76ers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of titans as the underdog Philadelphia 76ers, with their backs against the wall, storm into the mile-high city to challenge the soaring Denver Nuggets at the electrifying Ball Arena tonight! With the clock ticking down to an 11:00 PM EST showdown, the stakes are sky-high. The 76ers, looking to shake off a recent stumble, are hungry to prove their mettle against the Nuggets, who’ve been lighting up the scoreboard and defending their turf like pros. As the over/under teeters at a tantalizing 230, all eyes are on this playoff battle to see if the 76ers can bridge the gap or if the Nuggets will continue their stampede. Tonight, it’s not just a game; it’s a high-altitude hoops extravaganza where we’ll find out if the Nuggets can mine victory or if the 76ers will ring in a surprise!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 21, 2025 11:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+575	-900	228.5	13.5/-13.5
Recent	+240	-340	230.0	13.5/-13.5
Difference	-335	+560	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

30W-30L

29.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

42W-16L

70.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/27/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	27	35	26	17	105	Under
01/27/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	33	22	25	111	Under
01/16/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	40	26	17	121	Over
01/16/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	36	42	21	27	126	Over
03/27/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	18	39	20	34	111	Under
03/27/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	36	30	25	116	Under
01/28/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	35	26	20	119	Over
01/28/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	29	29	38	30	126	Over
03/14/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	22	31	28	33	114	Under
03/14/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	37	21	30	22	110	Under
11/18/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	34	29	16	103	Under
11/18/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	29	17	20	89	Under

76ers Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/19	vs MIL	109-123L	38	26	7	86
01/18	vs IND	102-115L	32	21	9	89
01/15	@ NYK	119-125L	35	27	12	92
01/14	@ OKL	102-118L	35	23	21	84
01/12	vs ORL	99-104L	29	17	16	72
01/10	@ NOP	115-123L	42	23	9	92
01/08	@ WAS	109-103W	36	21	7	88
01/06	@ PHX	99-109L	46	20	10	87
01/04	vs BRO	123-94W	50	31	17	82
01/02	vs GSW	105-139L	33	17	11	81

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/19	vs ORL	113-100W	57	24	20	77
01/17	vs MIA	133-113W	41	35	5	92
01/15	@ HOU	108-128L	36	22	18	75
01/14	vs DAL	118-99W	51	28	18	83
01/12	vs DAL	112-101W	55	23	13	94
01/10	@ BRO	124-105W	49	34	14	87
01/08	@ LAC	126-103W	45	29	11	89
01/07	@ BOS	106-118L	39	22	16	87
01/04	vs SAS	122-111W	58	32	7	108
01/03	@ SAS	110-113L	46	33	8	97

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Andre Drummond C	18.0	12.6	21.4	37%	24.0
Paul George SG	41.0	43.5	35.7	100%	36.0
Tyrese Maxey PG	49.0	50.0	41.9	100%	42.2
Kelly Oubre Jr. SF	30.0	29.7	27.0	90%	28.6
Guerschon Yabusele PF	28.0	26.6	21.2	57%	23.2

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	23.0	21.9	24.2	100%	24.5
Nikola Jokic C	59.0	60.6	66.8	100%	67.2
Jamal Murray SG	36.0	41.4	37.9	100%	38.2
Michael Porter Jr. PF	25.0	23.7	31.8	100%	32.1
Russell Westbrook PG	29.0	29.6	33.0	53%	36.5

76ers Notable Injuries

Caleb Martin (SF/PF): Avg: 9.7pts, 4.3reb, 2.2ast, 28.7 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 3.6

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.2ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.2
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 8.0 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.3
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.9
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5
PJ Hall (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Guerschon Yabusele	PHI	Pts	10.5	12.2	+1.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	DEN	-1.5	#5
Paul George	PHI	Pts	20.5	21.9	+1.4	60%	40%	33%	33%	DEN	-0.7	#9
Aaron Gordon	DEN	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	60%	70%	73%	73%	PHI	+0.3	#18
Tyrese Maxey	PHI	Reb	3.5	4.0	+0.5	80%	40%	40%	40%	DEN	-0.3	#11
Christian Braun	DEN	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	20%	40%	53%	53%	PHI	+0.8	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#4	#11	#5	-9.8%
PF	#15	#18	#25	#16	-0.0%
PG	#23	#9	#19	#14	-0.7%
SF	#18	#11	#3	#8	-6.4%
SG	#8	#11	#28	#11	-2.8%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#26	#29	#29	9.6%
PF	#5	#3	#10	#6	-6.4%
PG	#5	#11	#28	#19	0.9%
SF	#9	#2	#24	#10	-3.4%
SG	#30	#4	#23	#28	8.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.5

121.6

Rebounds per Game

38.4

45.2

Assists per Game

22.7

31.1

Steals per Game

9.3

8.1

Blocks per Game

4.3

4.8

Shots per Game

84.8

89.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.5

11.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.8

58.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.0

38.7

Turnovers per Game

12.8

14.0

Fouls per Game

19.7

17.6

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 20.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 10.0 ast against ORL
Jeff Dowtin (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.6% to 18.6, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
DeAndre Jordan (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.1% to 18.0, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.8% to 17.4, 31.5 min average previous 3 games.