76ers vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 14th 2024

Alright, basketball junkies, get ready to feast your eyes on a clash of Eastern conference titans tonight as the gritty Philadelphia 76ers, with their 36-29 record, are set to storm the Fiserv Forum and challenge the formidable 42-24 Milwaukee Bucks. As the clock strikes 08:00PM EST, the hardwood will be set ablaze with the fiery competition. While the 76ers are still looking to find their footing in the conference, trailing 15 games behind, the Bucks are sitting pretty at the apex, with no one ahead of them. The bookies are licking their chops too, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 219.5, with the 76ers and Bucks lines at 8.5 and -8.5 respectively. Both teams are licking their wounds from their last outings, with the Bucks getting bucked by SAC 129-94 and the 76ers getting silenced by NYK 106-79. So, will the 76ers ring the liberty bell of victory or will the Bucks leap over them in a show of dominance? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure, it’s gonna be a slam ‘deerby’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 14, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+290	-380	223.0	8.5/-8.5
Recent	+255	-310	219.5	7.5/-7.5
Difference	-35	+70	-3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

17W-13L

28.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

25W-7L

71.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/25/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	35	34	26	24	119	Under
02/25/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	21	27	34	16	98	Under
10/26/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	23	31	31	32	117	Over
10/26/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	33	25	30	118	Over
04/02/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	26	27	29	22	104	Over
04/02/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	41	28	27	21	117	Over
03/04/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	29	24	32	48	133	Over
03/04/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	30	40	31	130	Over
11/18/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	28	22	18	102	Under
11/18/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	31	34	21	110	Under
10/20/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	17	26	17	90	Under
10/20/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	21	18	25	88	Under
03/29/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	24	30	37	118	Over
03/29/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	37	28	27	116	Over
02/17/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	24	45	31	23	123	Over
02/17/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	34	32	27	120	Over
11/09/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	31	30	27	118	Over
11/09/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	39	19	35	16	109	Over

76ers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/12	vs NYK	79-106L	31	17	8	81
03/10	vs NYK	79-73W	47	20	13	80
03/08	@ NOP	95-108L	42	21	10	88
03/06	@ MEM	109-115L	47	25	11	102
03/05	vs BRO	107-112L	38	25	12	82
03/03	vs DAL	120-116W	42	26	8	88
03/01	@ CHA	121-114W	48	38	7	96
02/27	vs BOS	99-117L	28	20	9	94
02/25	@ MIL	98-119L	41	24	10	97
02/23	@ CLE	104-97W	51	20	9	91

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/12	vs SAC	94-129L	44	23	13	84
03/10	vs LAC	124-117W	41	28	7	88
03/08	vs LAL	122-123L	43	28	6	94
03/06	vs GSW	90-125L	36	19	15	89
03/04	@ LAC	113-106W	46	20	11	78
03/01	vs CHI	113-97W	49	22	7	86
02/29	vs CHA	111-99W	44	21	7	86
02/27	@ CHA	123-85W	51	29	9	90
02/25	vs PHI	119-98W	47	32	18	81
02/23	vs MIN	112-107W	47	24	10	87

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mo Bamba C	14.9	8.2	12.4	20%	11.9
Tobias Harris PF	34.8	29.0	32.7	100%	31.5
Buddy Hield SF	25.2	26.9	25.6	77%	26.9
Kyle Lowry SG	24.5	22.1	20.1	83%	21.3
Tyrese Maxey PG	42.7	41.6	41.0	100%	39.4

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	61.4	61.2	57.6	93%	58.2
Malik Beasley SG	21.2	20.1	21.1	93%	21.3
Jae Crowder SF	14.2	10.6	13.8	60%	14.5
Damian Lillard PG	47.3	47.0	41.6	93%	42.1
Brook Lopez C	25.6	18.4	26.7	93%	26.5

76ers Notable Injuries

Jeff Dowtin (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.0reb, 2.0ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Ricky Council IV (SG/SF): Avg: 5.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.5

Bucks Notable Injuries

Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.7
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kelly Oubre Jr.	PHI	Pts	15.5	18.2	+2.7	100%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	-1.5	#11
Jae Crowder	MIL	Pts	3.5	5.6	+2.1	60%	50%	53%	53%	PHI	+0.4	#20
Kyle Lowry	PHI	Reb	3.5	3.8	+0.3	20%	30%	33%	33%	MIL	+1.2	#28
Damian Lillard	MIL	Reb	4.5	4.6	+0.1	60%	70%	53%	53%	PHI	+0.3	#22
Tyrese Maxey	PHI	Ast	5.5	6.0	+0.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	MIL	+1.7	#30

View All Player Prop Projections

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#2	#2	#3	-19.9%
PF	#19	#29	#17	#27	9.0%
PG	#6	#1	#19	#7	-9.6%
SF	#20	#30	#10	#24	7.1%
SG	#18	#22	#4	#9	-4.6%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#17	#16	#6	-10.6%
PF	#15	#11	#23	#18	1.2%
PG	#4	#6	#3	#2	-17.0%
SF	#11	#6	#14	#9	-7.5%
SG	#30	#28	#30	#29	14.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

100.9

110.7

Rebounds per Game

41.0

44.2

Assists per Game

24.0

24.5

Steals per Game

7.5

7.0

Blocks per Game

5.0

4.2

Shots per Game

89.1

86.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.9

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

48.1

55.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.6

35.1

Turnovers per Game

10.8

11.2

Fouls per Game

20.3

16.5

Recent Trends

Mo Bamba (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 79.5% to 18.3, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.
Robert Covington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 10.8, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.