Suns vs Hornets Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 15th 2024

Alright hoop-heads, get ready for a desert showdown in the Queen City! Our boys, the Phoenix Suns, are packing up their 38W-28L record and heading east to stir up some buzz in the Hornets’ nest, otherwise known as the Spectrum Center. The Suns are hot on the heels of the top dogs in the West, just 4.5 games back, while the Hornets are buzzing around the bottom of the East, a whopping 21 games back. With the Suns favored by nine and an over/under of 218.5, we’re expecting a sizzling showdown come 7PM EST. The Hornets might have stung the Grizzlies 110-98 in their last outing, but our Suns are looking to bounce back after a 112-127 scorching from the Celtics. So, buckle up and get ready to feel the heat because when the Suns set in Charlotte, there’s gonna be a whole lot of buzz!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 15, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	CHA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-450	+335	217.0	-9.0/9.0
Recent	-525	+375	218.5	-10.0/10.0
Difference	-75	+40	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

17W-14L

84.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

8W-22L

16.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/29/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	28	31	30	119	Over
12/29/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	32	35	30	133	Over
03/01/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	30	22	26	105	Under
03/01/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	19	32	18	91	Under
01/24/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	15	32	30	20	97	Over
01/24/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	22	40	30	128	Over
01/02/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	37	33	27	133	Over
01/02/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	27	20	27	25	99	Over
12/19/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	15	32	33	26	106	Over
12/19/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	37	32	39	29	137	Over

Suns Vs Over/Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/14	vs BOS	112-127L	51	27	13	99
03/11	vs CLE	117-111W	42	23	14	84
03/09	@ BOS	107-117L	41	21	14	87
03/07	@ TOR	120-113W	49	29	14	87
03/05	vs DEN	117-107W	52	32	9	96
03/03	@ OKL	110-0W	50	26	21	39
03/02	@ HOU	109-120L	47	23	19	87
02/29	@ HOU	110-105W	51	20	14	90
02/25	@ LAL	123-113W	51	32	12	93
02/23	vs HOU	110-114L	58	23	10	95

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/13	vs MEM	110-98W	35	26	20	82
03/11	vs DET	97-114L	40	27	12	88
03/09	@ BRO	110-99W	45	26	16	82
03/08	vs WAS	100-114L	48	18	7	100
03/05	@ ORL	89-101L	31	19	19	72
03/03	vs TOR	106-111L	45	24	16	92
03/01	vs PHI	114-121L	32	24	5	84
02/29	@ MIL	99-111L	42	24	13	83
02/27	vs MIL	85-123L	37	24	13	81
02/25	vs POR	93-80W	41	24	14	75

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Grayson Allen SF	25.9	32.4	25.1	93%	25.7
Bradley Beal SG	36.1	39.2	34.6	93%	35.2
Devin Booker PG	47.2	42.3	43.9	93%	42.7
Kevin Durant PF	48.0	50.2	46.5	93%	47.5
Jusuf Nurkic C	37.4	33.5	33.1	93%	33.9

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tre Mann SG	25.9	24.9	17.3	43%	30.1
Vasilije Micic PG	31.3	32.1	15.6	20%	31.0
Brandon Miller SF	37.6	34.2	32.4	100%	32.4
Nick Richards C	26.0	23.8	25.4	100%	24.8
Grant Williams PF	24.1	24.8	20.7	33%	22.8

Suns Notable Injuries

David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 7.4pts, 3.6reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 1.0
Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.7pts, 3.3reb, 2.0ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.5
Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 1.7
Saben Lee (PG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.4
Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Hornets Notable Injuries

Cody Martin (PG): Avg: 7.6pts, 4.0reb, 3.9ast, 27.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 3.9
Seth Curry (PG): Avg: 5.3pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.3
Bryce McGowens (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.8reb, 1.0ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.6
Marques Bolden (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Brandon Miller	CHA	Pts	17.5	21.2	+3.7	80%	60%	53%	53%	PHX	-1.7	#9
Devin Booker	PHX	Pts	24.5	27.6	+3.1	40%	60%	47%	47%	CHA	-1.1	#10
Miles Bridges	CHA	Reb	7.5	8.1	+0.6	40%	60%	60%	60%	PHX	-0.2	#13
Vasilije Micic	CHA	Reb	2.5	2.8	+0.3	80%	40%	33%	33%	PHX	-0.1	#15
Kevin Durant	PHX	Ast	4.5	5.2	+0.7	60%	60%	60%	60%	CHA	+0.4	#24
Bradley Beal	PHX	Ast	4.5	4.9	+0.4	60%	60%	67%	67%	CHA	-1.5	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#4	#15	#5	-10.3%
PF	#19	#14	#5	#17	-1.6%
PG	#26	#29	#6	#26	9.6%
SF	#9	#13	#6	#8	-8.3%
SG	#19	#15	#23	#26	7.0%

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#5	#13	#7	-8.6%
PF	#4	#30	#13	#16	-1.8%
PG	#17	#28	#23	#20	3.2%
SF	#25	#22	#24	#20	3.6%
SG	#10	#26	#1	#10	-4.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.7

101.8

Rebounds per Game

48.9

40.5

Assists per Game

25.3

24.0

Steals per Game

7.1

8.2

Blocks per Game

6.2

4.2

Shots per Game

85.2

85.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.2

12.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.3

53.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.2

33.8

Turnovers per Game

14.9

13.4

Fouls per Game

17.1

16.5

Recent Trends

Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.0, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Drew Eubanks (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.0% to 11.0, 18.3 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
Thaddeus Young (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 10.5, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.