Suns vs Celtics Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 14th 2024
Suns
38W-27L
March 14, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 226.5 o/u
Celtics
51W-14L
Alright, hoop-heads, it’s time to buckle up! The fiery Phoenix Suns, boasting a respectable 38-27 record, are jetting over to the hallowed hardwood of TD Garden, ready to take on the sizzling Boston Celtics, who are sitting pretty on a 51-14 throne. With the Suns chasing the horizon 3.5 games back in the West and the Celtics reigning supreme at the top of the East, tonight’s 07:30PM EST showdown is shaping up to be a classic East-meets-West clash. The bookies have been busy, setting the over/under at 226.5, favoring the Celtics at -5.5, and leaving the Suns to rise above the 5.5 line. Fresh off their 123-107 scorcher against Utah, the Celtics are looking to keep the heat on, while the Suns, still glowing from their 117-111 victory over Cleveland, are ready to eclipse the competition. So, get ready for a celestial showdown where the Suns will try to outshine the Celtics in their own garden. It’s not just about the heat, folks, it’s about the light!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 14, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: TD Garden, Boston
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +150 | -175 | 228.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Recent | +120 | -160 | 226.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Difference | -30 | +15 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
45.5% Win Probability
54.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/09/24 | Boston Celtics BOS | 31 | 31 | 25 | 30 | 117 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 26 | 24 | 28 | 29 | 107 | ||||
02/03/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 33 | 17 | 32 | 106 | Under | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 20 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 94 | ||||
12/07/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 31 | 38 | 35 | 21 | 125 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 21 | 21 | 23 | 33 | 98 | ||||
12/31/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 20 | 21 | 36 | 31 | 108 | Over | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 32 | 35 | 33 | 23 | 123 | ||||
12/10/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 24 | 15 | 30 | 21 | 90 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 111 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/11 | vs CLE | 117-111W | 42 | 23 | 14 | 84 |
03/09 | @ BOS | 107-117L | 41 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
03/07 | @ TOR | 120-113W | 49 | 29 | 14 | 87 |
03/05 | vs DEN | 117-107W | 52 | 32 | 9 | 96 |
03/03 | @ OKL | 110-0W | 50 | 26 | 21 | 39 |
03/02 | @ HOU | 109-120L | 47 | 23 | 19 | 87 |
02/29 | @ HOU | 110-105W | 51 | 20 | 14 | 90 |
02/25 | @ LAL | 123-113W | 51 | 32 | 12 | 93 |
02/23 | vs HOU | 110-114L | 58 | 23 | 10 | 95 |
02/22 | vs DAL | 113-125L | 41 | 20 | 16 | 85 |
Celtics Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12 | vs UTA | 123-107W | 46 | 25 | 8 | 92 |
03/11 | vs POR | 121-97W | 45 | 34 | 3 | 100 |
03/09 | vs PHX | 117-107W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
03/07 | vs DEN | 109-115L | 47 | 24 | 12 | 91 |
03/05 | vs CLE | 104-105L | 53 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
03/03 | @ GSW | 140-88W | 51 | 35 | 7 | 96 |
03/01 | @ DAL | 138-110W | 47 | 33 | 9 | 94 |
02/27 | @ PHI | 117-99W | 56 | 21 | 14 | 74 |
02/24 | vs NYK | 116-102W | 36 | 27 | 7 | 82 |
02/22 | vs CHI | 129-112W | 36 | 27 | 13 | 84 |
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25.9 | 31.4 | 25.9 | 93% | 26.5 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
33.5 | 40.3 | 34.0 | 93% | 34.6 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
44.5 | 42.5 | 44.5 | 93% | 43.3 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
47.2 | 51.4 | 47.1 | 93% | 48.1 |
35.6 | 36.2 | 32.3 | 93% | 33.0 |
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
41.9 | 45.1 | 38.4 | 100% | 38.8 |
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
31.7 | 29.1 | 28.8 | 100% | 29.2 |
26.3 | 20.9 | 23.0 | 50% | 25.9 | |
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
53.7 | 46.3 | 48.3 | 100% | 48.7 |
35.8 | 33.3 | 30.1 | 100% | 30.5 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 7.5pts, 3.6reb, 1.3ast, 20.5 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 1.1
- Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 3.4reb, 2.0ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 2.7
- Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 1.7
- Saben Lee (PG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.4
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Kristaps Porzingis (PF/C): Avg: 20.4pts, 7.1reb, 2.0ast, 29.9 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 6.8
- Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.4ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 2.0
- Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.9ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.0
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.2
- JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 1.5 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | Pts | 10.5 | 11.8 | +1.3 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | BOS | +5.7 | #30 |
Grayson Allen | PHX | Pts | 11.5 | 12.5 | +1.0 | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% | BOS | -4.2 | #3 |
Jayson Tatum | BOS | Reb | 8.5 | 9.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | PHX | -0.3 | #11 |
Jaylen Brown | BOS | Reb | 5.5 | 5.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 50% | 67% | 67% | PHX | -0.3 | #11 |
Devin Booker | PHX | Ast | 5.5 | 6.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | BOS | -0.5 | #9 |
Kevin Durant | PHX | Ast | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | BOS | -0.3 | #13 |
Bradley Beal | PHX | 3Pt | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | BOS | -0.7 | #3 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #8 | #12 | #17 | #5 | -12.1% |
PF | #12 | #25 | #7 | #16 | -1.5% |
PG | #29 | #30 | #7 | #28 | 13.3% |
SF | #7 | #11 | #1 | #4 | -13.2% |
SG | #22 | #15 | #17 | #25 | 5.9% |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #30 | #22 | #14 | #22 | 5.9% |
PF | #2 | #8 | #3 | #1 | -18.2% |
PG | #16 | #5 | #10 | #9 | -7.9% |
SF | #3 | #1 | #13 | #1 | -26.7% |
SG | #2 | #14 | #9 | #2 | -12.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Kevin Durant (PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
- Sam Hauser (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 90.9% to 28.0, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.3% to 23.0, 12.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Payton Pritchard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.5% to 25.8, 16.9 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 3-game winning streak at home.
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