Magic vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 3rd 2024

Hoops fans, gather ’round, because tonight we’ve got a certified barn burner on our hands! The Orlando Magic, fresh off a nail-biting one-point win over the Trail Blazers, are hop-scotching their way to the Big Easy to face the New Orleans Pelicans, who are looking to bounce back after the Suns put a little desert heat on them. Both teams are sitting pretty in their respective conferences with the Magic and Pelicans neck and neck at 44W-31L and 45W-30L, respectively. Tipoff at the Smoothie King Center is at 08:00PM EST, so you might want to cancel your plans, folks. The betting lines are buzzing with the Magic at 4.0 and the Pelicans at -4.0, and an over/under set at 208.0. As we look forward to this clash of the titans, one thing’s for sure: when Magic meets Pelican, expect some feathers to fly and sparks to sprinkle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 03, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	ORL ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+145	-170	209.0	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+145	-170	208.0	4.0/-4.0
Difference	0	0	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

16W-19L

40.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

20W-15L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/21/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	20	27	31	106	Over
03/21/24	Orlando Magic ORL	23	34	38	26	121	Over
02/27/23	Orlando Magic ORL	36	14	29	22	101	Under
02/27/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	24	25	19	93	Under
01/20/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	30	30	31	19	110	Over
01/20/23	Orlando Magic ORL	23	33	32	35	123	Over
03/09/22	Orlando Magic ORL	30	26	25	27	108	Over
03/09/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	24	32	29	102	Over
12/23/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	23	28	27	110	Over
12/23/21	Orlando Magic ORL	17	26	35	26	104	Over

Magic Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/01	@ POR	104-103W	43	26	15	76
03/30	@ MEM	118-88W	43	28	15	78
03/29	@ LAC	97-100L	38	20	14	89
03/27	@ GSW	93-101L	39	25	10	85
03/23	@ SAC	107-109L	49	27	13	90
03/21	@ NOP	121-106W	40	33	14	92
03/19	@ CHA	112-92W	41	32	16	81
03/17	@ TOR	111-96W	39	22	13	85
03/15	vs TOR	113-103W	39	25	14	80
03/13	@ BRO	114-106W	34	29	12	77

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/01	@ PHX	111-124L	37	29	9	89
03/30	@ BOS	92-104L	41	22	9	86
03/28	@ MIL	107-100W	48	22	6	91
03/26	@ OKL	112-119L	37	26	9	86
03/24	vs DET	114-101W	41	27	10	81
03/22	vs MIA	111-88W	56	25	12	82
03/21	vs ORL	106-121L	33	24	18	78
03/19	vs BRO	104-91W	48	29	13	83
03/16	@ POR	126-109W	39	36	9	99
03/15	@ LAC	112-104W	40	28	8	88

Starting Lineups

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	41.8	35.8	40.4	100%	39.2
Wendell Carter Jr. C	26.7	27.6	25.8	100%	24.8
Gary Harris SG	14.5	12.1	12.7	57%	15.2
Jalen Suggs PG	24.3	25.6	23.9	100%	24.3
Franz Wagner SF	29.1	26.6	32.0	100%	32.4

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Herbert Jones SG	25.6	28.9	24.7	100%	25.1
CJ McCollum PG	43.8	40.9	32.3	100%	32.7
Trey Murphy III SF	35.3	34.7	28.8	50%	30.6
Jonas Valanciunas C	26.0	20.7	23.7	100%	24.1
Zion Williamson PF	48.2	46.0	40.9	100%	41.4

Magic Notable Injuries

Caleb Houstan (PF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 14.0 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 1.0
Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 0.3
Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.7reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 0.5

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.9pts, 5.1reb, 5.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 5.7
Jose Alvarado (PG): Avg: 6.9pts, 2.3reb, 2.1ast, 18.0 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 2.8
Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 6.3pts, 1.6reb, 0.7ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 0.8
Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 2.8reb, 0.9ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.1
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.6ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Pts	14.5	18.2	+3.7	60%	50%	53%	53%	ORL	-2.6	#9
CJ McCollum	NOP	Pts	21.5	23.1	+1.6	80%	60%	40%	40%	ORL	-0.8	#9
Zion Williamson	NOP	Reb	6.5	6.9	+0.4	40%	60%	60%	60%	ORL	+0.3	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#2	#12	#1	-27.0%
PF	#13	#3	#4	#5	-7.3%
PG	#7	#3	#5	#6	-13.4%
SF	#9	#19	#2	#8	-11.9%
SG	#9	#23	#3	#8	-5.3%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#24	#2	#15	-1.2%
PF	#6	#15	#22	#7	-6.6%
PG	#23	#24	#7	#19	3.3%
SF	#1	#29	#16	#20	7.5%
SG	#13	#3	#8	#6	-5.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

105.8

110.6

Rebounds per Game

40.8

44.0

Assists per Game

24.4

27.3

Steals per Game

7.6

8.1

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.4

Shots per Game

82.8

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

12.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.8

54.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.1

37.5

Turnovers per Game

13.8

10.6

Fouls per Game

15.9

16.7

Recent Trends

Cole Anthony (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.5% to 16.9, 27.0 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.