29	@ LAC	97-100L	38	20	14	89
03/27	@ GSW	93-101L	39	25	10	85

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94
04/02	@ NYK	109-99W	39	24	17	74
03/31	vs WAS	119-107W	42	22	13	81
03/29	@ POR	142-82W	44	41	8	93
03/26	@ GSW	92-113L	39	24	8	92

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	50.0	50.5	41.6	100%	42.0
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	22.0	22.5	20.1	100%	20.4
Wendell Carter Jr. C	28.0	23.6	24.4	93%	25.7
Jalen Suggs PG	26.0	29.6	26.9	100%	27.3
Franz Wagner SF	35.0	38.9	31.3	100%	31.6

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	41.0	40.2	37.5	100%	37.9
Jimmy Butler SF	39.0	37.9	38.2	100%	36.8
Tyler Herro SG	37.0	30.3	32.6	90%	33.5
Nikola Jovic PF	24.0	24.4	20.2	100%	20.7
Terry Rozier PG	31.0	33.6	30.6	100%	30.1

Magic Notable Injuries

Heat Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Paolo Banchero	ORL	Pts	22.5	26.3	+3.8	80%	50%	53%	53%	MIA	+1.7	#24
Nikola Jovic	MIA	Pts	7.5	10.0	+2.5	80%	80%	73%	73%	ORL	-5.2	#2
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	40%	40%	33%	33%	ORL	-1.5	#1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	ORL	Ast	1.5	2.5	+1.0	100%	80%	67%	67%	MIA	+0.2	#20

View All Player Prop Projections

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#3	#9	#2	-12.2%
PF	#3	#1	#1	#2	-16.4%
PG	#16	#3	#19	#20	2.6%
SF	#2	#1	#5	#1	-28.0%
SG	#17	#11	#3	#9	-3.7%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#9	#8	#1	-15.7%
PF	#11	#24	#10	#11	-1.9%
PG	#7	#12	#4	#2	-15.2%
SF	#24	#16	#10	#19	3.2%
SG	#3	#18	#20	#5	-4.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.3

109.5

Rebounds per Game

41.0

43.3

Assists per Game

24.9

25.9

Steals per Game

8.2

7.5

Blocks per Game

4.8

3.4

Shots per Game

83.9

86.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.4

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.3

53.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.7

36.5

Turnovers per Game

13.7

10.7

Fouls per Game

18.2

16.1

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.1% to 25.1, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
Wendell Carter Jr. (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.8% to 34.4, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.6% to 10.9, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jalen Suggs (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.1% to 37.9, 28.5 min average previous 3 games.