Suns vs Cavaliers Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024
Suns
37W-27L
March 11, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 220.5 o/u
Cavaliers
40W-24L
Hold onto your high-tops, hoop-heads! We’ve got a clash of the titans tonight as the 37W-27L Phoenix Suns are packing their SPF 50 to take on the 40W-24L Cleveland Cavaliers at the illustrious Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Suns, trailing by 4.5 games in the wild west, are looking to rise and shine against the Cavs, who are just 1.5 games back in the Eastern conference. With tipoff set for 07:30PM EST, you’ve got just enough time to place your bets and pop some corn. The over/under is chilling at a cool 220.5, and if you’re feeling spicy, the Suns line is at -5.5, while the Cavaliers are sitting pretty at 5.5. The Cavs are coming in hot, or should we say, lukewarm, after a 101-120 loss against BRO on 03/10/24, while the Suns are hoping to bounce back from their own 107-117 tumble against BOS on 03/09/24. Buckle up, folks, this one’s gonna be a sizzler!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 11, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | CLE ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -225 | +185 | 222.5 | -5.5/5.5 |
Recent | -180 | +135 | 220.5 | -6.5/6.5 |
Difference | +45 | -50 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
64.3% Win Probability
35.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/08/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 35 | 22 | 23 | 32 | 112 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 26 | 28 | 25 | 19 | 98 | ||||
01/04/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 14 | 29 | 21 | 24 | 88 | Under | ||
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 15 | 18 | 26 | 31 | 90 | ||||
11/24/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 36 | 25 | 26 | 33 | 120 | Over | ||
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 33 | 33 | 20 | 29 | 115 | ||||
10/30/21 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 31 | 15 | 19 | 27 | 92 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 26 | 28 | 23 | 101 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27.3 | 27.8 | 25.7 | 93% | 26.3 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
35.5 | 34.1 | 32.9 | 93% | 33.3 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
44.7 | 44.1 | 44.2 | 93% | 43.0 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
48.4 | 49.1 | 46.9 | 93% | 47.9 |
37.5 | 38.4 | 32.9 | 93% | 33.7 |
Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
46.1 | 45.8 | 38.4 | 100% | 37.2 | |
41.5 | 35.0 | 31.0 | 100% | 29.4 | |
Caris LeVert
SG
|
34.9 | 35.6 | 28.3 | 3% | 25.2 |
23.2 | 22.1 | 16.8 | 10% | 31.5 | |
Isaac Okoro
SF
|
25.0 | 28.2 | 19.4 | 57% | 20.3 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- Eric Gordon (SG): Avg: 12.0pts, 2.1reb, 2.2ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 2.8
- Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 3.4reb, 2.0ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 2.7
- Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 1.7
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.7
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 28.0pts, 5.4reb, 6.2ast, 35.7 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 7.8
- Evan Mobley (PF/C): Avg: 15.6pts, 10.0reb, 3.1ast, 30.7 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 6.3
- Max Strus (SG/SF): Avg: 11.9pts, 4.8reb, 3.7ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 3.8
- Dean Wade (PF/C): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.2
- Pete Nance (PF/C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | Pts | 10.5 | 12.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | CLE | -2.2 | #10 |
Bradley Beal | PHX | Pts | 17.5 | 19.4 | +1.9 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | CLE | -0.6 | #14 |
Jarrett Allen | CLE | Reb | 12.5 | 13.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 30% | 27% | 27% | PHX | -0.8 | #12 |
Royce O’Neale | PHX | Ast | 2.5 | 3.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | CLE | -0.3 | #13 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #12 | #18 | #5 | -11.7% |
PF | #12 | #24 | #19 | #17 | 0.8% |
PG | #29 | #30 | #6 | #30 | 15.8% |
SF | #8 | #14 | #2 | #3 | -13.0% |
SG | #18 | #19 | #12 | #22 | 4.1% |
Cavaliers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #24 | #3 | #12 | -5.3% |
PF | #24 | #7 | #13 | #19 | 3.4% |
PG | #9 | #6 | #10 | #5 | -12.1% |
SF | #11 | #19 | #13 | #11 | -3.5% |
SG | #14 | #11 | #9 | #12 | -3.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Kevin Durant (PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Bradley Beal (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 83.5% to 35.8, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Devin Booker (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.3% to 38.7, 27.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Drew Eubanks (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.7% to 18.2, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Sam Merrill (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.6% to 19.6, 28.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Georges Niang (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 28.8, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Tristan Thompson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 18.2, 13.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Dean Wade (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games. The Suns have a 1-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak. The Cavaliers have a 1-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak.
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