Suns vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of the evenly matched as the Phoenix Suns blaze into State Farm Arena to face the soaring Atlanta Hawks in what promises to be a pivotal showdown in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Both squads stand at the crossroads of .500 with playoff dreams hanging in the balance, making tonight’s 08:30 PM EST tipoff a must-watch. As the betting lines buzz with a tight Suns favoritism and a high-flying over/under, fans are itching for a game that breaks the first-round blowout curse. With the Hawks looking to avenge their recent falter against Phoenix, and the Suns aiming to keep their win streak burning bright, tonight’s game is set to be a sizzling duel in the skies—may the best birds or brightest stars prevail!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 14, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-150	+130	235.5	-3.0/3.0
Recent	-145	+110	234.5	-5.0/5.0
Difference	+5	-20	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

29W-27L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

29W-25L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/09/25	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	41	20	23	115	Over
01/09/25	Phoenix Suns PHX	38	30	30	25	123	Over
03/21/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	23	33	22	115	Over
03/21/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	35	31	32	128	Over
02/02/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	33	32	25	120	Over
02/02/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	33	34	29	129	Over
02/09/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	22	25	28	32	107	Under
02/09/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	36	20	37	23	116	Under
02/01/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	40	36	30	132	Under
02/01/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	24	20	33	100	Under
02/03/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	31	30	24	115	Over
02/03/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	32	36	24	124	Over
11/06/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	32	40	19	117	Over
11/06/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	34	27	35	121	Over

Suns Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	@ CHA	120-113W	39	31	12	87
01/11	@ UTA	114-106W	38	26	11	86
01/09	@ ATL	123-115W	42	33	16	85
01/07	vs CHA	104-115L	42	27	11	92
01/06	vs PHI	109-99W	44	32	12	81
01/04	vs IND	108-126L	36	30	11	78
12/31	@ MEM	112-117L	43	28	17	92
12/28	vs GSW	105-109L	46	21	13	92
12/27	@ DAL	89-98L	42	23	13	83
12/25	@ DEN	110-100W	42	31	7	88

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/09	vs PHX	115-123L	32	32	11	86
01/07	vs UTA	124-121W	44	35	10	98
01/04	vs LAC	105-131L	43	30	22	88
01/03	vs LAL	102-119L	39	22	8	100
01/01	vs DEN	120-139L	44	34	13	100
12/29	vs TOR	136-107W	40	30	14	95
12/28	@ MIA	120-110W	47	34	11	86
12/26	@ CHI	141-133W	44	32	12	89
12/21	@ MEM	112-128L	41	29	25	80
12/19	vs SAS	126-133L	53	32	22	97

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Devin Booker SG	47.0	48.9	43.1	100%	43.4
Ryan Dunn SF	17.0	19.8	15.8	60%	18.0
Kevin Durant PF	48.0	42.0	44.1	100%	44.4
Tyus Jones PG	20.0	15.0	26.1	100%	26.5
Mason Plumlee C	22.0	19.5	17.4	50%	22.6

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	29.0	23.3	26.8	100%	27.0
Dyson Daniels SG	33.0	31.8	31.7	100%	32.1
Vit Krejci SF	20.0	24.4	13.2	30%	21.7
Zaccharie Risacher PF	19.0	18.1	19.5	100%	19.9
Trae Young PG	52.0	48.7	47.2	100%	47.5

Suns Notable Injuries

Jusuf Nurkic (C): Avg: 10.4pts, 10.6reb, 3.5ast, 26.8 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 4.2
Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 2.6reb, 0.9ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 1.8
Monte Morris (PG): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.5reb, 1.7ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 1.7
Bol Bol (PF/C): Avg: 4.9pts, 3.0reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 1.0
Damion Lee (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.7ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 1.0
TyTy Washington Jr. (PG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 0.6

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 17.4pts, 9.2reb, 4.2ast, 34.7 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 7.4
Dominick Barlow (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.0reb, 1.0ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Mason Plumlee	PHX	Pts	4.5	6.6	+2.1	20%	20%	27%	27%	ATL	+2.8	#26
Trae Young	ATL	Pts	23.5	25.6	+2.1	60%	60%	47%	47%	PHX	-0.9	#9
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Reb	4.5	5.8	+1.3	40%	60%	53%	53%	PHX	-0.3	#13
Clint Capela	ATL	Reb	9.5	10.0	+0.5	20%	20%	33%	33%	PHX	-0.8	#7
Royce O’Neale	PHX	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	40%	60%	53%	53%	ATL	+1.0	#29
Bradley Beal	PHX	Ast	3.5	4.0	+0.5	60%	50%	53%	53%	ATL	+0.6	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#7	#5	#8	-5.9%
PF	#29	#20	#29	#30	11.5%
PG	#9	#13	#9	#9	-4.5%
SF	#19	#16	#24	#14	-0.9%
SG	#9	#25	#14	#14	-1.4%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#14	#23	#26	7.9%
PF	#14	#18	#27	#22	3.6%
PG	#12	#11	#26	#20	1.9%
SF	#30	#27	#29	#30	14.3%
SG	#22	#17	#24	#23	4.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.1

117.0

Rebounds per Game

42.0

46.5

Assists per Game

28.0

30.3

Steals per Game

7.8

10.1

Blocks per Game

4.9

5.5

Shots per Game

85.1

93.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.5

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.2

53.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

34.5

Turnovers per Game

13.3

15.2

Fouls per Game

18.7

18.2

Recent Trends

Oso Ighodaro (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 78.2% to 26.2, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jusuf Nurkic (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.3% to 15.6, 29.0 min average previous 3 games.