76ers vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Fiserv Forum as the underdog Philadelphia 76ers clash with the formidable Milwaukee Bucks in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the opening week’s blowouts! With both teams hungry to bounce back from recent losses and claw their way up the Eastern conference ladder, today’s matchup at 3 PM EST is set to be a high-stakes showdown. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing and fans on the edge of their seats, wondering if the game will tip over the 228.5 point mark. Will the Bucks lock horns successfully, or will the 76ers ring the victory bell? Let’s find out if Philly can truly “trust the process” or if Milwaukee will “buck” the losing trend!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 09, 2025 03:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-213	226.5	4.5/-4.5
Recent	-133	+105	228.5	-2.5/2.5
Difference	-298	+318	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

30W-32L

57.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

48W-18L

42.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/19/25	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	21	29	31	28	109	Over
01/19/25	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	29	31	33	123	Over
10/23/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	22	36	42	24	124	Over
10/23/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	23	24	34	28	109	Over
03/14/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	29	32	22	22	105	Under
03/14/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	29	27	34	114	Under
02/25/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	35	34	26	24	119	Under
02/25/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	21	27	34	16	98	Under
10/26/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	23	31	31	32	117	Over
10/26/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	33	25	30	118	Over
04/02/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	26	27	29	22	104	Under
04/02/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	41	28	27	21	117	Under
03/04/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	29	24	32	48	133	Over
03/04/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	30	40	31	130	Over
11/18/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	28	22	18	102	Under
11/18/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	31	34	21	110	Under
10/20/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	17	26	17	90	Under
10/20/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	21	18	25	88	Under
03/29/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	24	30	37	118	Over
03/29/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	37	28	27	116	Over
02/17/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	45	31	23	123	Over
02/17/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	34	32	27	120	Over
11/09/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	31	30	27	118	Under
11/09/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	39	19	35	16	109	Under

76ers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/07	vs DET	112-125L	38	26	13	83
02/05	@ MIA	101-108L	39	22	4	96
02/04	@ DAL	118-116W	34	37	12	86
02/02	@ BOS	110-118L	46	20	10	82
01/31	@ DEN	134-137L	27	29	11	90
01/29	@ SAC	117-104W	35	30	9	82
01/28	@ LAL	118-104W	43	20	9	91
01/24	@ CLE	132-129W	43	23	18	87
01/21	vs DEN	109-144L	25	34	10	96
01/19	vs MIL	109-123L	38	26	7	86

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/07	vs ATL	110-115L	43	28	10	96
02/05	vs CHA	112-102W	44	26	9	81
02/03	vs OKL	96-125L	37	24	14	93
02/02	@ MEM	119-132L	36	32	13	91
01/31	vs SAS	118-144L	47	24	10	100
01/28	vs POR	112-125L	36	26	11	87
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Joel Embiid C	52.0	51.8	51.4	100%	51.8
Paul George SF	30.0	32.2	34.3	100%	34.7
Tyrese Maxey PG	46.0	53.8	46.5	100%	46.8
Kelly Oubre Jr. SG	30.0	36.3	31.6	100%	31.9
Guerschon Yabusele PF	21.0	32.5	24.8	77%	25.8

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	12.0	12.8	11.9	100%	12.3
Damian Lillard PG	52.0	42.6	44.8	100%	45.2
Brook Lopez C	30.0	23.2	24.2	100%	24.6
Bobby Portis PF	49.0	38.6	30.6	17%	52.2
Taurean Prince SF	20.0	20.4	15.3	80%	15.8

76ers Notable Injuries

Jared Butler (PG): Avg: 6.2pts, 1.4reb, 2.9ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 01/30/25. Impact: 2.5
Ricky Council IV (SF/PF): Avg: 6.2pts, 1.9reb, 0.9ast, 12.4 minutes. Last game: 02/07/25. Impact: 2.9
Jeff Dowtin (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.4reb, 1.8ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 1.6
Adem Bona (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.8reb, 0.3ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 02/07/25. Impact: 1.9
Chuma Okeke (SF/PF): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 02/07/25. Impact: 0.4

Bucks Notable Injuries

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 31.0pts, 11.7reb, 6.3ast, 35.1 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 9.8
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.4
Tyler Smith (SF/PF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.3reb, 0.3ast, 5.4 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.3
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	18.5	23.5	+5.0	40%	20%	20%	20%	PHI	-0.9	#11
Damian Lillard	MIL	Pts	26.5	28.5	+2.0	20%	40%	33%	33%	PHI	+3.4	#30
Brook Lopez	MIL	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	20%	50%	47%	47%	PHI	-0.5	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#10	#26	#7	-4.3%
PF	#11	#15	#29	#11	-2.2%
PG	#30	#14	#24	#27	5.0%
SF	#30	#21	#9	#25	5.5%
SG	#7	#17	#28	#12	-1.5%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#21	#1	#11	-3.1%
PF	#16	#13	#12	#14	-1.6%
PG	#20	#30	#21	#26	4.0%
SF	#8	#25	#19	#8	-5.0%
SG	#20	#30	#24	#22	3.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.0

114.9

Rebounds per Game

37.3

45.0

Assists per Game

23.9

27.0

Steals per Game

9.2

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.2

4.6

Shots per Game

85.7

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.5

14.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.2

55.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.9

38.0

Turnovers per Game

11.8

12.4

Fouls per Game

19.7

18.5

Recent Trends

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.7% to 18.5, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.2% to 30.4, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
Ryan Rollins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.3% to 16.2, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.