76ers vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and ring the Liberty Bell as tonight’s NBA playoff face-off is nothing short of sizzling! The Philadelphia 76ers, despite their rocky road this season, are all set to invade the sun-soaked Kaseya Center, challenging the Miami Heat in a game that promises to crank up the intensity of the first-round playoffs. With the clock ticking down to an 08:30 PM EST showdown, both teams are hungry to improve their standings and shake off recent losses. As the betting lines teeter with the Heat holding a slight edge, fans are gearing up for a game that could very well defy expectations and over/under predictions. So, let’s see if the Heat can scorch their way to victory or if the 76ers will ring in a surprise, turning up the playoff pressure where it counts!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 18, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+120	-140	213.0	3.0/-3.0
Recent	+110	-145	212.0	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-10	-5	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

23W-22L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

22W-21L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/04/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	39	24	24	22	109	Over
04/04/24	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	17	105	Over
03/18/24	Miami Heat MIA	23	26	16	26	91	Under
03/18/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	20	28	19	98	Under
02/14/24	Miami Heat MIA	33	27	23	26	109	Over
02/14/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	33	29	20	22	104	Over
12/25/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	27	37	27	113	Over
12/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	37	23	33	119	Over
04/06/23	Miami Heat MIA	41	26	29	33	129	Over
04/06/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	15	32	23	101	Over
03/01/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	34	37	25	23	119	Over
03/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	38	15	24	19	96	Over
02/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	28	30	26	17	101	Under
02/27/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	28	30	19	99	Under
03/21/22	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	22	28	106	Over
03/21/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	26	31	23	33	113	Over
03/05/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	14	26	28	14	82	Under
03/05/22	Miami Heat MIA	22	32	19	26	99	Under
01/15/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	20	23	32	34	109	Under
01/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	21	23	25	98	Under
12/15/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	29	23	20	101	Under
12/15/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	18	31	21	26	96	Under

76ers Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	vs ORL	86-98L	34	19	16	72
11/13	@ CLE	106-114L	45	24	11	92
11/12	@ NYK	99-111L	40	19	13	83
11/10	@ CHA	107-105W	40	24	17	84
11/08	vs LAL	106-116L	44	28	5	96
11/06	vs LAC	98-110L	32	19	20	73
10/30	@ DET	95-105L	37	17	9	79
10/27	vs IND	118-114W	54	15	19	98
10/25	vs TOR	107-115L	28	19	16	76
10/23	@ MIL	109-124L	49	18	10	98

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/17	vs IND	110-119L	38	21	10	90
11/15	vs IND	124-111W	36	27	10	87
11/12	vs DET	121-123L	43	25	10	101
11/10	vs MIN	95-94W	43	18	22	77
11/08	vs DEN	122-135L	33	33	11	94
11/06	vs PHX	112-115L	43	27	10	92
10/30	@ NYK	107-116L	39	27	10	81
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Joel Embiid C	53.0	47.5	58.4	100%	58.8
Paul George SF	45.0	37.7	39.3	100%	39.8
Kyle Lowry PG	17.0	15.9	18.7	93%	19.1
Caleb Martin PF	23.0	24.2	21.2	57%	22.2
Jared McCain SG	34.0	37.3	22.9	20%	47.9

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	48.0	43.5	38.7	100%	39.1
Jimmy Butler SF	37.0	32.7	35.8	100%	36.1
Tyler Herro PG	38.0	46.4	35.8	90%	37.0
Kevin Love PF	17.0	16.2	16.3	13%	19.8
Terry Rozier SG	26.0	21.1	29.6	100%	29.9

76ers Notable Injuries

Tyrese Maxey (PG): Avg: 26.2pts, 3.7reb, 6.1ast, 38.0 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 7.4
Reggie Jackson (PG): Avg: 9.1pts, 1.8reb, 3.3ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 11/13/24. Impact: 1.4
Lester Quinones (PG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.9reb, 0.9ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.8
Ricky Council IV (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 0.8
Adem Bona (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.0 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 0.8

Heat Notable Injuries

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): Avg: 11.4pts, 3.9reb, 2.6ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 3.8
Alec Burks (PG/SG): Avg: 10.6pts, 2.4reb, 1.3ast, 18.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.7
Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.3reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 2.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Paul George	PHI	Pts	19.5	24.7	+5.2	20%	30%	40%	40%	MIA	+3.5	#29
Joel Embiid	PHI	Pts	24.5	28.9	+4.4	40%	70%	67%	67%	MIA	-2.1	#7
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Reb	10.5	11.6	+1.1	40%	40%	33%	33%	PHI	+1.2	#29
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	40%	40%	40%	PHI	-0.2	#14
Jared McCain	PHI	Ast	3.5	3.8	+0.3	40%	20%	N/A	N/A	MIA	-0.1	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#11	#20	#11	-3.9%
PF	#16	#29	#14	#25	3.9%
PG	#8	#1	#12	#3	-11.4%
SF	#11	#30	#13	#20	2.1%
SG	#11	#14	#4	#5	-5.2%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#8	#16	#6	-8.9%
PF	#12	#24	#7	#12	-1.8%
PG	#13	#16	#29	#17	2.0%
SF	#29	#4	#3	#23	4.1%
SG	#2	#20	#14	#4	-6.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

106.2

109.4

Rebounds per Game

41.5

41.7

Assists per Game

23.5

25.5

Steals per Game

8.2

8.5

Blocks per Game

5.5

3.8

Shots per Game

87.9

86.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.7

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.1

52.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

37.5

Turnovers per Game

11.9

11.0

Fouls per Game

20.4

16.2

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 16.6, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Andre Drummond (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.7% to 15.2, 27.5 min average previous 3 games.
Eric Gordon (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.5% to 15.0, 21.6 min average previous 3 games.
Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 21.1, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
KJ Martin (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.0% to 11.3, 20.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jared McCain (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.7% to 33.2, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
Duncan Robinson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 72.1% to 30.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.