76ers vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024
76ers
41W-35L
April 04, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 209.5 o/u
Heat
42W-33L
Hey, hoop-heads! Brace yourselves for a scorching showdown tonight as the steaming Miami Heat, with a hot 42W-33L record, are about to clash with the hard-charging Philadelphia 76ers, who are not far behind with a 41W-35L record. This face-off is going down at the Heat’s very own inferno, the Kaseya Center, with the first whistle blowing at 07:30PM EST sharp. Now, let’s talk digits: the 76ers are trailing 19 games in the Eastern conference, while the Heat are just 2.5 games behind. The betting line’s been drawn, folks: the over/under is a tantalizing 209.5, with the 76ers at 2.5 and the Heat at -2.5. Both teams are riding the victory wave, with the Heat having melted the NY Knicks 109-99 and the 76ers thundering past OKL with a 109-105 win. Tonight, it’s a battle of fire and liberty, so let’s see if the Heat can keep the flame alive or if the 76ers can ring the bell of victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 04, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
PHI ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +110 | -130 | 210.0 | 2.5/-2.5 |
Recent | +115 | -135 | 209.5 | 3.0/-3.0 |
Difference | +5 | -5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
46.5% Win Probability
53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 26 | 16 | 26 | 91 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 31 | 20 | 28 | 19 | 98 | ||||
02/14/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 109 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 33 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 104 | ||||
12/25/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 27 | 37 | 27 | 113 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 119 | ||||
04/06/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 41 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 129 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 31 | 15 | 32 | 23 | 101 | ||||
03/01/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 34 | 37 | 25 | 23 | 119 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 38 | 15 | 24 | 19 | 96 | ||||
02/27/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 99 | ||||
03/21/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 106 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 26 | 31 | 23 | 33 | 113 | ||||
03/05/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 14 | 26 | 28 | 14 | 82 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 32 | 19 | 26 | 99 | ||||
01/15/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 20 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 109 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 98 | ||||
12/15/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 18 | 31 | 21 | 26 | 96 |
76ers Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
76ers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ OKL | 109-105W | 42 | 27 | 16 | 78 |
03/31 | vs TOR | 135-120W | 39 | 28 | 15 | 83 |
03/29 | vs CLE | 114-116L | 42 | 28 | 9 | 94 |
03/27 | @ LAC | 107-108L | 51 | 17 | 12 | 82 |
03/25 | vs SAC | 96-108L | 47 | 18 | 15 | 82 |
03/24 | vs LAC | 121-107W | 37 | 32 | 8 | 90 |
03/22 | vs LAL | 94-103L | 42 | 20 | 8 | 98 |
03/20 | vs PHX | 102-115L | 40 | 33 | 9 | 95 |
03/18 | @ MIA | 98-91W | 46 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/16 | @ CHA | 109-98W | 41 | 25 | 15 | 81 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ NYK | 109-99W | 39 | 24 | 17 | 74 |
03/31 | vs WAS | 119-107W | 42 | 22 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | @ POR | 142-82W | 44 | 41 | 8 | 93 |
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
03/24 | @ CLE | 121-84W | 44 | 29 | 9 | 83 |
03/22 | @ NOP | 88-111L | 34 | 22 | 4 | 87 |
03/20 | vs CLE | 107-104W | 37 | 19 | 7 | 83 |
03/18 | vs PHI | 91-98L | 49 | 23 | 15 | 89 |
03/17 | vs DET | 104-101W | 47 | 24 | 9 | 89 |
03/15 | vs DET | 108-95W | 44 | 23 | 8 | 93 |
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia 76ers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48.2 | 55.5 | 62.4 | 100% | 62.8 | |
31.6 | 33.5 | 32.0 | 100% | 30.8 | |
Kyle Lowry
SG
|
18.3 | 20.1 | 19.2 | 83% | 20.1 |
Tyrese Maxey
PG
|
37.7 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 100% | 38.3 |
31.7 | 33.2 | 30.3 | 80% | 29.9 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.4 | 45.0 | 38.2 | 100% | 37.6 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
42.3 | 30.1 | 37.0 | 100% | 35.7 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
18.8 | 21.6 | 16.3 | 90% | 18.3 |
22.1 | 22.6 | 21.5 | 57% | 26.0 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
32.3 | 37.6 | 30.9 | 93% | 31.7 |
76ers Notable Injuries
- Mo Bamba (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 4.2reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.4
- Jeff Dowtin (PG/SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.6reb, 2.4ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.7
- D.J. Wilson (C): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 2.7
- Ricky Council IV (SG/SF): Avg: 5.7pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.2
Heat Notable Injuries
- Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.5ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.1
- Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.1
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.3reb, 1.0ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.7
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 20.5 | 23.0 | +2.5 | 0% | 10% | 33% | 33% | PHI | -2.6 | #11 |
Duncan Robinson | MIA | Pts | 10.5 | 12.1 | +1.6 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | PHI | -3.4 | #1 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Reb | 10.5 | 10.6 | +0.1 | 40% | 50% | 33% | 33% | PHI | +1.3 | #27 |
76ers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #9 | #27 | #26 | #19 | 3.1% |
PF | #28 | #26 | #22 | #29 | 9.2% |
PG | #3 | #2 | #17 | #4 | -35.2% |
SF | #11 | #26 | #5 | #13 | -7.3% |
SG | #1 | #20 | #8 | #1 | -11.1% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #21 | #9 | #2 | -17.0% |
PF | #1 | #18 | #1 | #2 | -14.7% |
PG | #22 | #11 | #24 | #17 | 2.2% |
SF | #30 | #10 | #11 | #29 | 22.0% |
SG | #11 | #17 | #23 | #14 | -2.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Nicolas Batum (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 29.8, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Robert Covington (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 10.8, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Cameron Payne (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.0% to 23.9, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
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